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This is Kenya's Next president?
kimiri
#21 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 12:56:37 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/12/2008
Posts: 215
I think the outcome of this thing is not easy to predict. As things currently are, whether WSR and UMK withdraw their candidature or not, RAO will not be able to garner the 50% plus 1 vote needed for an outright win during round 1 and therefore there will be a run off.

During the second round two things could happen. WSR, UMK, SKM and others can gang up and support the runners up candidate during the first round. In the event of this, RAO is likely to lose.

If WSR and UMK withdrew their candidature during round 1 and supported another candidate other than SKM, SKM will be no 3 and won’t be vying during round 2. Him(SKM) and a big chunk of his supporters may however decide to support RAO during round 2, and if this happens RAO may win.
TAZ
#22 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 12:59:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/14/2007
Posts: 4,152
kimiri wrote:

If WSR and UMK withdrew their candidature during round 1 and supported another candidate other than SKM, SKM will be no 3 and won’t be vying during round 2. Him(SKM) and a big chunk of his supporters may however decide to support RAO during round 2, and if this happens RAO may win.


SKM and RAO ni kama maji na mafuta.....i know politics doesn't have permanent enemies but i just don't see Wiper and Tinga working together.
YesuWangu
#23 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 1:12:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,588
kimiri wrote:
I think the outcome of this thing is not easy to predict. As things currently are, whether WSR and UMK withdraw their candidature or not, RAO will not be able to garner the 50% plus 1 vote needed for an outright win during round 1 and therefore there will be a run off.

During the second round two things could happen. WSR, UMK, SKM and others can gang up and support the runners up candidate during the first round. In the event of this, RAO is likely to lose.

If WSR and UMK withdrew their candidature during round 1 and supported another candidate other than SKM, SKM will be no 3 and won’t be vying during round 2. Him(SKM) and a big chunk of his supporters may however decide to support RAO during round 2, and if this happens RAO may win.



We must never make the mistake of underestimating the power of human greed in the light of any 'unity' especially political unity. As the day approaches, as our lists of preferred cabinet secretaries etc leak out, as we start thinking of life with our partners after the election ceremony, we will eat each other alive.

The war will be more vicious especially where there are many big egos.


McReggae
#24 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 1:59:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Plans to kick out KM from G7
http://www.thekenyanpost...t-kalonzo-from.html#more
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
eboomerang
#25 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 2:11:33 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/27/2011
Posts: 301
Location: Nairobi
I tend to think that PK could be the guy to pull a surprise. He seems to have no heavy weight politicians selling him or even interested on his political agenda, he is the dark horse in the race.

He is gaining support silently but quite steadily and could be quite appealing to the youth and middleclass. These are just my views...
McReggae
#26 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 2:17:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
If UK and WSR will not be in the ballot then Saitoti's chances will greatly increase....this remains kenya and those things about youth and mobile phones will not count!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Ngalaka
#27 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 2:24:15 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/29/2008
Posts: 1,566

One thing is apparent.
And it is as Ruto aptly put it;

"I know not who will be the next president, but I certainly know who wont be president!!!"

It's humbling to the 'enigma' and the now brow beaten enigmalets so common place here!

Hesabu haziingii.
Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
YesuWangu
#28 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 2:31:12 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,588
[quote=McReggae]Plans to kick out KM from G7
http://www.thekenyanpost...-kalonzo-from.html#more[/quote]

It was foretold eons ago!

But this has caught my attention:
Quote:
Under the proposed power sharing agreement, the two have agreed to contest, the elections separately, but to share power on a 50-50 basis regardless of who wins the presidency.

They will share cabinet positions equally and then jointly agree senior government appointments, diplomatic postings and even county position


They certainly have no good plans for the country, only their cronies will benefit.

Tomorrows list is being made today. The cronies are speaking hard to make the list. The loudest ones will.
Ngalaka
#29 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 2:47:41 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/29/2008
Posts: 1,566

I read sour grapes!
Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
McReggae
#30 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 2:54:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Ngalaka wrote:

One thing is apparent.
And it is as Ruto aptly put it;

"I know not who will be the next president, but I certainly know who wont be president!!!"

It's humbling to the 'enigma' and the now brow beaten enigmalets so common place here!

