Ifahamike kwamba:

1. KDF rehatted to Amisom. Do not talk of Kenya withdrawing from Somali, the correct way to say it therefore is Kenya to withdraw from Amisom, or Amisom from Somali!

2. Somali theatre has barely KDF 4,500 troops – bulk of troops are in +254 and adequate to provide security. So their absence here is NOT the cause of the insecurity in +254, it is actually a failure of homeland security – corrupt cops, criminal intelligence, immigr. officials,etc. So they should stay until AMISOM’s mandate expires – they do great things for their motherland but these can’t be publicly acknowledged.

3. Kebabs are merely youth from poverty-stricken Somali families who warlords brainwash with religion. Like now you go arm and train our Mungiki with fundukis, RPGs, and other weapons away from their traditional machetes. Poor exploited youth - giving them jobs and means of living is key. That means reviving the economy. That means creating a peaceful environment conducive for business for a judicial system, for a political administrative system. That means an external stabilizing (not occupational) force. Raison d’etre for Amisom.

4. The average Somali is a very hadworking person. Why, Somali was once a leading banana and fruits exporter in E.A! They still have very good farmers. And good business acumen too. But absence of peace, and extortion from Kebabs limits them.

5. Somalis are moderate Moslems and do not subscribe to extremist beliefs. They would rather a peaceful life where they can farm and pursue their other main pre-occupations: doing business and pastoralism.

6. But the warlords - who have arms, prosper and enrich themselves from the chaos, would like this perpetuated for the continuity of their personal riches. So they lord over ordinary Soms, conveniently adding religion to the mix and invite Moslem extremists/ Afghan/ M.E vets who import their grievances with US,UK & Israel to E.A. These are the pple @Guru supports.

7. Kebabs were once strong - at the onset of hostilities with the Ugandans in Mogtishu, UPDF was only able to advance 50metres (half uwanja ya ball) in >3 years! Their strength has been reduced significantly, reduced to guerilla tactics.

8. An all-out offensive by an enlarged Amisom with adequate force multipliers (mandege) would almost wipe them out, with resulting vacuum quickly filled by an assertive Pres. of Som. and socio-econo-political structures determined by pple of Som. put in place immediately.

9. And then Som. can join E.A Community – a huge trading bloc that would include Ethiopia, S.S., Ug, Tz,Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda –interconnected by railways, massive highways, oil pipelines, massive elec grids…

10. @ Guru, think of the infinite economic possibilities such a huge market of combined population of > 350 M pple, seating on the world’s largest oil and gas reserves offers...unfortunately you are fixated on point 6 above merely because you have a common religion with them. Sad.

You have little understanding of a Jihadis mindset!

AMISOM could be there for 5 years or 200 years for all they care but the fight will NEVER end until they withdraw!

The Americans were sharp enough to understand that in Afghanistan... Too bad we Africans have too much ego!

We are now coming to 10 years of the invasion with nothing to show but a few selfies with Somali kids!

The way kebabs fight my dear, is no match for KDF. I wont give details but you can take that to the nearest bank.

Kebabs can only succeed in massacring civilians and laying small stupid ambushes that mostly get themselves killed rather than kill the target.

That figure of 200 is grossly exaggerated. Do you know how many kebabs are roasting in hell right now courtesy of KDF? I will tell you this when we meet in private .

Meanwhile, I may agree with you that eventually, only the Somalis can save themselves, not AMISOM. But then again AMISOM ain't going anywhere anytime soon because the people of Somalia themselves need it there, and therefore cannot be dictated to leave by less than 5000 lunatics at the expense of millions of innocent Somalis. The world needs AMISOM there

Interestingly, so long as we still have Qatars and other willing sponsors of terror, jobless and poor Al-kebabs are there to stay.......chaos in Som will be with us for a long time to come.

For KDF to stay put or to get out is not a very easy question like you want to put it.