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Bitpesa Thread - Bitcoin Market Analysis by Mic Kimani
mic_mic
#21 Posted : Tuesday, November 03, 2015 8:25:55 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
mic_mic wrote:
Ash Ock wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
My current bias, its a correction, and there is more room to go higher.


Have you by any chance been following the MMM Bitcoin ponzi (http://mmmglobal.org/) and the speculation that it might, in part, be responsible for the current surge?

It's gained a lot of interest, even upcountry here in .ke.



What I suspect is when it crashes, as all ponzi tend to do, it'll leave a bad taste for Bitcoins across the country.


I'm playing my part in warning people to be aware and stay away from MMM. These are the kind of people who tarnish bitcoin and confuse the masses.

Bitcoin is not bad, it is people who are bad


WIkipedia

MMM Ponzi Scheme Company


https://en.wikipedia.org...Ponzi_scheme_company%29


BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
mic_mic
#22 Posted : Tuesday, November 03, 2015 11:35:51 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
Bitcoin Is Suddenly Surging Again

And there are various theories behind the rise.

BLOOMBERG BUSINESS

Very good read!

http://www.bloomberg.com...s-suddenly-surging-again
BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
TheGeek
#23 Posted : Tuesday, November 03, 2015 7:28:19 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/3/2014
Posts: 245
Sending Bitcoin to a Kenyan mobile money account using the telegram messenger
In the world of securities, courage and patience become the supreme virtues after adequate knowledge and a tested judgment are at hand.
mic_mic
#24 Posted : Tuesday, November 03, 2015 10:08:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
T



My current bias, its a correction, and there is more room to go higher.





Yesterday night was exciting. Market went up to $ 380





BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
mic_mic
#25 Posted : Tuesday, November 03, 2015 11:40:09 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
Bitcoin to be 6th largest reserve currency by 2030: Research

Bitcoin to be 6th largest reserve currency by 2030: Research

http://www.cnbc.com/2015...cy-by-2030-research.html
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mic_mic
#26 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 12:05:43 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
Escape log trend - log here is only relevant.


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mic_mic
#27 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 12:34:54 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
Ultra bullish case



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hisah
#28 Posted : Wednesday, November 04, 2015 3:37:36 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I don't like the current parabolic. The recovery and rally to new highs has been rushed. Standing aside until things cool down.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mic_mic
#29 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 1:21:14 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
T



My current bias, its a correction, and there is more room to go higher.





Yesterday night was exciting. Market went up to $ 380







$ 504 touched today


BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
sl8r
#30 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 9:28:02 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/20/2010
Posts: 69
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
mic_mic wrote:
T



My current bias, its a correction, and there is more room to go higher.





Yesterday night was exciting. Market went up to $ 380







$ 504 touched today




I ve been following this rally and it looks like its gonna peak 1000 or perhaps 1500, the reason being is bitcoin XT, january 2016 is coming up and we still havent reached consensus on whether we will use 8MB blocks or stick to the present 1MB blocks. The news that @Hisah shared regarding bitcoin is TAX free only encocurges capital flows into bitcoin, with the block size still at 1 MB this late, I think people will need to pay high transaction fees for their order to be processed. I see the price plummeting in Jan 2016 unless we get on to bitcoinXT, lets see what happens :)

bitcoinXT status
hisah
#31 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 5:40:38 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
whiteowl
#32 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 9:55:55 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
hisah wrote:
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.


heading towards sub 400
mic_mic
#33 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 10:07:36 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
whiteowl wrote:
hisah wrote:
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.


heading towards sub 400




BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
mic_mic
#34 Posted : Thursday, November 05, 2015 10:09:24 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/30/2012
Posts: 545
Location: NBI
whiteowl wrote:
hisah wrote:
mic_mic wrote:


$ 504 touched today




Wow! That looks that a potential buying climax and with a sizable volume to boot! Sharp reversal ahead. Retrace likely to retest the breakout zone at 300 level, if no support then the price may leak towards 200 - 250 level. This is why I said I'm standing aside for parabolic moves are never sustainable.


heading towards sub 400


BITCOIN TRADERS KENYA Whatsapp group +254 705 299 429
mnandii
#35 Posted : Friday, November 06, 2015 3:05:50 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
hisah wrote:
I don't like the current parabolic. The recovery and rally to new highs has been rushed. Standing aside until things cool down.



