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Real Estate Investment strategy- Advice Needed
Seles83
#21 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 6:24:10 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/9/2007
Posts: 288
Location: OZ
Kausha wrote:
You should have bought the FXD 1/2012/10 in July at 14% yield or consolidated bond at 13.25%. In the first case you get 1,050,000 per annum before taxes which works out to 87,500 for the next 5 years. The money is religously paid into your account by CBK every 6 months. in 2-3 years time you have about 3m to buy a plot and start constructing slowly. In 10 years you have you 7.5m intact and you block of flats. You haven't risked much have you!


The only problem i have with Bond Market is that the other player is government?? Government has financial instruments that gives it an edge over investors anytime...

The Dollar was trading @~77 at 2010, highest @105 in 2011 and now 83-84 Range...
The CBR was at 11% in 2010 and now 18%...

Both the above situation makes an investor like me feel very vulnerable..that's why i prefer real estate..and commodity market (gold and silver)..one for capital growth and another to protect my wealth..

Stock market to me is like a casino..the house seems to win every time..Company fundamentals doesn't hold ground anymore..its just tracks smart money..I am not a connected guy..just a regular dude.who goes work and return home to his family...


More monies, more problems...
chiaroscuro
#22 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 8:28:59 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/2/2012
Posts: 1,134
Location: Nairobi
1] You cannot compare bonds and t-bills to real estate. The former have no capital appreciation!

2] Rental house bought on mortgage make NO financial sense

3] Rental houses bought fully built for cash make LITTLE financial sense

4] Rental houses self-built with mortgage make MORE financial sense

5] Rental houses self-built with own cash make A LOT of financial sense
guru267
#23 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 8:50:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
chiaroscuro wrote:
5] Rental houses self-built with own cash make A LOT of financial sense


This makes VERY LITTLE financial sense when compared with the stock market!

10million earning 40-60k rent per month can never beat that 10million earning 100-120k dividend per month.. smile

Seles83 wrote:
Stock market to me is like a casino..the house seems to win every time..


I dont get it... How does an investor lose money in the stock market If they never sell what they buy??

If people had the same mentality about stocks as they do about real estate the NSE would be a much better place!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Seles83
#24 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 8:57:49 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/9/2007
Posts: 288
Location: OZ
chiaroscuro wrote:
1] You cannot compare bonds and t-bills to real estate. The former have no capital appreciation!

2] Rental house bought on mortgage make NO financial sense

3] Rental houses bought fully built for cash make LITTLE financial sense

4] Rental houses self-built with mortgage make MORE financial sense

5] Rental houses self-built with own cash make A LOT of financial sense


@chiaroscuro

You nailed it...I just wish we had more pple like you in Wazua..

Thanks, that really awesome..
More monies, more problems...
chiaroscuro
#25 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 9:32:17 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/2/2012
Posts: 1,134
Location: Nairobi
guru267 wrote:
chiaroscuro wrote:
5] Rental houses self-built with own cash make A LOT of financial sense


This makes VERY LITTLE financial sense when compared with the stock market!

10million earning 40-60k rent per month can never beat that 10million earning 100-120k dividend per month.. smile




@guru267; the issue is not comparing real estate with other investments; that's why I warned in my point number 1].

The issue is the best way to go about real estate investment.

Don't be like the guy I asked which is the cheapest airline to Mombasa and he advised me not to go to Mombasa [ati kuna vita]! My reason for going there far outweighs the skirmishes...

In the same breath, the reasons for @seles wanting to go real estate far outweigh the potentially higher returns from stocks.
Kausha
#26 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 3:21:39 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
Why do I get the feeling people are just murking around here for to elicit debate and not in need of advice...mmhh..@sel....what do you think!!
Kim2012
#27 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 4:49:55 PM
Rank: Hello


Joined: 4/2/2012
Posts: 2
@ Seles83 :-
Find more real estate options in the link below, thats in a location with great potential for capital gains in the near future:-
http://www.canarysprings.com/

Vj
#28 Posted : Thursday, August 30, 2012 11:43:41 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 9/6/2010
Posts: 97
Location: nairobi, kenya
Its actually been a while since I came to wazua!

Anyway i've been in the property business from my university days, and one thing I profited immensely from is levereging. But i've seen people going bankrupt from the same, the key is having a positive cash flow and back up strategy for worst case scenario.

From your initial post i see you have around 7.5 m in cash. My advice to you is to go for the sucasa apartment and the 4 ways villa.

With this option you'll need a loan of around 10 M, with monthly repayments of around 180k for a 10 yr loan. your rent should be able to cover half your repayment, and judging from location as OZ i assume its australia, sending back around 1k AUD shouldn't be a daunting task.

