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Estimated 71 Billion Barrels...
hisah
#341 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 1:48:08 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
JKA - buy opportunity...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#342 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 6:41:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
NAIROBI, July 6 (Reuters) - Somalia's government accused Kenya on Friday of awarding offshore oil and gas exploration blocks illegally to multinationals Total and Eni because the concessions lie in waters claimed by Somalia.

Rink

JUST a question..if the oil in Ngamia1 is more that 10BBO Will Kenya be ranked higher than Angola in terms of oil reserves?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
youcan'tstopusnow
#343 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 6:57:54 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
murchr wrote:
NAIROBI, July 6 (Reuters) - Somalia's government accused Kenya on Friday of awarding offshore oil and gas exploration blocks illegally to multinationals Total and Eni because the concessions lie in waters claimed by Somalia.



I had previously pondered on this.

youcan'tstopusnow on 8th June wrote:
Italian firm signs deal on oil search
http://www.businessdaily.../-/kxhkspz/-/index.html

So all 8 offshore blocks have now been allocated. I thought there was a dispute with Somalia that some of the blocks were in their waters...


Did any dialogue take place?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
murchr
#344 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 7:00:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
murchr wrote:
NAIROBI, July 6 (Reuters) - Somalia's government accused Kenya on Friday of awarding offshore oil and gas exploration blocks illegally to multinationals Total and Eni because the concessions lie in waters claimed by Somalia.



I had previously pondered on this.

youcan'tstopusnow on 8th June wrote:
Italian firm signs deal on oil search
http://www.businessdaily.../-/kxhkspz/-/index.html

So all 8 offshore blocks have now been allocated. I thought there was a dispute with Somalia that some of the blocks were in their waters...


Did any dialogue take place?


Somalia is being unfair...they are of the opinion that the boundary should run downwards yet Kenya says that the boundary should run East...the matter will most likely go to the UNCLOS
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
youcan'tstopusnow
#345 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 7:06:36 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
murchr wrote:
JUST a question..if the oil in Ngamia1 is more that 10BBO Will Kenya be ranked higher than Angola in terms of oil reserves?

According to Wikipedia, yessmile. We would be number 19 in the world if Ngamia1 holds 10BB0
http://en.m.wikipedia.or..._by_proven_oil_reserves
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#346 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 7:15:56 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Unfortunately such disputes are not known for their speed in resolution. See Bakassi Peninsula (Nigeria/Cameroon)
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
murchr
#347 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 7:26:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Bakassi looks like its in Cameroon...In the Kenyan Case Somalia is being greedy
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
Metasploit
#348 Posted : Sunday, July 08, 2012 12:35:02 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 985
Location: Dar es salaam,Tanzania
AOC forum

http://boardreader.com/t...yst_Call_boorXilowq.html

“The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.”
hisah
#349 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 7:48:53 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
www.businessdailyafrica....6/-/124tun9/-/index.html

And the moodys research note for KE oil only for $550 on download?!

www.alacrastore.com/rese...edit_Positive-PBC_143734
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mkonomtupu
#350 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 10:40:01 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
Apache Corp. (APA) will drill Kenya’s first deepwater oil well next month, a prospect that could add a $70 billion crude find to the record natural-gas discoveries along East Africa’s coast.
Apache and partners including Tullow Oil Plc (TLW) said the Mbawa well is likely to strike oil based on seismic data and slicks seen on the Indian Ocean’s surface. The drilling is targeting as much as 700 million barrels, a resource valued at twice Kenya’s annual economic output at today’s oil prices. With a 50 percent a stake in the well, a strike could add more than 10 percent to Houston-based Apache’s reserves
"What we are looking at in this well is to see if we can actually change the paradigm” in what’s been a gas-prone area, Tullow Chief Financial Officer Ian Springett said in a phone interview. “It’s a high-risk, high-upside well.”
http://www.bloomberg.com...-s-first-oil-energy.html
mkonomtupu
#351 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 11:01:34 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
LONDON — Oil major Shell again extended a deadline for Cove Energy shareholders to accept its $1.8 billion takeover offer, leaving the way open to trump a higher bid from rival....Shell said yesterday it was extending the deadline for Cove shareholders to accept its bid for a third time to July 11, following PTT's move on Monday to extend to July 6 the cut-off date for investors to accept its $1.9 billion offer.
Investors are still betting that Shell, keen to establish a presence in the world's next biggest gas frontier in East Africa, will raise its offer for Cove.
http://main.omanobserver.om/node/100948
hisah
#352 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 12:08:05 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mkonomtupu wrote:
LONDON — Oil major Shell again extended a deadline for Cove Energy shareholders to accept its $1.8 billion takeover offer, leaving the way open to trump a higher bid from rival....Shell said yesterday it was extending the deadline for Cove shareholders to accept its bid for a third time to July 11, following PTT's move on Monday to extend to July 6 the cut-off date for investors to accept its $1.9 billion offer.
Investors are still betting that Shell, keen to establish a presence in the world's next biggest gas frontier in East Africa, will raise its offer for Cove.
http://main.omanobserver.om/node/100948

