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Law Capping interest rates
bartum
#2521 Posted : Sunday, June 17, 2018 5:26:17 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
Cyton is short on banks at short term
https://cytonnreport.com...ort-cytonn-weekly-242018
mwekez@ji
#2522 Posted : Sunday, June 17, 2018 7:12:47 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
bartum wrote:

Am with them in NIC. Am surprised to see they are in HFCK
mwekez@ji
#2523 Posted : Sunday, June 17, 2018 7:22:37 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
bartum wrote:

By the way, i havent seen where they say they are short on banks at short term.

obiero
#2524 Posted : Sunday, June 17, 2018 7:54:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,502
Location: nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
bartum wrote:

By the way, i havent seen where they say they are short on banks at short term.


Neither have I

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2525 Posted : Sunday, June 17, 2018 7:55:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,502
Location: nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
bartum wrote:

Am with them in NIC. Am surprised to see they are in HFCK

HF is worth the short term risk. With payment of the bond recently and prospects of rate cap repeal. It could reprice upwards

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Angelica _ann
#2526 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 9:01:04 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
obiero wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
bartum wrote:

Am with them in NIC. Am surprised to see they are in HFCK

HF is worth the short term risk. With payment of the bond recently and prospects of rate cap repeal. It could reprice upwards


Waiting to see bank gains at NSE this week as reaction to the announcement!!!
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Superprime1
#2527 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 11:51:08 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/2/2018
Posts: 267
@Angelica_Ann Looks like NIC is responding....
wukan
#2528 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 1:03:40 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,589
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
jgithige wrote:
obiero wrote:
RIEK01 wrote:
Robbery in the hood..

The repeal will cripple us. We better live with the current interest rates. Those who can qualify wapewe! Sisi wengine Mungu atatulinda


Problem lies with unending appetite from our govt to borrow internally, they have crowded out the SMEs and to some extent corporate. Banks are enjoyin lendin to the risk free Govt. Interest capping would have worked if the govt was not a major player in domestic borrowing. Banks would be hawking their loans like jungu-karanga.


True but interest rates cap law was not for the ordinary citizen.
It was GOK to borrow more at cheap rates and waste more


There is also a theory that the rate cap law was a bank bailout.

@wukan explain with aid of a diagram


Posting diagrams on wazua is like rocket science. Theory as explained to me (though must confess i was too drunk to follow the theory properlyLaughing out loudly )...governments fund bailouts in the short run by borrowing or issuing bonds,which are repaid by future taxation. If you look at the private sector credit growth was on a rapid decline before the rate cap. The decline was more pronounced after the collapse of Imperial, Chase bank there was a period of illiquidity. After rate cap private credit growth has stabilized. Kenya businesses are too reliant on banks for funding (above 90%) meaning banks were taking too high a risk in NPLs. To stabilize things GoK went on spending binge which banks funded at generous interest. Simply the taxpayers have funded a bailout through interest rates on bonds infusing capital into the banks. Notice there are no rights issues from the banks of late.
whiteowl
#2529 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 1:50:31 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
wukan wrote:
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
jgithige wrote:
obiero wrote:
RIEK01 wrote:
Robbery in the hood..

The repeal will cripple us. We better live with the current interest rates. Those who can qualify wapewe! Sisi wengine Mungu atatulinda


Problem lies with unending appetite from our govt to borrow internally, they have crowded out the SMEs and to some extent corporate. Banks are enjoyin lendin to the risk free Govt. Interest capping would have worked if the govt was not a major player in domestic borrowing. Banks would be hawking their loans like jungu-karanga.


True but interest rates cap law was not for the ordinary citizen.
It was GOK to borrow more at cheap rates and waste more


There is also a theory that the rate cap law was a bank bailout.

@wukan explain with aid of a diagram


Posting diagrams on wazua is like rocket science. Theory as explained to me (though must confess i was too drunk to follow the theory properlyLaughing out loudly )...governments fund bailouts in the short run by borrowing or issuing bonds,which are repaid by future taxation. If you look at the private sector credit growth was on a rapid decline before the rate cap. The decline was more pronounced after the collapse of Imperial, Chase bank there was a period of illiquidity. After rate cap private credit growth has stabilized. Kenya businesses are too reliant on banks for funding (above 90%) meaning banks were taking too high a risk in NPLs. To stabilize things GoK went on spending binge which banks funded at generous interest. Simply the taxpayers have funded a bailout through interest rates on bonds infusing capital into the banks. Notice there are no rights issues from the banks of late.