As for suraya, they are okay...you'll get what you pay for.

Real estate always feels expensive when you buy it, but when you look back 10 years later its always a sound decision.
Before you can be be old and wise, you must first be young and stupid.
itz
#29 Posted : Friday, August 31, 2012 12:57:43 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/20/2009
Posts: 348
Vj wrote:
Its actually been a while since I came to wazua!

Anyway i've been in the property business from my university days, and one thing I profited immensely from is levereging. But i've seen people going bankrupt from the same, the key is having a positive cash flow and back up strategy for worst case scenario.

From your initial post i see you have around 7.5 m in cash. My advice to you is to go for the sucasa apartment and the 4 ways villa.

With this option you'll need a loan of around 10 M, with monthly repayments of around 180k for a 10 yr loan. your rent should be able to cover half your repayment, and judging from location as OZ i assume its australia, sending back around 1k AUD shouldn't be a daunting task.

As for suraya, they are okay...you'll get what you pay for.

Real estate always feels expensive when you buy it, but when you look back 10 years later its always a sound decision.



Quite interesting advice there from Vj.He started the post by telling you that leverage is good when you have positive cash flow(meaning your PITI) is covered by the rent.I totally agree with that and that is why you should not use leverage in the way he suggests.chances are you will blow up if interest rates are spiked to 25%+ and you dont have tenants for a few months or non payment.
Seles83
#30 Posted : Friday, August 31, 2012 2:38:12 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/9/2007
Posts: 288
Location: OZ
Vj wrote:
Its actually been a while since I came to wazua!

Anyway i've been in the property business from my university days, and one thing I profited immensely from is levereging. But i've seen people going bankrupt from the same, the key is having a positive cash flow and back up strategy for worst case scenario.

From your initial post i see you have around 7.5 m in cash. My advice to you is to go for the sucasa apartment and the 4 ways villa.

With this option you'll need a loan of around 10 M, with monthly repayments of around 180k for a 10 yr loan. your rent should be able to cover half your repayment, and judging from location as OZ i assume its australia, sending back around 1k AUD shouldn't be a daunting task.

As for suraya, they are okay...you'll get what you pay for.

Real estate always feels expensive when you buy it, but when you look back 10 years later its always a sound decision.



Thanks for the feedback about Suraya...Mortgage option is good..but kinda put me in stretched and more vulnerable....What i wanted to find out..is it really worth put myself in such a position? or are there better ways of doing it?

Lastly from one of your post, you move back from UK to Kenya to establish property development business..how is it working for you mate?
More monies, more problems...
Seles83
#31 Posted : Friday, August 31, 2012 2:44:03 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/9/2007
Posts: 288
Location: OZ
@itz

I wish we had data showing vacancy rates in different suburbs and different rent range...i.e

1- 5k 1br Rental Houses in Mathare North--0.3%
15-22k 2br-Rental Houses in Donholm-- 1%

Without reliable data on rental business, we basically make decisions on hunches...

What makes me uneasy about the Kiambu and Migaa projects is prospects of getting a tenant and vacancy rates?



More monies, more problems...
Seles83
#32 Posted : Friday, August 31, 2012 2:50:03 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/9/2007
Posts: 288
Location: OZ
Kausha wrote:
Why do I get the feeling people are just murking around here for to elicit debate and not in need of advice...mmhh..@sel....what do you think!!


@Kausha

I am always up for constructive and informative session about investments...there is so much that we can learn from each other, but ultimately we make our decisions...At this point i am leaning more towards strategy I though not the best, but works for my current situation..
Summary of things i now know or been updated:- shares with very good DPS, FXD and best of all is this summary from chiaroscuro smile Laughing out loudly

2] Rental house bought on mortgage make NO financial sense

3] Rental houses bought fully built for cash make LITTLE financial sense

4] Rental houses self-built with mortgage make MORE financial sense

5] Rental houses self-built with own cash make A LOT of financial sense
More monies, more problems...
Seles83
#33 Posted : Friday, August 31, 2012 6:35:44 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/9/2007
Posts: 288
Location: OZ
http://www.suraya.co.ke/.../the-lynx-mbagathi-road

Another Project from Suraya..Mbagathi Road...


CASH PRICES

APARTMENTS AUGUST 2012

TYPE SQM ACTUAL SALE PRICE TOTAL UNITS

1 BEDROOM Lynx 3 27 KSHS 3,200,000/=
60
2 BEDROOM
Lynx 4 38 KSHS 4,150,000/= 42
2 BEDROOM ENSUITE Lynx 5 42 KSHS 4,550,000/= 54


MORTGAGE BUYERS

10% DEPOSIT TO SURAYA SALES LTD.