Hesabu haziingii.


Have it ever occured to you that this statement describes one Kalonzo perfectly???
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Ngalaka
#31 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 3:52:56 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/29/2008
Posts: 1,566
McReggae wrote:
Ngalaka wrote:

One thing is apparent.
And it is as Ruto aptly put it;

"I know not who will be the next president, but I certainly know who wont be president!!!"

It's humbling to the 'enigma' and the now brow beaten enigmalets so common place here!

Hesabu haziingii.


Have it ever occured to you that this statement describes one Kalonzo perfectly???


No it has never occured to me.

It may actually come to pass that Kalonzo wont be president - no big deal for me.

That however does not change the character Ruto was targetting.
Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
McReggae
#32 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 4:00:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Ngalaka wrote:
McReggae wrote:
Ngalaka wrote:

One thing is apparent.
And it is as Ruto aptly put it;

"I know not who will be the next president, but I certainly know who wont be president!!!"

It's humbling to the 'enigma' and the now brow beaten enigmalets so common place here!

Hesabu haziingii.


Have it ever occured to you that this statement describes one Kalonzo perfectly???


No it has never occured to me.

It may actually come to pass that Kalonzo wont be president - no big deal for me.

That however does not change the character Ruto was targetting.


...aha now you are the Ruto spokesman who knows everything he infers!!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
ali
#33 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 4:36:48 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/11/2008
Posts: 892
I insist, do not rule out Kalonzo.
The righteous will feed from the wealth of the worldly...I see Kalonzo making a harvest of wsr' and uhk's votes
For in him (Jesus) we live and move and have our being-Acts 17:28
Ngalaka
#34 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 4:38:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/29/2008
Posts: 1,566

The usual heckling begins.

I must duck before a stone flies!

One would expect that discussions in Wazua would bear a significant difference with the discussions held at construction sites.

When that demarcation line gets blurred I opt out!

Allow them to get a feeling of victory!
Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu
Lucid_Iam
#35 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 4:40:39 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
The dynamics in this race are unpredictable. I will wait till the last minute to make predictions and decide as well. But I know who I am not voting.
McReggae
#36 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 4:45:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Indeed brother Ngalaka, I agree with you fully coz the hecklers can surely never challenge the very well thought out wild allegations we see in wazua everyday, they belong in the construction site huh!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
YesuWangu
#37 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 4:59:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,588
Ngalaka wrote:

The usual heckling begins.

I must duck before a stone flies!

One would expect that discussions in Wazua would bear a significant difference with the discussions held at construction sites.

When that demarcation line gets blurred I opt out!

Allow them to get a feeling of victory!


I feel compelled to call out this behavior the cavil it is.

This defense mode occurs when one takes things personally. I used to feel so when I was still new in forums. One has no points to counter the opponent with but feels he has to say something so that passersby don't see him as a weak debater.

Why not just engage your opponent in a calm discourse? Don't you know what is said about heat and kitchens?

For Sport
#38 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 5:07:13 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 12/23/2010
Posts: 1,229
The voters are at the construction site.
Njung'e
#39 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 5:15:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
ali wrote:
I insist, do not rule out Kalonzo.
The righteous will feed from the wealth of the worldly...I see Kalonzo making a harvest of wsr' and uhk's votes


If,God forbid, KM ever becomes the CEO of this countrysmile ,i promise myself to ship out of this country to Somali or any other worse failed state.Nothing personal but i hate hypocrites with a passion.
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
Magigi
#40 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2012 5:20:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/31/2008
Posts: 7,081
Location: Kenya
Njung'e wrote:
ali wrote:
I insist, do not rule out Kalonzo.
The righteous will feed from the wealth of the worldly...I see Kalonzo making a harvest of wsr' and uhk's votes


If,God forbid, KM ever becomes the CEO of this countrysmile ,i promise myself to ship out of this country to Somali or any other worse failed state.Nothing personal but i hate hypocrites with a passion.


...Thinking alike ehehehe!!!...If ever I wake up in January, February or March and find that KM is the President of this country, I would relocate to Mogandisho!!!
...And Uhuru should tell us who those mafisi wanafuata mkono wake wakifikiria utaanguka wakule are...
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