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Kenya Airways...why ignore..
Impunity
#15791 Posted : Friday, February 20, 2026 3:31:32 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/2/2009
Posts: 26,331
Location: Masada
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


Cons to consider in KQ shares
1. No dividend up to 2030 and beyond. Earliest possibly 2032
2. Capitalization is not assured. GoK can fail to secure the funding based on the KQ books, which are not desirable in current state. Delta USA actually has opted out officially of the prospective buyers. Temasek has also issued communication of nil interest
3. If strategic investment is not secured. Nationalization will be the only other real possibility and the same will lead a share suspension, followed by delisting, with a payout sum to be solely determined by GoK
4. Fly Ethiopia are doing major things at Bole. Times have changed for the Pride of Africa
5. Boeing being the preferred fleet type for KQ, is facing acute supply challenges, with new delivery backlog stretching to 2033. It means the existing fleet will continue to age, and MRO shall be costly
6. Upcoming results announcement in 2 months time shall be a significant loss, which will cause a pull back on the price

High stakes at play. At KES 7.00 ONO, I should offload half of my holdings at 64% ROI

At KES 5.50 I am now offloading partially. My anticipation is that we should see a tumble of about KES 2.50 by end of next month, at which point, I will reload


How many KQ do u own?

You used to keep the data on your footer.
Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.

obiero
#15792 Posted : Saturday, February 21, 2026 5:08:17 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,211
Location: nairobi
Impunity wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


Cons to consider in KQ shares
1. No dividend up to 2030 and beyond. Earliest possibly 2032
2. Capitalization is not assured. GoK can fail to secure the funding based on the KQ books, which are not desirable in current state. Delta USA actually has opted out officially of the prospective buyers. Temasek has also issued communication of nil interest
3. If strategic investment is not secured. Nationalization will be the only other real possibility and the same will lead a share suspension, followed by delisting, with a payout sum to be solely determined by GoK
4. Fly Ethiopia are doing major things at Bole. Times have changed for the Pride of Africa
5. Boeing being the preferred fleet type for KQ, is facing acute supply challenges, with new delivery backlog stretching to 2033. It means the existing fleet will continue to age, and MRO shall be costly
6. Upcoming results announcement in 2 months time shall be a significant loss, which will cause a pull back on the price

High stakes at play. At KES 7.00 ONO, I should offload half of my holdings at 64% ROI

At KES 5.50 I am now offloading partially. My anticipation is that we should see a tumble of about KES 2.50 by end of next month, at which point, I will reload


How many KQ do u own?

You used to keep the data on your footer.

A lot

KQ ABP 4.26
heri
#15793 Posted : Monday, February 23, 2026 10:26:02 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 869
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


Cons to consider in KQ shares
1. No dividend up to 2030 and beyond. Earliest possibly 2032
2. Capitalization is not assured. GoK can fail to secure the funding based on the KQ books, which are not desirable in current state. Delta USA actually has opted out officially of the prospective buyers. Temasek has also issued communication of nil interest
3. If strategic investment is not secured. Nationalization will be the only other real possibility and the same will lead a share suspension, followed by delisting, with a payout sum to be solely determined by GoK
4. Fly Ethiopia are doing major things at Bole. Times have changed for the Pride of Africa
5. Boeing being the preferred fleet type for KQ, is facing acute supply challenges, with new delivery backlog stretching to 2033. It means the existing fleet will continue to age, and MRO shall be costly
6. Upcoming results announcement in 2 months time shall be a significant loss, which will cause a pull back on the price

High stakes at play. At KES 7.00 ONO, I should offload half of my holdings at 64% ROI

At KES 5.50 I am now offloading partially. My anticipation is that we should see a tumble of about KES 2.50 by end of next month, at which point, I will reload

Even with what the President said yesterday?
obiero
#15794 Posted : Monday, February 23, 2026 5:00:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,211
Location: nairobi
heri wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


Cons to consider in KQ shares
1. No dividend up to 2030 and beyond. Earliest possibly 2032
2. Capitalization is not assured. GoK can fail to secure the funding based on the KQ books, which are not desirable in current state. Delta USA actually has opted out officially of the prospective buyers. Temasek has also issued communication of nil interest
3. If strategic investment is not secured. Nationalization will be the only other real possibility and the same will lead a share suspension, followed by delisting, with a payout sum to be solely determined by GoK
4. Fly Ethiopia are doing major things at Bole. Times have changed for the Pride of Africa
5. Boeing being the preferred fleet type for KQ, is facing acute supply challenges, with new delivery backlog stretching to 2033. It means the existing fleet will continue to age, and MRO shall be costly
6. Upcoming results announcement in 2 months time shall be a significant loss, which will cause a pull back on the price

High stakes at play. At KES 7.00 ONO, I should offload half of my holdings at 64% ROI

At KES 5.50 I am now offloading partially. My anticipation is that we should see a tumble of about KES 2.50 by end of next month, at which point, I will reload

Even with what the President said yesterday?

