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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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hisah
#1331 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 9:40:46 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
littledove wrote:
hisah wrote:


Fed hikes rates by 0.25%. First rate hike in 9 yrs. Next year markets will be volatile when junk bond market starts coughing!

this one thing i have never understand well, the small percentage (0.25) why is that small percentage expected to have a big impact? what if they raise by 2% 5% or such like figures, somebody educate me here

0.25% on trillions of USD debt is not loose change... If they were to hike by 100bps debt markets would blow up!

Focus is now trained on how Fed plans to unwind the $4.5 trillion in their books.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Spikes
#1332 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 11:43:31 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
The BULLS are back given that mini campaigns will begin next year the government will want to make the economy liquid to sway votes in their favour. 2016 will be a year of mammoth rally across all counters take position now people.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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whiteowl
#1333 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 12:38:45 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
Spikes wrote:
The BULLS are back given that mini campaigns will begin next year the government will want to make the economy liquid to sway votes in their favour. 2016 will be a year of mammoth rally across all counters take position now people.


You can't make the economy liquid when you're broke.
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streetwise
#1334 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 12:51:03 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
The US economy is gigantic so 0.25% change is huge.

In essence when you look at any figures, check how large the amounts are in quantity as well as the percentages. This will tell you what you are dealing with
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Spikes
#1335 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 1:06:01 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
If the government will be broke then Jubilee administration will find it so hard to rig elections.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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streetwise
#1336 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 2:19:14 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/23/2011
Posts: 1,740
Location: Nairobi
I believe Jubilee started collecting money for campaigns long time ago.

Going by the many corruption scandals they have enough. Wait and see
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hisah
#1337 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 5:47:06 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Closely watching the volume churn in Dec across the heavyweight counters. Last year large volume churned in Dec (traditionally a quiet month) which was quite strange. This Dec the same pattern is repeating though the volume is not as high as last year, but still higher than Dec average volume. If the pattern mirrors 2014 end of year book squaring then it means the mini rally that will ensue will run out of steam in Apr/May. If the June budget is another ridiculous debt binge (2 trillion plus) the market will hit the decks again! The Fed rate hike has already pulled a lot of rug out of the risky markets! This will become clear as 2016 progresses. Good luck to CBK as it tries to force KES to strengthen vs USD. That's a hopeless battle as capital flies back into USD markets.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1338 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 6:44:25 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Brent is breaking below critical levels!!! Deflation getting muscular as commodos unwind without pause!


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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VituVingiSana
#1339 Posted : Thursday, December 17, 2015 7:50:43 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,353
Location: Nairobi
Spikes wrote:
If the government will be broke then Jubilee administration will find it so hard to rig elections.
The government is broke because of the theft of funds BUT there is still more than enough for Jubilee to steal to help rig the elections. After all, you still pay taxes...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, December 18, 2015 6:53 PM | Reason: Not specified
lochaz-index
#1340 Posted : Friday, December 18, 2015 4:29:43 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
hisah wrote:


Fed hikes rates by 0.25%. First rate hike in 9 yrs. Next year markets will be volatile when junk bond market starts coughing!


I never thought these guys would have the cojones to pull this off. Price for 'credibility'I guess.....which will be eroded massively once the econ meltdown is firmly underway. Might as well start betting on when they will backtrack/back pedal by cutting the rates. Q2 2016???

All in all (with the fed hike being the catalyst plus a host of other reasons), next year is sure to be one hell of a smack down in the markets.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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  | | Edit by user: Friday, December 18, 2015 4:42 PM | Reason: Not specified
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