You can't do a rights issue in a depressed market so that wasnt an option anyway.
Wakanyugi
#2530 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 4:09:11 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,634
wukan wrote:
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
jgithige wrote:
obiero wrote:
RIEK01 wrote:
Robbery in the hood..

The repeal will cripple us. We better live with the current interest rates. Those who can qualify wapewe! Sisi wengine Mungu atatulinda


Problem lies with unending appetite from our govt to borrow internally, they have crowded out the SMEs and to some extent corporate. Banks are enjoyin lendin to the risk free Govt. Interest capping would have worked if the govt was not a major player in domestic borrowing. Banks would be hawking their loans like jungu-karanga.


True but interest rates cap law was not for the ordinary citizen.
It was GOK to borrow more at cheap rates and waste more


There is also a theory that the rate cap law was a bank bailout.

@wukan explain with aid of a diagram


Posting diagrams on wazua is like rocket science. Theory as explained to me (though must confess i was too drunk to follow the theory properlyLaughing out loudly )...governments fund bailouts in the short run by borrowing or issuing bonds,which are repaid by future taxation. If you look at the private sector credit growth was on a rapid decline before the rate cap. The decline was more pronounced after the collapse of Imperial, Chase bank there was a period of illiquidity. After rate cap private credit growth has stabilized. Kenya businesses are too reliant on banks for funding (above 90%) meaning banks were taking too high a risk in NPLs. To stabilize things GoK went on spending binge which banks funded at generous interest. Simply the taxpayers have funded a bailout through interest rates on bonds infusing capital into the banks. Notice there are no rights issues from the banks of late.


It sounds like your theorist was even more drunk than you were smile Why all the complication if what was at stake was a bank bailout?

Me I think the the cap turned out to be the essential kick in the pants that banks needed to reform. For the likes of Equity, KCB, Cooperative, repealing the cap is now icing on the cake, not an absolute necessity. The technology and process reforms they have made or accelerated have shown they can make money at 13% - of course government appetite has helped.

As for Wanjiku, I maintain that we may have dodged a bullet. Most of those high risk loans that disappeared were middle class consumption debt that the nation can do without. What we need now is a law to tame those technology based Shylocks aka Mshwari, Tala, Branch that are fueling consumer borrowing by the very poor etc.

As for the caps, keep them on for one more year and we shall see some serious consolidation in the banking sector. In fact with reduced government borrowing in the local market, we shall not hear of credit declines anymore. Banks will always lend money, otherwise what do they do with the loot?
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
obiero
#2531 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 5:18:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,502
Location: nairobi
Wakanyugi wrote:
wukan wrote:
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
jgithige wrote:
obiero wrote:
RIEK01 wrote:
Robbery in the hood..

The repeal will cripple us. We better live with the current interest rates. Those who can qualify wapewe! Sisi wengine Mungu atatulinda


Problem lies with unending appetite from our govt to borrow internally, they have crowded out the SMEs and to some extent corporate. Banks are enjoyin lendin to the risk free Govt. Interest capping would have worked if the govt was not a major player in domestic borrowing. Banks would be hawking their loans like jungu-karanga.


True but interest rates cap law was not for the ordinary citizen.
It was GOK to borrow more at cheap rates and waste more


There is also a theory that the rate cap law was a bank bailout.

@wukan explain with aid of a diagram


Posting diagrams on wazua is like rocket science. Theory as explained to me (though must confess i was too drunk to follow the theory properlyLaughing out loudly )...governments fund bailouts in the short run by borrowing or issuing bonds,which are repaid by future taxation. If you look at the private sector credit growth was on a rapid decline before the rate cap. The decline was more pronounced after the collapse of Imperial, Chase bank there was a period of illiquidity. After rate cap private credit growth has stabilized. Kenya businesses are too reliant on banks for funding (above 90%) meaning banks were taking too high a risk in NPLs. To stabilize things GoK went on spending binge which banks funded at generous interest. Simply the taxpayers have funded a bailout through interest rates on bonds infusing capital into the banks. Notice there are no rights issues from the banks of late.


It sounds like your theorist was even more drunk than you were smile Why all the complication if what was at stake was a bank bailout?

Me I think the the cap turned out to be the essential kick in the pants that banks needed to reform. For the likes of Equity, KCB, Cooperative, repealing the cap is now icing on the cake, not an absolute necessity. The technology and process reforms they have made or accelerated have shown they can make money at 13% - of course government appetite has helped.