90% MORTGAGE (APPROVED)
TYPE SQM ACTUAL SALE PRICE TOTAL UNITS

1 BEDROOM
Lynx 3 27 KSHS 3,600,000/= 60
2 BEDROOM
Lynx 4 38 KSHS 4,650,000/= 42
2 BEDROOM ENSUITE Lynx 5 42 KSHS 5,100,000/= 54
More monies, more problems...
Vj
#34 Posted : Friday, August 31, 2012 1:16:27 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 9/6/2010
Posts: 97
Location: nairobi, kenya
My advice was based on the assumption that you were in a comfortable position to pay the balance of your monthly payment, but if you have doubts about over exposing yourself then don't go for the mortgage option, its better to be safe then sorry. I always plan for worst case scenario and if it doesn't look realistically manageable then let it go.

If you are not in a hurry than I would suggest buying a plot on the peripheries of Nairobi, look at the new bypasses and highway projects to guide you. As much as you'll have a dead investment in the short run, I forsee considerable appreciation and you can save up for the construction till you are ready to move back.

The other thing I forgot to mention is that when buying property especially on the lower sides, work out the cost per unit area...you might be paying more for a mombasa road apartment with lower finishes then one in lavington.

Yes I moved backed straight from university in 2000, and its worked out better than I ever imagined. This is the new land of opportunity in my opinion.
Before you can be be old and wise, you must first be young and stupid.
mibbz
#35 Posted : Saturday, September 01, 2012 10:24:52 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
my advise;check out tofinarom.com which a housing cooperative society based in lavington green.a 3 bedroom 170sq meter project in kileleshwa is going for 9.3 milli.buy 2 on mortgage with the 7.5 mil as deposit and a balance of 11.1 mil remaining for mortgage.rental yields are approx 75k in that region so two houses 150k

but instead of rental income my advise is to dispose of both properties in two years at market value currently at 15-16 mil;repay your loans of 11.1milli plus interest of 20% pa for two years approx 4.44mil and if my estimate is correct you shall have a cool 15 mil from your initial 7 mil

my main aim is to encourage you to be mortgage free by the time you are going to get a rental house thus the reason for selling as above then by 2015 buying again into another of their project debt free
40by40 100by50
#36 Posted : Saturday, September 01, 2012 6:15:11 PM
Rank: Hello


Joined: 9/1/2012
Posts: 4
Newbie here. Long time reader. But this thread motivated me to register...

The sad thing about all of this is that you don't feel confident enough in Kenyan contractors that you do not feel you can build unless you are actually present in the country. If you think about it is a huge indictment of how lowly we hold our service providers... Maybe you should consider asking wazuans whether they know any good contractors...

The second thing, and I'm sorry if someone else has mentioned it and I missed it, would be if you are looking at rental income then a single unit from Suraya or whoever is obviously not your best bet. You really should be looking at a block of flats in a place like Baba Dogo would cost you 10m tops. A 4 floor block of flats with 6 units of one bedrooms per floor would get you around 200k per month. Management would cost you between 5% and 15%. Also you lesson the risk of 0 income that would come with a single unit when your tenant moves out.

It might take you a bit outside your comfort zone but you'd probably make a reasonable return.

I love this site by the way. It's just fantastic
young
#37 Posted : Sunday, September 02, 2012 2:19:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
mibbz wrote:
my advise;check out tofinarom.com which a housing cooperative society based in lavington green.a 3 bedroom 170sq meter project in kileleshwa is going for 9.3 milli.buy 2 on mortgage with the 7.5 mil as deposit and a balance of 11.1 mil remaining for mortgage.rental yields are approx 75k in that region so two houses 150k



@Mibbz,

Please confirm are you giving us info or you are talking from experience ?

Any one in this forum who is a member of Tonafinarom,
Share your experience on their reliability and ability to deliver on schedule

(ii) Requirement to be a member like guarantor etc.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
mibbz
#38 Posted : Sunday, September 02, 2012 2:37:53 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
@ young have no prior experience with dealing with tofinarom but i believe there was another thread about the same.shall look for it and post the link.
mibbz
#39 Posted : Sunday, September 02, 2012 2:42:13 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/18/2011
Posts: 448
check out wazua.co.ke/forum.aspx?g=posts&t=7777
and www.tofinarom.com

thanks
kaifastus
#40 Posted : Sunday, September 02, 2012 11:02:36 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/17/2011
Posts: 207
Location: humu humu
What's this crave about suraya? Some1 please make me understand. With 1.5 to 2.5m you can get a clean 50x100 or 40x80 plot. Use 3 to 4m to construct the first floor of 6 one bedroom rental houses. Rent them out for 5k to 7.5k a month. I am talking from experience.
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