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Presidential Opinion Polls Tracking - now to 2012
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maligumu
#151 Posted : Tuesday, October 02, 2012 10:00:50 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/22/2010
Posts: 510
Location: De egg
MADE wrote:
...That ODM is still the most popular party with RAO as the most popular candidate could be a fact. So how does UK beat him in a re-run? If anything UK is the one candidate RAO really wishes to face off with; what of behind the scenes dark slogan of ''a kikuyu cannot succeed kikuyu''... (the 41 vs 1 formula). I see the hand of ODM schemers in this poll.They want to propel UK to higher heights in the campaigns thus massaging his esteem n ego to a point that he becomes arrogant and uncooperative to his bedfellows in the paper tiger called G7.Thus no amount of pressure from certain quarters can force him bow down for some one else. The ultimate design being to have UK all the way to the finish line with the assumption of facing RAO in 2nd round. At the same time, the schemers are working out to ensure that MM's star doesn't shine brightly in the public eye.More than any other candidate, MM remains RAO's biggest poll nightmare who must at all cost not be 'allowed' to enter 2nd round.
The other ODM catch is that those who always accuse the party of infiltrating opinion polls will now start BELIEVING in them since 'our' man is apparently winning.


@MADE that is the truth and the strategy seems to be working . Remember Kenyans vote on tribal lines hii mambo ya generation ni upuuzi . Remember a certain politician wondering kwani clan zingine haziwezi kuzaa president .
Peace be with you
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harrydre
#152 Posted : Tuesday, October 02, 2012 10:04:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
UK can't beat Pamba in a run-off...it will come down to 41 against 1 just like last elections especially when a Kikuyu president is leaving office. bad timing for UK. The threat right now is MaDvD or whoever UK endorses!!
i.am.back!!!!
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TAZ
#153 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 8:45:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/14/2007
Posts: 4,152
I think its now clear the ru-off will be bewteen OAR vs MaDVD. This will not be the first time UK has been forced to endorse someone else so i really don't get it when people say he won't do so especially now when he has unfinished business with the ICC. What i do not expect is any major endorsements to be made before the run-off.
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McReggae
#154 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 9:11:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
TAZ wrote:
I think its now clear the ru-off will be bewteen OAR vs MaDVD. This will not be the first time UK has been forced to endorse someone else so i really don't get it when people say he won't do so especially now when he has unfinished business with the ICC. What i do not expect is any major endorsements to be made before the run-off.


Now tell me TAZ, how does the run-off get to be between Raila and MaDVD if the endorsement is not before the run-off, I keep telling you guys that MaDVD only makes it to the run-off without a prior endorsement...FACT!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
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TAZ
#155 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 9:24:15 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/14/2007
Posts: 4,152
@ Mc Reggae.....Watch out for the opinion polls!
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Lucid_Iam
#156 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 9:29:01 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/30/2011
Posts: 483
harrydre wrote:
UK can't beat Pamba in a run-off...it will come down to 41 against 1 just like last elections especially when a Kikuyu president is leaving office. bad timing for UK. The threat right now is MaDvD or whoever UK endorses!!

This 41 against one may not work this time round. Kibaki would have beaten RAO without contest if SKM was not in the race in 07. If anything, this election will be decided by WR IMO.
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Impunity
#157 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 9:31:33 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,338
Location: Masada
Lolest! wrote:
The poll was through phone interviews of 2,000 people!! Why phone interview? That is biased sampling


And some reliable gutter press allege that senior Ipsos managers had night meetings with a top presidential contender just before the results were released.
I am watching this space.
d'oh!
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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Impunity
#158 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 9:45:56 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,338
Location: Masada
This Waweru Ng'ethe is just as cartoonist as his son.

RINK NDIO HII

Applause Applause Applause
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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harrydre
#159 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 1:38:10 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/10/2008
Posts: 9,131
Location: Kanjo
Impunity wrote:
Lolest! wrote:
The poll was through phone interviews of 2,000 people!! Why phone interview? That is biased sampling


And some reliable gutter press allege that senior Ipsos managers had night meetings with a top presidential contender just before the results were released.
I am watching this space.
d'oh!


and who would that be? pamba? UK? MaDvD?
i.am.back!!!!
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Jump-steady
#160 Posted : Wednesday, October 03, 2012 2:35:18 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/1/2008
Posts: 1,098
Lucid_Iam wrote:
harrydre wrote:
UK can't beat Pamba in a run-off...it will come down to 41 against 1 just like last elections especially when a Kikuyu president is leaving office. bad timing for UK. The threat right now is MaDvD or whoever UK endorses!!

This 41 against one may not work this time round. Kibaki would have beaten RAO without contest if SKM was not in the race in 07. If anything, this election will be decided by WR IMO.


@Lucid, you say it Lucidly!

Even with the 41-1 tactic, Pamba is beaten without WR. The thinking that WR people will vote for Pamba is far fetched. Pamba is clutching at straws now, only WR can save him Sad
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