FRM2011 wrote:[quote=washiku]@FRM, come look at these numbers
Kakamega - 2%
Vihiga - 1%
Bungoma - 12%
Busia - 7%
Weighted average - 6%
Does anyone believe that Uhuru's support base in Western has grown 4-fold ? Kila mtu ajijazie.
It may not have grown 4-fold but i am 100% certain Jubilee will do far much better in the counties of Bungoma and Kakamega, there will be a slight improvement in Busia but Vihiga will stick to NASA. I premise this on the following:
1. In Bungoma, support for either party is split in the middle and this has been brought about by the fact that, Wangamati,Khangati and Weta come from Sirisia, while Lusaka is from Webuye. There is, therefore quite some support for Jubilee in Webuye and Kimilili (cosmopolitan). The Sabaots have been sidelined in the matrix and you can guess where their votes belong to.
2. Some former Amani seats in Kakamega will definitely fall to Jubilee. Here, i have in mind Navakholo, Mumias East and Matungu. Mumias West will vote approx 30% Jubilee ( I will not elaborate). Overall, Uhuru got Approx 65K votes in the entire region. If he doubles this figure (He surely will), he will have over-achieved.
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.