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Current economy recession and the expected 2013 recovery
Cde Monomotapa
#11 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2011 3:05:23 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
the deal wrote:
You can that to the bank, Kenya needs a miracle to prevent a recession.

This guy too. Probably deportation as well.
youcan'tstopusnow
#12 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2011 3:53:21 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
NSE-20 on course for closing above 3100 for the year.

*****************************************************

We could use that oil find right about nowsmile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
jerry
#13 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2011 6:38:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
NSE-20 on course for closing above 3100 for the year.

*****************************************************

We could use that oil find right about nowsmile

Probably this is what Atwoli wanted expedited. I repeat; probably.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
QW25081985
#14 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2011 7:19:07 PM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
NSE-20 on course for closing above 3100 for the year.

*****************************************************

We could use that oil find right about nowsmile


dnt be fooled by the limping bull !
Cde Monomotapa
#15 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2011 11:54:49 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
jerry wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
NSE-20 on course for closing above 3100 for the year.

*****************************************************

We could use that oil find right about nowsmile

Probably this is what Atwoli wanted expedited. I repeat; probably.

YES! YES! YES! Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly #yamaworkers smile
Cde Monomotapa
#16 Posted : Sunday, December 25, 2011 11:56:59 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
MERRY Xmas Wazuans.
hisah
#17 Posted : Monday, December 26, 2011 9:17:07 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ah, I can see the thread has become thorny. Perfect smile

The term recession has many economists fighting for its definition. The one I chose is the MOST unpopular among the economist realm. It's at times referred to as 'newspaper' definition thus @qw's alarmist conclusion smile

What am I up to? Well the term current recession on this thread is forecasting the 2012 econ trend. I like calling trends before they take effect. So in 2012 it will be a current topic. So will @guru see the negative growth to be satisfied as the 2012 wears on smile

Always trend forecasting... That's me at my annoying best against everyone smile

@ybc - is back with a buy call but with caution smile

By the end of 2012, gok will have paid me dearly for buying their paper. @scubidu once asked why I was shorting KES before it zoomed past 90 to 107 smile

When oil discovery is announced, u can even buy paka & total instead of kk smile

Happy holidays smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
guru267
#18 Posted : Monday, December 26, 2011 9:41:01 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:


What am I up to? Well the term current recession on this thread is forecasting the 2012 econ trend. I like calling trends before they take effect. So in 2012 it will be a current topic. So will @guru see the negative growth to be satisfied as the 2012 wears on smile


@hisah even with the global financial crisis in and post election violence that followed the 7% growth in kenya there was still no recession.. We still had POSITIVE growth...

Its a known fact that its almost completely impossible for a country at our stage of devolpment to post negative growth..

Even if its +1% kenyas growth will be positive in all quarters of 2012 so no recession is coming..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
kizee1
#19 Posted : Monday, December 26, 2011 10:50:39 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
hisah is spot on.... why aren't you guys reading the signs? inverted yield curve= likely recession , however monetary contraction= DEFINITE RECESSION,if you want to compare apples and apples go back to a period of monetary contraction and check out how the economy fared...of the top of my head i can think of two
1.post goldenberg era
2.post SAP(structural adjustment programs) era

2012 will def be bleak banks wont lend, add the silly bill capping lending rates and well... remember our M3 to GDP ratio is at 46pct, so unless the authorities create money the economy will tank, there's no incumbent running for office so need for an economic boom, doubt even 2013 will be a boom year, even if we discover oil we wont see benefits that soon
QW25081985
#20 Posted : Tuesday, December 27, 2011 12:12:58 AM
Rank: User

Joined: 8/29/2011
Posts: 1,045
Location: Mtaani
hisah wrote:
Ah, I can see the thread has become thorny. Perfect smile

The term recession has many economists fighting for its definition. The one I chose is the MOST unpopular among the economist realm. It's at times referred to as 'newspaper' definition thus @qw's alarmist conclusion smile

What am I up to? Well the term current recession on this thread is forecasting the 2012 econ trend. I like calling trends before they take effect. So in 2012 it will be a current topic. So will @guru see the negative growth to be satisfied as the 2012 wears on smile

Always trend forecasting... That's me at my annoying best against everyone smile

@ybc - is back with a buy call but with caution smile

By the end of 2012, gok will have paid me dearly for buying their paper. @scubidu once asked why I was shorting KES before it zoomed past 90 to 107 smile

When oil discovery is announced, u can even buy paka & total instead of kk smile

Happy holidays smile




buy ???? he's gonna regret it ...my sight are on sub 2k after the current correction
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