As for Wanjiku, I maintain that we may have dodged a bullet. Most of those high risk loans that disappeared were middle class consumption debt that the nation can do without. What we need now is a law to tame those technology based Shylocks aka Mshwari, Tala, Branch that are fueling consumer borrowing by the very poor etc.

As for the caps, keep them on for one more year and we shall see some serious consolidation in the banking sector. In fact with reduced government borrowing in the local market, we shall not hear of credit declines anymore. Banks will always lend money, otherwise what do they do with the loot?

@Wakanyugi has a grasp on matters financial sector in KE. Catch industry heavyweights tonight on Fanaka TV 7-8pm discussing the rate cap

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Wakanyugi
#2532 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 5:50:45 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,634
obiero wrote:
Wakanyugi wrote:
wukan wrote:
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
jgithige wrote:
obiero wrote:
RIEK01 wrote:
Robbery in the hood..

The repeal will cripple us. We better live with the current interest rates. Those who can qualify wapewe! Sisi wengine Mungu atatulinda


Problem lies with unending appetite from our govt to borrow internally, they have crowded out the SMEs and to some extent corporate. Banks are enjoyin lendin to the risk free Govt. Interest capping would have worked if the govt was not a major player in domestic borrowing. Banks would be hawking their loans like jungu-karanga.


True but interest rates cap law was not for the ordinary citizen.
It was GOK to borrow more at cheap rates and waste more


There is also a theory that the rate cap law was a bank bailout.

@wukan explain with aid of a diagram


Posting diagrams on wazua is like rocket science. Theory as explained to me (though must confess i was too drunk to follow the theory properlyLaughing out loudly )...governments fund bailouts in the short run by borrowing or issuing bonds,which are repaid by future taxation. If you look at the private sector credit growth was on a rapid decline before the rate cap. The decline was more pronounced after the collapse of Imperial, Chase bank there was a period of illiquidity. After rate cap private credit growth has stabilized. Kenya businesses are too reliant on banks for funding (above 90%) meaning banks were taking too high a risk in NPLs. To stabilize things GoK went on spending binge which banks funded at generous interest. Simply the taxpayers have funded a bailout through interest rates on bonds infusing capital into the banks. Notice there are no rights issues from the banks of late.


It sounds like your theorist was even more drunk than you were smile Why all the complication if what was at stake was a bank bailout?

Me I think the the cap turned out to be the essential kick in the pants that banks needed to reform. For the likes of Equity, KCB, Cooperative, repealing the cap is now icing on the cake, not an absolute necessity. The technology and process reforms they have made or accelerated have shown they can make money at 13% - of course government appetite has helped.

As for Wanjiku, I maintain that we may have dodged a bullet. Most of those high risk loans that disappeared were middle class consumption debt that the nation can do without. What we need now is a law to tame those technology based Shylocks aka Mshwari, Tala, Branch that are fueling consumer borrowing by the very poor etc.

As for the caps, keep them on for one more year and we shall see some serious consolidation in the banking sector. In fact with reduced government borrowing in the local market, we shall not hear of credit declines anymore. Banks will always lend money, otherwise what do they do with the loot?

@Wakanyugi has a grasp on matters financial sector in KE. Catch industry heavyweights tonight on Fanaka TV 7-8pm discussing the rate cap


Is Fanaka available on GoTV, Startimes or free to air?


"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
obiero
#2533 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 6:17:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,502
Location: nairobi
Wakanyugi wrote:
obiero wrote:
Wakanyugi wrote:
wukan wrote:
obiero wrote:
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
jgithige wrote:
obiero wrote:
RIEK01 wrote:
Robbery in the hood..

The repeal will cripple us. We better live with the current interest rates. Those who can qualify wapewe! Sisi wengine Mungu atatulinda


Problem lies with unending appetite from our govt to borrow internally, they have crowded out the SMEs and to some extent corporate. Banks are enjoyin lendin to the risk free Govt. Interest capping would have worked if the govt was not a major player in domestic borrowing. Banks would be hawking their loans like jungu-karanga.


True but interest rates cap law was not for the ordinary citizen.
It was GOK to borrow more at cheap rates and waste more


There is also a theory that the rate cap law was a bank bailout.