If u are a hot chic in a town full of desperate men would just accept any offers from them smile Shell had better up it to $2.5B or walk away. Diamonds dont come cheap...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#353 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 12:17:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
[quote=mkonomtupu]Apache Corp. (APA) will drill Kenya’s first deepwater oil well next month, a prospect that could add a $70 billion crude find to the record natural-gas discoveries along East Africa’s coast.
Apache and partners including Tullow Oil Plc (TLW) said the Mbawa well is likely to strike oil based on seismic data and slicks seen on the Indian Ocean’s surface. The drilling is targeting as much as 700 million barrels, a resource valued at twice Kenya’s annual economic output at today’s oil prices. With a 50 percent a stake in the well, a strike could add more than 10 percent to Houston-based Apache’s reserves
"What we are looking at in this well is to see if we can actually change the paradigm” in what’s been a gas-prone area, Tullow Chief Financial Officer Ian Springett said in a phone interview. “It’s a high-risk, high-upside well.”
http://www.bloomberg.com...s-first-oil-energy.html[/quote]

Just beautiful.smile
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
murchr
#354 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 3:59:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
[quote=mkonomtupu]Apache Corp. (APA) will drill Kenya’s first deepwater oil well next month, a prospect that could add a $70 billion crude find to the record natural-gas discoveries along East Africa’s coast.
Apache and partners including Tullow Oil Plc (TLW) said the Mbawa well is likely to strike oil based on seismic data and slicks seen on the Indian Ocean’s surface. The drilling is targeting as much as 700 million barrels, a resource valued at twice Kenya’s annual economic output at today’s oil prices. With a 50 percent a stake in the well, a strike could add more than 10 percent to Houston-based Apache’s reserves
"What we are looking at in this well is to see if we can actually change the paradigm” in what’s been a gas-prone area, Tullow Chief Financial Officer Ian Springett said in a phone interview. “It’s a high-risk, high-upside well.”
http://www.bloomberg.com...s-first-oil-energy.html[/quote]


I have been waiting for this news for sometime time. Mbawa well....L8 has the best seismic data in the Lamu basin, and the news hasn't dissappointed wao...
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
PKoli
#355 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 4:45:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
Only a matter of time, we should find natural gas in this region.
Robinhood
#356 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 4:47:38 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/11/2008
Posts: 2,306
PKoli wrote:
Only a matter of time, we should find natural gas in this region.


Its better to find oil. Gas can be very costly to develop
Great men are not always wise, neither do the aged understand judgement...
Nabwire
#357 Posted : Wednesday, July 11, 2012 6:58:43 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/22/2011
Posts: 1,325
Interesting Hisah, nice to know you give relationship advice too!! Its always good to hear such advice from the horses mouth!!
Thanks for that heads up Mkonomtupu, and Murchr nice to know L8 has the best seismic data, fingers crossed yani!!!
murchr
#358 Posted : Thursday, July 12, 2012 7:57:26 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
From the grapevine

N1

Significant light oil discovery.
Oil in sands encountered in 1100m interval including 300m thick in Loch Shale.
Really significant explor result. Demonstrates substantial oil generation occurred in South Loc basin which is 1 of 7 related basins, each has similar magnitude to Lake Albert.

Loc Shale important interval. Above this the well encountered 100m net in 650m gross. Below Gross 150m. Oil recovered. Haven't estimated net, AOI say 43m.

Move away from fault we expect to find a complete interval of Loch Sands.
Expect 250m of that Gross further away from fault and quality to improve.

Q & A.

Can you read anything across from other basins?

Main impact is in the South Loch basin. Level of confidence is increased significantly. This basin has the Material Basin. Potential equiv to Lake Albert. 6 other basins holding at previous risk levels. We will appraise N1 and drill out similar prospects, Twiga, and embark on campaign to test other basins, South Omo in North Trend, results at the end of the Year.

Very bold wildcats.

Acreage is 10x Uganda, 1bn barrels so pre drill guidance was a 1/3 of prospective, so 3bn but then N1 and it exceeded expectations so a temptation to increase guidance to potential 1bn in South Loch, was thinking about 3bn barrels for their acres in Ethiopia and Kenya, might be closer to 9 or 10, but high risk upside with lots of work to do.

BUT with N1the size of the prize is potentially bigger.

