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probable voting pattern 2013
Rank: Member Joined: 2/9/2012 Posts: 576
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This election has left people scratching their heads really hard. There are so many factors but the good thing is that no one can say has it in the bag, so there is some humility not to lose votes. twende hivo hivo mpaka mwisho. Africa belongs to Africans.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi
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quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:So long as Kikuyus plus Ruto Kales do not add up to 50%.....listen to one @Lolest!!!! A good theory but not complete ...Alliances would change, if barred, Jubilee probably would try to channel support to someone sympathetic to their cause. Who might that be? Would we see a new force emerge on the scene? This is what could do with an analysis from BGL ...and a debate. With the history of the presidency, the sympathetic group will be a long shot!!!! You think CORD would have an easy win on their hands? Not so fast ... I think MaDvd would suddenly find himself becoming the most important man again, Jubilee would prostrate itself at his feet, then move its formidable campaign and propaganda machine to swing votes towards a MaDvd ticket ...CORD would have a tough new battle on its hands ...who knows then what happens? Madvd will have no role to play if he can't get into the top two.......in 2002 dude couldn't even become an MP with an assured VP position!!! ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/5/2010 Posts: 2,061 Location: Nairobi
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McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:So long as Kikuyus plus Ruto Kales do not add up to 50%.....listen to one @Lolest!!!! A good theory but not complete ...Alliances would change, if barred, Jubilee probably would try to channel support to someone sympathetic to their cause. Who might that be? Would we see a new force emerge on the scene? This is what could do with an analysis from BGL ...and a debate. With the history of the presidency, the sympathetic group will be a long shot!!!! You think CORD would have an easy win on their hands? Not so fast ... I think MaDvd would suddenly find himself becoming the most important man again, Jubilee would prostrate itself at his feet, then move its formidable campaign and propaganda machine to swing votes towards a MaDvd ticket ...CORD would have a tough new battle on its hands ...who knows then what happens? Madvd will have no role to play if he can't get into the top two.......in 2002 dude couldn't even become an MP with an assured VP position!!! True. But his being a pariah is not an insurmountable problem, neither is it as permanent as you are implying, he could very quickly become a favourite with his constituency if they see his chances dramatically increasing, robbing CORD of votes marshalled by Moses. What would remain to be seen is if Jubilee's supporters would play ball.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/30/2008 Posts: 6,029
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McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:So long as Kikuyus plus Ruto Kales do not add up to 50%.....listen to one @Lolest!!!! A good theory but not complete ...Alliances would change, if barred, Jubilee probably would try to channel support to someone sympathetic to their cause. Who might that be? Would we see a new force emerge on the scene? This is what could do with an analysis from BGL ...and a debate. With the history of the presidency, the sympathetic group will be a long shot!!!! You think CORD would have an easy win on their hands? Not so fast ... I think MaDvd would suddenly find himself becoming the most important man again, Jubilee would prostrate itself at his feet, then move its formidable campaign and propaganda machine to swing votes towards a MaDvd ticket ...CORD would have a tough new battle on its hands ...who knows then what happens? Madvd will have no role to play if he can't get into the top two.......in 2002 dude couldn't even become an MP with an assured VP position!!! That was in 2002 when most Kalenjins voted for UMK.Times change.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi
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@quicksand, in the 2nd round Madvd will have nothing to sell to his constituency, he was more important to jubilee in the 1st round!!! ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/17/2008 Posts: 23,365 Location: Nairobi
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mawinder wrote:McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:So long as Kikuyus plus Ruto Kales do not add up to 50%.....listen to one @Lolest!!!! A good theory but not complete ...Alliances would change, if barred, Jubilee probably would try to channel support to someone sympathetic to their cause. Who might that be? Would we see a new force emerge on the scene? This is what could do with an analysis from BGL ...and a debate. With the history of the presidency, the sympathetic group will be a long shot!!!! You think CORD would have an easy win on their hands? Not so fast ... I think MaDvd would suddenly find himself becoming the most important man again, Jubilee would prostrate itself at his feet, then move its formidable campaign and propaganda machine to swing votes towards a MaDvd ticket ...CORD would have a tough new battle on its hands ...who knows then what happens? Madvd will have no role to play if he can't get into the top two.......in 2002 dude couldn't even become an MP with an assured VP position!!! That was in 2002 when most Kalenjins voted for UMK.Times change. All the luminaries won their repectice MP position from whichever party!!! ..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 10/11/2009 Posts: 1,223
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There was a time Mutahi ngunyi said that Raila Odinga will be number 3 and will go home! His hypothesis was that MM will win the election of Gema supported him. There is a possibility that Luhyia will vote for their own this time around and Musalia will harvest from the moderate Kalenjins and Kikuyus and other interested parties. If that would happen Raila will be gone on Round 1 and MM or UMK will have a 50/50 chance of being president. I will have no problem with either being the next Kenya CEO. I call it a scenario where the ghosts of PEV come back to haunt pamba. History will not remember you for your IQ. It will remember you for what you did. “Genius is 1 percent inspiration, 99 percent perspiration.” Thomas Edison
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/9/2008 Posts: 2,824
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BGL wrote:There was a time Mutahi ngunyi said that Raila Odinga will be number 3 and will go home! His hypothesis was that MM will win the election of Gema supported him.
There is a possibility that Luhyia will vote for their own this time around and Musalia will harvest from the moderate Kalenjins and Kikuyus and other interested parties. If that would happen Raila will be gone on Round 1 and MM or UMK will have a 50/50 chance of being president. I will have no problem with either being the next Kenya CEO. I call it a scenario where the ghosts of PEV come back to haunt pamba. wewe utarushiwa mawe sasa hivi!!!! When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/24/2009 Posts: 5,909 Location: Nairobi
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mawinder wrote:McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:quicksand wrote:McReggae wrote:So long as Kikuyus plus Ruto Kales do not add up to 50%.....listen to one @Lolest!!!! A good theory but not complete ...Alliances would change, if barred, Jubilee probably would try to channel support to someone sympathetic to their cause. Who might that be? Would we see a new force emerge on the scene? This is what could do with an analysis from BGL ...and a debate. With the history of the presidency, the sympathetic group will be a long shot!!!! You think CORD would have an easy win on their hands? Not so fast ... I think MaDvd would suddenly find himself becoming the most important man again, Jubilee would prostrate itself at his feet, then move its formidable campaign and propaganda machine to swing votes towards a MaDvd ticket ...CORD would have a tough new battle on its hands ...who knows then what happens? Madvd will have no role to play if he can't get into the top two.......in 2002 dude couldn't even become an MP with an assured VP position!!! That was in 2002 when most Kalenjins voted for UMK.Times change. Where are they voting in 2013?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/9/2008 Posts: 2,824
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BGL wrote:There was a time Mutahi ngunyi said that Raila Odinga will be number 3 and will go home! His hypothesis was that MM will win the election of Gema supported him.
There is a possibility that Luhyia will vote for their own this time around and Musalia will harvest from the moderate Kalenjins and Kikuyus and other interested parties. If that would happen Raila will be gone on Round 1 and MM or UMK will have a 50/50 chance of being president. I will have no problem with either being the next Kenya CEO. I call it a scenario where the ghosts of PEV come back to haunt pamba. my friend, wewe utarushiwa mawe sasa hivi!!!! When I have money, I get rid of it quickly, lest it find a way into my heart.
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