@Heri. You were also at the greens? What he proposed was an illegality. Massive volume on KQ today. Are people going inside the plane, or disembarking. Your guess is as good as mine. The full year loss will be massive. On 18.03.2026 the KQ stock should dip slightly by about KES 2.50. However, it remains the best speculative play that exists on the NSE currently

KQ ABP 4.26
obiero
#15795 Posted : Monday, March 02, 2026 2:18:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,211
Location: nairobi
KES 4.50 incoming within the week, unless otherwise. Thereafter, KES 3.80 may be revisited, a clear BUY

KQ ABP 4.26
MaichBlack
#15796 Posted : Monday, March 02, 2026 9:11:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,836
obiero wrote:
KES 4.50 incoming within the week, unless otherwise. Thereafter, KES 3.80 may be revisited, a clear BUY

Am confused! Are you telling people to try catch a falling knife???

d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! Liar Liar Liar
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
MaichBlack
#15797 Posted : Monday, March 02, 2026 9:14:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2009
Posts: 7,836
Impunity wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


Cons to consider in KQ shares
1. No dividend up to 2030 and beyond. Earliest possibly 2032
2. Capitalization is not assured. GoK can fail to secure the funding based on the KQ books, which are not desirable in current state. Delta USA actually has opted out officially of the prospective buyers. Temasek has also issued communication of nil interest
3. If strategic investment is not secured. Nationalization will be the only other real possibility and the same will lead a share suspension, followed by delisting, with a payout sum to be solely determined by GoK
4. Fly Ethiopia are doing major things at Bole. Times have changed for the Pride of Africa
5. Boeing being the preferred fleet type for KQ, is facing acute supply challenges, with new delivery backlog stretching to 2033. It means the existing fleet will continue to age, and MRO shall be costly
6. Upcoming results announcement in 2 months time shall be a significant loss, which will cause a pull back on the price

High stakes at play. At KES 7.00 ONO, I should offload half of my holdings at 64% ROI

At KES 5.50 I am now offloading partially. My anticipation is that we should see a tumble of about KES 2.50 by end of next month, at which point, I will reload


How many KQ do u own?

You used to keep the data on your footer.

Kiliumana data ika disappear pap!!!
Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good returns.
VituVingiSana
#15798 Posted : Monday, March 02, 2026 11:29:30 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
KES 4.50 incoming within the week, unless otherwise. Thereafter, KES 3.80 may be revisited, a clear BUY

Am confused! Are you telling people to try catch a falling knife???

d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! Liar Liar Liar

Kigeugeu?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#15799 Posted : Tuesday, March 03, 2026 12:03:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,211
Location: nairobi
MaichBlack wrote:
Impunity wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


Cons to consider in KQ shares
1. No dividend up to 2030 and beyond. Earliest possibly 2032
2. Capitalization is not assured. GoK can fail to secure the funding based on the KQ books, which are not desirable in current state. Delta USA actually has opted out officially of the prospective buyers. Temasek has also issued communication of nil interest
3. If strategic investment is not secured. Nationalization will be the only other real possibility and the same will lead a share suspension, followed by delisting, with a payout sum to be solely determined by GoK
4. Fly Ethiopia are doing major things at Bole. Times have changed for the Pride of Africa
5. Boeing being the preferred fleet type for KQ, is facing acute supply challenges, with new delivery backlog stretching to 2033. It means the existing fleet will continue to age, and MRO shall be costly
6. Upcoming results announcement in 2 months time shall be a significant loss, which will cause a pull back on the price

High stakes at play. At KES 7.00 ONO, I should offload half of my holdings at 64% ROI

At KES 5.50 I am now offloading partially. My anticipation is that we should see a tumble of about KES 2.50 by end of next month, at which point, I will reload


How many KQ do u own?

You used to keep the data on your footer.

Kiliumana data ika disappear pap!!!

Hehe. The data is still there

KQ ABP 4.26
obiero
#15800 Posted : Tuesday, March 03, 2026 12:06:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 14,211
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
MaichBlack wrote:
obiero wrote:
KES 4.50 incoming within the week, unless otherwise. Thereafter, KES 3.80 may be revisited, a clear BUY

Am confused! Are you telling people to try catch a falling knife???

d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! Liar Liar Liar

Kigeugeu?

Ningekutusi if you weren't twice my age. When I sold half my KQ holding, I declared it right here at KES 5.50. I still hold KQ, and I am waiting for the post results disappointment to load up massively at KES 3.80. Fair value remains KES 7.52

KQ ABP 4.26
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