@wukan explain with aid of a diagram


Posting diagrams on wazua is like rocket science. Theory as explained to me (though must confess i was too drunk to follow the theory properlyLaughing out loudly )...governments fund bailouts in the short run by borrowing or issuing bonds,which are repaid by future taxation. If you look at the private sector credit growth was on a rapid decline before the rate cap. The decline was more pronounced after the collapse of Imperial, Chase bank there was a period of illiquidity. After rate cap private credit growth has stabilized. Kenya businesses are too reliant on banks for funding (above 90%) meaning banks were taking too high a risk in NPLs. To stabilize things GoK went on spending binge which banks funded at generous interest. Simply the taxpayers have funded a bailout through interest rates on bonds infusing capital into the banks. Notice there are no rights issues from the banks of late.


It sounds like your theorist was even more drunk than you were smile Why all the complication if what was at stake was a bank bailout?

Me I think the the cap turned out to be the essential kick in the pants that banks needed to reform. For the likes of Equity, KCB, Cooperative, repealing the cap is now icing on the cake, not an absolute necessity. The technology and process reforms they have made or accelerated have shown they can make money at 13% - of course government appetite has helped.

As for Wanjiku, I maintain that we may have dodged a bullet. Most of those high risk loans that disappeared were middle class consumption debt that the nation can do without. What we need now is a law to tame those technology based Shylocks aka Mshwari, Tala, Branch that are fueling consumer borrowing by the very poor etc.

As for the caps, keep them on for one more year and we shall see some serious consolidation in the banking sector. In fact with reduced government borrowing in the local market, we shall not hear of credit declines anymore. Banks will always lend money, otherwise what do they do with the loot?

@Wakanyugi has a grasp on matters financial sector in KE. Catch industry heavyweights tonight on Fanaka TV 7-8pm discussing the rate cap


Is Fanaka available on GoTV, Startimes or free to air?



FTA PANG 178

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
maka
#2534 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 8:21:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
https://youtu.be/iuCCepVr_Bs
possunt quia posse videntur
Angelica _ann
#2535 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 8:49:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,908
maka wrote:
https://youtu.be/iuCCepVr_Bs


Thanks, Nice debate lakini WC smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#2536 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 8:58:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,502
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
maka wrote:
https://youtu.be/iuCCepVr_Bs


Thanks, Nice debate lakini WC smile

Jude Njomo, the MP Who introduced the Interest Rate Cap Bill will be in attendance

“Am not against banks making profits, but against banks making so much profit that the other businesses that borrow money from the banks don't make any profit” #InterestRateDebate

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2537 Posted : Monday, June 18, 2018 9:06:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,502
Location: nairobi
Jude Njomo, the brain behind the rate caps says: “Initially, credit was available but unaffordable. Today, credit is affordable but not available” #InterestRateDebate I will ensure that the rate cap is not repealed, via parliament https://www.standardmedi...repeal-interest-rate-law

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
wukan
#2538 Posted : Tuesday, June 19, 2018 4:43:03 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,589
obiero wrote:
Jude Njomo, the brain behind the rate caps says: “Initially, credit was available but unaffordable. Today, credit is affordable but not available” #InterestRateDebate I will ensure that the rate cap is not repealed, via parliament https://www.standardmedi...epeal-interest-rate-law


Frontier market paupersLaughing out loudly wait till October the IMF will be in town with the terms of surrender. Meanwhile Zambia is feeling the pain
ngapat
#2539 Posted : Thursday, June 21, 2018 2:18:32 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 884
[quote=obiero]Jude Njomo, the brain behind the rate caps says: “Initially, credit was available but unaffordable. Today, credit is affordable but not available” #InterestRateDebate I will ensure that the rate cap is not repealed, via parliament https://www.standardmedi...epeal-interest-rate-law[/quote]

That is what happens when the law of demand and supply is not followed.
For electricity they say its better to have expensive power than have no power at all. Wonder whether this can also apply to credit.
Would we rather have expensive credit or no credit at all.
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
mlennyma
#2540 Posted : Thursday, June 21, 2018 2:26:13 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
ngapat wrote:
[quote=obiero]Jude Njomo, the brain behind the rate caps says: “Initially, credit was available but unaffordable. Today, credit is affordable but not available” #InterestRateDebate I will ensure that the rate cap is not repealed, via parliament https://www.standardmedi...epeal-interest-rate-law[/quote]

That is what happens when the law of demand and supply is not followed.
For electricity they say its better to have expensive power than have no power at all. Wonder whether this can also apply to credit.
Would we rather have expensive credit or no credit at all.

can this man use his salary to give cheap loans and stop this rubbish
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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