Q&A

PaiPai....... drilled on old seismics.......? Kenya....... results tell anything about Volcano and disruption to oil play. What is source rock in lower sands?

Pai Pai....... all drilled on old seismic and FTG. Traps pretty well defined and in better position than a year ago.

100 leads now as opposed to 80.
Volcanics, some, drilled through some, thin and near surface. Concerns have been eased there. Can't rule our deeper source rock we don't yet know about.

Q &A

Congrats on Lower Loch... Twiga. 30km away so an idea on derisking on Twiga?

Twiga is geometrically mirror image to N1. COS has doubled to 30%. Lots of Geologiacl and Geographical stuff...... Good for Twiga in reference to previous Uganda style differences. Volumes....... hold back on volumes until evaluation of work. Exceeded guidance. Upside was 90mn barrels. That has been exceeded, work on going.

Q&A

Remind us net or gross and how matches pre drill.

Best in Lake Alb were 40m Net... that was good. Here we are talking 100m net in upper and more in lower so twice as much net pay. "WILDLY EXCEED EXPECTATIONS". Tax position updates to come

Q&A

N1. Reservoir geometry. missing some sections due to fault. Move away from fault should find more...... again 250m Gross..... RF looking for analogues to Lake Alb. A way off recover factors. Have recovered oil to surface."

-----------------------------------------------------


About it really. All very good to listen to.



Ya.. i'm very bullish, land package can't be duplicated.. AOIs holdings are worth a ton of $$$$$$$$$$. ML was pounding the table on TULLOW saying KENYA holdings worth xxx/share... AOI pretty much a equal partner in Kenya.. AOI a lot smaller.. and will move a lot faster and harder. 8/share will look really cheap soon. Like buying APPLE at 8/share after iphone first came out !
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
murchr
#359 Posted : Friday, July 13, 2012 12:13:30 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
AFRICA OIL GROUP EMPLOYEE SOLD 1 MLN SHARES, BUT NOT THE PRESIDENT AND FC


STOCKHOLM (Reuters) A group of confidential data of employees of Africa Oil has sold over 1 million shares in the company.

According to data from view service Canadian Insider and it is confirmed by the company.

"As an insider registered person buys or sells shares, it is a private financial matter, but I can confirm that a number of employees have chosen to sell shares now that they for the first time in three months had the opportunity to do so," said Robert Eriksson, head of investor relations the Lundin Sphere, the news agency Direkt.

Purchase or sale has not been allowed for transparency persons in the last three months. Now that the well Ngamia-1 has been drilled, the company was allowing insider registered persons to do business again.

"With regard to the senior management of the company, however, many who have not sold a single share, which includes CEO Keith Hill and Chief Financial Officer Ian Gibbs. In fact, Keith Hill the other day, exercised options to purchase an additional 400,000 shares," said Robert Eriksson.

He does not say exactly how many people have sold, but indicates that it is "no more than a handful."

The transaction was made on 5 July and sold a total of 1,045,534 shares of Africa Oil at a price of 8:25 Canadian dollars, according to Canadian Insider. The number of outstanding shares in the company amounts to more than 218 million according to information on the company website.


More on East Africa Oil exploration

IN OTHER NEWS

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
jonna
#360 Posted : Sunday, July 15, 2012 6:20:42 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/16/2011
Posts: 196
Location: united states of africa
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Shell just shelled a cool £1bn to buy Cove

Now u get the picture smile

@mainat - did u manage to get into this trade when I passed the hint 3 weeks back. Hope you did smile
The chart speaks for itself. 50% up in 3 weeks. Was at one point 122% up in a few days after the shell buyout announcement. This thing is aiming 400 before it cool down after the parabolic.

I'll be dropping more smash and grab EA oil/gas stocks with time. Stay tuned.

http://www.marketwatch.c...V/charts?CountryCode=uk

Btw anyone heard about SolarWindow? One heck of a disruptive technology this will be for electric generation firms! Follow the money smile

http://www.newenergytech.../technology/solarwindow



Hisah, whats your opinion on New Energy Technologies Inc for it seems am in a quagmire. I know that NENE has got the most innovative products and also cost effective compared to other solar companies but my bone of contention is whether this industry will pick up or not. Am referring to Solyndra company which was heavily funded by the Obama administration only to declare bankruptcy which makes me wonder whether New Energy Technologies Inc will be successful. But then again, it may be successful, just as Tesla which almost never made it through with its electric cars and the most intriguing part is where the other car companies started implementing what Tesla and other three electric car companies had started and as a result, we are having one company's idea being replicated by other companies enabling them to have a stake in the electric car market. My thoughts are that may be the same might happen to New Energy Technologies Inc.
So, whats your take about it?
Energy.
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