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Presidential poll uncertainties - walk-over!
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Angelica _ann
#11 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 1:40:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,941
Uhuruto has locked in
1. Central with high registration and likely high voter turn out.
2. Central and North Rift courtesy of Ruto.
3. Nairobi they are doing 53.5%
4. Patrolists, they are ahead of OAR with their nose makers in Duale, Kaparo,et all
5. Coast is 50/50
6. See how hard they are working on Kuria and Kisii/Nyamira areas over the last 2 days.


Things are looking for Jubilee alliance in the year of Jubilee celebrations.

I will come back with country by county figures, we are still crunching the numbers.
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
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KulaRaha
#12 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 3:58:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Angelica _ann wrote:
Uhuruto has locked in
1. Central with high registration and likely high voter turn out.
2. Central and North Rift courtesy of Ruto.
3. Nairobi they are doing 53.5%
4. Patrolists, they are ahead of OAR with their nose makers in Duale, Kaparo,et all
5. Coast is 50/50
6. See how hard they are working on Kuria and Kisii/Nyamira areas over the last 2 days.


Things are looking for Jubilee alliance in the year of Jubilee celebrations.

I will come back with country by county figures, we are still crunching the numbers.


This info coming from someone who thinks sitting Presidents cannot be prosecuted in the Hague...

Shame on you Liar d'oh! Shame on you Liar d'oh!
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
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Impunity
#13 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 4:09:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,335
Location: Masada
Angelica _ann wrote:
Uhuruto has locked in
1. Central with high registration and likely high voter turn out.
2. Central and North Rift courtesy of Ruto.
3. Nairobi they are doing 53.5%
4. Patrolists, they are ahead of OAR with their nose makers in Duale, Kaparo,et all
5. Coast is 50/50
6. See how hard they are working on Kuria and Kisii/Nyamira areas over the last 2 days.


Things are looking for Jubilee alliance in the year of Jubilee celebrations.

I will come back with country by county figures, we are still crunching the numbers.

Wishful numbers.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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digitek1
#14 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 4:14:04 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/3/2010
Posts: 1,797
Location: Kenya
2012 wrote:
digitek1 wrote:
Presidency doest offer immunity from prosecution but they can use it to have the cases postponed



Now, where did you get that from? ICC can allow you to postpone justice?

ICC doesnt operate in a vaccum. it is very much alive to the political economy. Remember it voluntarily postponed the cases to allow for elections
I may be wrong..but then I could be right
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#15 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 4:24:36 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
2012 wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
It wont get to that. With MM in the mix, UHURUTO are guaranteed 1st round win of 52%. they would have been soon in by the time Hague comes and therefore cannot be prosecuted - sitting president.


I love this fantasy football...you actually think that by running away from the Hague, these guys are helping Kenyans?


Hague is inevitable. The accusers are Kenyans, the people seeking justice are Kenyans and not Europeans and Americans. Let's never forget that. Vote wisely.

Justice must not only be served but seen to be served. We aren't that foolish. There is no justice where some charges are pressed on some and others left out. And God isn't foolish either!
@SufficientlyP
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maka
#16 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 4:34:29 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
2012 wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
It wont get to that. With MM in the mix, UHURUTO are guaranteed 1st round win of 52%. they would have been soon in by the time Hague comes and therefore cannot be prosecuted - sitting president.


I love this fantasy football...you actually think that by running away from the Hague, these guys are helping Kenyans?


Hague is inevitable. The accusers are Kenyans, the people seeking justice are Kenyans and not Europeans and Americans. Let's never forget that. Vote wisely.

Justice must not only be served but seen to be served. We aren't that foolish. There is no justice where some charges are pressed on some and others left out. And God isn't foolish either!

...according to your intel who has been left out?
possunt quia posse videntur
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Lolest!
#17 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 7:20:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
I thought @angelica_ann is a cordee!

Uhuruto getting 36%? Hiyo haitahappen. Uhuruto did their math and saw the math would push them into the 40s. Then they saw it fit to kick Musalia.

2nd rnd ndiyo hawawesmake. I imagine voters who picked PK, Musalia Kiyiapi and Karua. They wouldn't go for Uhuruto. It would be better to do Railonzo.

Do the 2 have to be in Kenya? They don't. Round 2 is automatic between no1 and 2. For me this is a non issue but still Cord will win when it goes round 2.

Peni zangu mbili za Tanzania.
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
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Liv
#18 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 7:44:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/14/2006
Posts: 1,311
Angelica _ann wrote:
It wont get to that. With MM in the mix, UHURUTO are guaranteed 1st round win of 52%. they would have been soon in by the time Hague comes and therefore cannot be prosecuted - sitting president.



@Angelica,
Yours is the closest to the reality on the ground.
36% is for CORD if they really do well. Some people are still basing their numbers on the flawed population census figures here.

People will vote according to tribes...middle class thinking has no effect in this election.

It is estimated that:
GEMA has 30% of registered voters
Kalenjin has 13% of registered voters

The total of this is 43%. (given a national voters turn out of 70% (10 million voters will turn out), the contribution of GEMA and Kalenjin will be 48% (Historically they have the highest voter turnout). This excludes any votes from the Somali, Kisii, Maasai, Mijikenda communities to Jubilee.

It will take a miracle for CORD to lead in the 1st round of voting with Musalia taking the Western Kenya.
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Lolest!
#19 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 8:10:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/18/2011
Posts: 12,069
Location: Kianjokoma
@Liv, but still they will lose round 2. Jubilee must win round 1 or lose kabisa. Cord can afford to lose 1st round so long as Jubilee doesnt get 50%
Laughing out loudly smile Applause d'oh! Sad Drool Liar Shame on you Pray
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#20 Posted : Monday, January 07, 2013 10:02:54 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Lolest! wrote:
I thought @angelica_ann is a cordee!

Uhuruto getting 36%? Hiyo haitahappen. Uhuruto did their math and saw the math would push them into the 40s. Then they saw it fit to kick Musalia.

2nd rnd ndiyo hawawesmake. I imagine voters who picked PK, Musalia Kiyiapi and Karua. They wouldn't go for Uhuruto. It would be better to do Railonzo.

Do the 2 have to be in Kenya? They don't. Round 2 is automatic between no1 and 2. For me this is a non issue but still Cord will win when it goes round 2.

Peni zangu mbili za Tanzania.

Haiya,i thought @ Angelica was soo corded!
@Angelica,when did you see the lightsmile After all,it's the year of jubileeLaughing out loudly
Keep crunching those numbers for us!
@SufficientlyP
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