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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
hisah
#2401 Posted : Monday, February 25, 2013 5:01:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Volume spikes continue with election mood still affecting locals... EABL moved an eye popping 3.1M shares (882.8M in turnover). Seems the floor is being raised to 270/- After H1 results the fwd P/E is still expensive and these huge volume buyers must be long term holders frontrunning the future earnings.

NSE20 closed @4,463.65.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#2402 Posted : Monday, February 25, 2013 9:19:14 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
We must commend the huge investment that has gone into the peace & civic education campaigns for the upcoming elections. I hail all stakeholders and from the Investor perspective, may the peace dividend have a greater multiplier effect. VOTE PEACEFULLY...WAKENYA DAIMA...
Cde Monomotapa
#2403 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 6:40:39 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
We must commend the huge investment that has gone into the peace & civic education campaigns for the upcoming elections. I hail all stakeholders and from the Investor perspective, may the peace dividend have a greater multiplier effect. VOTE PEACEFULLY...WAKENYA DAIMA...

PEACE, PEACE, PEACE...PEACE FOR KENYA & ZIMBABWE TOO ~> President stresses commitment to peaceful polls, ZW http://www.herald.co.zw/...-stories&Itemid=130 | PM optimistic of peaceful elections, ZW http://www.herald.co.zw/...p-stories&Itemid=130
ChessMaster
#2404 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 9:43:57 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
Pop said cables.HFCK and Kengen showing both huge supply and demand.As of now huge demand for cables with a supply of 200 at 13.90.My opinion,they tested the demand and want to see how badly they want it.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
ChessMaster
#2405 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 12:08:06 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
Kengen coming in strong today but I'm not so confident about it.Looks like a battle and the outcome is uncertain.Oh well missed that bus.HFCK looks slightly orderly.Won't mention AK.Can't wait to see how this week closes.Do or die,this time I'm all in cables.

Kengen's shaped up.Supply clearing up.Let's see if its establishing a new base.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
ChessMaster
#2406 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 1:18:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
Cables update - New direction than I've seen all year. Supply - 97,800 at 20! Next is 9000 - 16.00 & 600 - 15.90.Someone's not playing games any more.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
hisah
#2407 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 1:28:46 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And finally NBK retraces the entire rally on fumes... Will definitely test 15...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
ChessMaster
#2408 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 1:35:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
hisah wrote:
And finally NBK retraces the entire rally on fumes... Will definitely test 15...


I'm seeing it pull a HFCK,drop and bounce back.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
hisah
#2409 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 2:02:32 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
ChessMaster wrote:
hisah wrote:
And finally NBK retraces the entire rally on fumes... Will definitely test 15...


I'm seeing it pull a HFCK,drop and bounce back.

Not without volumes for support. But I like the discount and I hope it remains depressed for a long time. If it can remain depressed up to the time hydrocarbon revenues come online the better.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
ChessMaster
#2410 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 2:06:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
hisah wrote:
ChessMaster wrote:
hisah wrote:
And finally NBK retraces the entire rally on fumes... Will definitely test 15...


I'm seeing it pull a HFCK,drop and bounce back.

Not without volumes for support. But I like the discount and I hope it remains depressed for a long time. If it can remain depressed up to the time hydrocarbon revenues come online the better.


I agree.Without volume it aint going anywhere.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
hisah
#2411 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 2:08:07 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
KCB definitely will test 40/- by tomorrow as announcement deadline approaches. Turnover stands at 242M from 6M shares traded so far.

Meanwhile all is quiet at mpesa bank corner, but it is coiling up silently and when the upthrust comes, I expect 6/- to give way.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#2412 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 3:38:40 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Disjointed patterns at NBK still but glaring today...1st 3 trades at 18 (2,700 units) then boom! 141.1K units at 16.50. A steady rise again to a last trade at 17.50. SMH... I wonder.
murchr
#2413 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 3:58:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Seems like the bourse was not eventful today
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
FUNKY
#2414 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 4:34:55 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
Turnover declined to Kes.595M from the previous session’s Kes.1.16bn, the number of shares
traded stood at 18M against 15M posted yesterday.

The NSE 20 Share Index edged up 5.54 points to stand at 4469.19.
All Share Index (NASI) closed 0.27 points higher to stand at 105.19.
...
FTSE NSE Kenya 15 Index was up 1.27 points to stand at 138.77.
FTSE NSE Kenya 25 Index was up 1.20 points to stand at 141.83.
Aguytrying
#2415 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:11:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Disjointed patterns at NBK still but glaring today...1st 3 trades at 18 (2,700 units) then boom! 141.1K units at 16.50. A steady rise again to a last trade at 17.50. SMH... I wonder.


Since the market has cashed me out. I'm going to try and get some at 16.50 . At this price I feel more comfy to speculate
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
ChessMaster
#2416 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:12:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
murchr wrote:
Seems like the bourse was not eventful today


I don't think so.

@CDE - And a last minute rush of several counters.Tomorrow morning will illuminate more on what's happening.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
hisah
#2417 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:14:47 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
After the hard selling on AK it managed to bounce intraday after trading @5.65 and edged up to 5.95 by close of trading. 5.50-5.80 range is support for now as supply is diminishing.

@cde - hiyo NBK, caution... That large trade (in case of NBK avg daily volume 141K is oversize) @16.50 forced the price VWAP to slice down hard to close @16.60. Despite the bond repair coz of CBR cuts, loan book don't look very good. I like it as a GoK bank since mining revenue will seep here at some point, but it has to many skeletons that need to be cleaned out before it's a comfy counter. I hope the new mgmt sorts it out. It could become another KCB, but smaller in size when efficiency works its magic on it.

KCB closed at @39.25 a new all time high with turnover touching 333M (8.45M shares).

KK looks like a classic bull trap. In a few weeks we will know whether 12.50 will stand.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
ChessMaster
#2418 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:21:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
hisah wrote:
After the hard selling on AK it managed to bounce intraday after trading @5.65 and edged up to 5.95 by close of trading. 5.50-5.80 range is support for now as supply is diminishing.



I find AK to be somewhat of a laggard but if today is any indication of the future it will surely bounce back because I don't see what has changed in this share.

Tomorrow I want to see if Cables will touch 15.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
Cde Monomotapa
#2419 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 5:52:55 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@hisah hehe..mambo dicey only the results (woes sector wide: sympathy) and new management guidance (every man for self) esp. will cut direction for NBK near-term. Let's see.
Aguytrying
#2420 Posted : Tuesday, February 26, 2013 6:06:05 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@classmater.you seem to be having a field day on nse at the moment .

@hisah. Surely at 16.50 the skeletons are factore in. If it slices past 16.00 where would Sad it be going. Unless huge scary skeletons.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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