cnn wrote:@stocksmaster,the second half witnessed frost bite in tea growing areas and the exchange rate is not as sweet as the first half..
Frost bite accounted for about 12% yield loses between January - February 2012 as compared to same period last year.
The dollar depreciated by about 25% between the peak value and current value. (Effect: Less sale price but also lower cost of inputs)
I estimate the impact of all the above to constitute an EPS reduction of not more than 40% as compared to 1st Half 2011 (thus: 0.6 x 89 = Ksh 53; Total EPS for 2011 = Ksh 89 + 53 = Ksh 142).
Going forward for 2012, the price of a Kg of tea is gradually rising (last auction was at average price of $ 3.50)......If all factors remain constant ie average rains, dollar at Ksh 83-85 range, Price at above $3 per kg etc; then WTK should be able to return an EPS in the range of Ksh 90 - 100 for 2012 (as it has done in the last 2 years).
Happy Hunting....