Applause

@hisah You also trade bitcoin? Using what platform provider?
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#36 Posted : Sunday, November 08, 2015 7:43:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


The chart shows the outlook I have for bitcoin. I still maintain that a move below $150 is necessary to complete the correction which started at the >$1000 high. The recent move that bitcoin made to $500 must have fooled alot of people. As shown in this chart it was a (B) wave. Elliott Wave Principle describes B waves as phonies. Text: "B waves are phonies. They are sucker plays, bull traps, speculators' paradise, orgies of odd-lotter mentality or expressions of dumb institutional complacency (or both).....If the analyst can easily say to himself, "There is something wrong with this market", chances are it's a B wave. " . This is precisely what happened. People got trapped into thinking we have a new bull market in bitcoin, price rose to above $500 only to fall back below $400 in a matter of hours. This is a perfect lession in Elliott waves. We know that 5-wave moves determine the direction of the market. Therefore for us to proclaim that the bull market in bitcoin has resumed, we MUST get a five wave move upwards since a low. Looking at the chart in the low area marked (A) at about $150 and the move up to $500 it is clearly corrective (and thus the reason I have marked it W X Y). Bitcoin is going to provide a nice opportunity to go long soon. In fact if you look at the blue horizontal line displaying $85.14 and then you look to the left of the chart, you will notice two converging trendlines. That is a triangle and is the area of the previous 4th wave when bitcoin was rising to above $1000. I expect bitcoin to bottom at about $85 dollars and that will be your opportunity to buy aggressively.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
whiteowl
#37 Posted : Sunday, November 08, 2015 9:41:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
mnandii wrote:


The chart shows the outlook I have for bitcoin. I still maintain that a move below $150 is necessary to complete the correction which started at the >$1000 high. The recent move that bitcoin made to $500 must have fooled alot of people. As shown in this chart it was a (B) wave. Elliott Wave Principle describes B waves as phonies. Text: "B waves are phonies. They are sucker plays, bull traps, speculators' paradise, orgies of odd-lotter mentality or expressions of dumb institutional complacency (or both).....If the analyst can easily say to himself, "There is something wrong with this market", chances are it's a B wave. " . This is precisely what happened. People got trapped into thinking we have a new bull market in bitcoin, price rose to above $500 only to fall back below $400 in a matter of hours. This is a perfect lession in Elliott waves. We know that 5-wave moves determine the direction of the market. Therefore for us to proclaim that the bull market in bitcoin has resumed, we MUST get a five wave move upwards since a low. Looking at the chart in the low area marked (A) at about $150 and the move up to $500 it is clearly corrective (and thus the reason I have marked it W X Y). Bitcoin is going to provide a nice opportunity to go long soon. In fact if you look at the blue horizontal line displaying $85.14 and then you look to the left of the chart, you will notice two converging trendlines. That is a triangle and is the area of the previous 4th wave when bitcoin was rising to above $1000. I expect bitcoin to bottom at about $85 dollars and that will be your opportunity to buy aggressively.


Thanks for the analysis @mnandii I'm keenly following this as we head into 2016
mnandii
#38 Posted : Tuesday, November 10, 2015 10:51:55 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Bitcoin: A drop to $349.69 then a strong rise to about $450 likely in the short term.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#39 Posted : Tuesday, November 10, 2015 10:53:36 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
whiteowl wrote:
mnandii wrote:


The chart shows the outlook I have for bitcoin. I still maintain that a move below $150 is necessary to complete the correction which started at the >$1000 high. The recent move that bitcoin made to $500 must have fooled alot of people. As shown in this chart it was a (B) wave. Elliott Wave Principle describes B waves as phonies. Text: "B waves are phonies. They are sucker plays, bull traps, speculators' paradise, orgies of odd-lotter mentality or expressions of dumb institutional complacency (or both).....If the analyst can easily say to himself, "There is something wrong with this market", chances are it's a B wave. " . This is precisely what happened. People got trapped into thinking we have a new bull market in bitcoin, price rose to above $500 only to fall back below $400 in a matter of hours. This is a perfect lession in Elliott waves. We know that 5-wave moves determine the direction of the market. Therefore for us to proclaim that the bull market in bitcoin has resumed, we MUST get a five wave move upwards since a low. Looking at the chart in the low area marked (A) at about $150 and the move up to $500 it is clearly corrective (and thus the reason I have marked it W X Y). Bitcoin is going to provide a nice opportunity to go long soon. In fact if you look at the blue horizontal line displaying $85.14 and then you look to the left of the chart, you will notice two converging trendlines. That is a triangle and is the area of the previous 4th wave when bitcoin was rising to above $1000. I expect bitcoin to bottom at about $85 dollars and that will be your opportunity to buy aggressively.


Thanks for the analysis @mnandii I'm keenly following this as we head into 2016



smile

You are welcome.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#40 Posted : Wednesday, November 11, 2015 5:22:16 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
hisah wrote:
I don't like the current parabolic. The recovery and rally to new highs has been rushed. Standing aside until things cool down.



Applause

@hisah You also trade bitcoin? Using what platform provider?

I'm still scouting for a platform. Looking to start next year.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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