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Effective duration and Convexity of bonds
Scubidu
#91 Posted : Sunday, January 09, 2011 10:51:42 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
@scoobs. I'm pretty much settled on the capital issue ... the liabilities issue is a little different. In the recent past bank's have been borrowing through MTNs to finance long term borrowing ... but CFC's is a four year bond.

Aren't the maturities on most normal bank loans between two to four years ... say I'm 25 looking for an unsecured loan. In any case equity financing could provide free capital for working capital purposes, would it not?

@jmbada. Feel free to contribute. Share any concerns or criticisms.
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Scooby
#92 Posted : Tuesday, January 25, 2011 12:48:20 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/2/2006
Posts: 121
Scubidu,

The issue of the appropriate duration for a bond to be termed as a MTN lies in the eye of the one viewing it. In my case, any bond that has a duration of between two and ten years is a MTN while you hold the view that anything less than five years is not.

The reason for my view is that its what I tend to see in practise...a good example would be the US Treasury securities system.

I do agree with you that most bank loans are in the two to four year range. But remember that banks also hold other investments like interbank deposits (which are mostly overnight) or mortages and government securities which may have durations greater than ten years.

Hence, wouldn't it make sense for you to find out the weighted average duration of all the assets that a bank has? Let me know if you need further clarification on this.


Lastly, equity financing and/or long term borrowing would be best suited for long term investments. One of the reasons that Uchumi went under was that it was using overdraft facilities to finance its grand expansion plans. Banks got jittery with the plan and started demanding repayment of the overdrafts.

If one needed fincing for working capital purposes, it would thus be better if one got short term financing like commercial paper (Kenol and TPS Serena use this option), overdraft facilities and/or lines of credit.

Hope this helps.



drake
#93 Posted : Thursday, January 27, 2011 12:59:29 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/8/2009
Posts: 170
dkuyoh wrote:
@drake
and it flopped badly coz of the complexity involved. the thing with bonds in Kenya is that they arent traded as much as shares (most bondholders hold to maturity). Even with the ATS which makes trading more efficient only a relatively small number of bonds are traded in a day or week. some bonds have embedded options which makes them difficult to value, others are mature and we also have on the run issues so the index will have to be reconstituted regularly.


I'm quoting this verbatim from an Asset Manager's report (July 2009) ceteris paribus, we still have a bond index re Govt. Bonds (courtesy Pinebridge?)

Kenya has an AIG Government Bond Index. For many years in Kenya, investors have relied
on the short-term Treasury bill as the primary benchmark for fixed income
securities. This has been problematic, to longer-term Kenyan government
bond investors. This created the need to benchmark fixed income portfolios
with an appropriate index that was more representative of the entire
Kenyan fixed income market. As a result, the AIG Government Bond index
was officially launched in 2008
, to serve as a yardstick for fixed income
portfolios, as well as a tool to manage bond portfolio risk. Since bond
trading in the Kenyan market occurs less frequently, and bonds are not as
liquid as they are in developed markets, the AIG Bond Index is priced on a
weekly basis,
compared to other markets that price on a daily basis.
Components of the Index include selected Kenya Government Fixed Rate
Treasury Bonds with maturity greater than one year. The Index is market-
capitalization weighted and is a total return index; all maturing coupons
are re-invested.
It is anticipated that market players will use the index to
better manage and benchmark against their bond portfolios. ( Source: The
Changing Face of Benchmarking: AIG Investments)


Link:
http://www.zimele.co.ke/...%20market%20indices.pdf [PDF]

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