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ACCK : good Revenue Poor Profit
stock.enigma
#1 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 11:03:48 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/14/2009
Posts: 244
Acc K just released results with massive jump in revenues but 23% drop in profit. What direction do you think the share will take in the next few weeks before books close on 5th may?
guru267
#2 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 11:14:27 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@stock.enigma
check out the financials because if the profit was lower due to high and increased investment expenditure then this will still be viewed positively, and coupled with a great jump in revenues and a reasonable divi payout there may be positive outlook for the share price....

but judging by the very sticky nature of the share price at 20-21 i wouldnt expect too much if i were you...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
muganda
#3 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 12:01:40 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
If my maths is correct, the PE of this share is now hovering at the 27 level. Quite high considering they're now erroding shareholder value.

Clear direction of the shareprice in the near future
guru267
#4 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 12:16:08 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@muganda look at the financials properly not only (EPS)... you'll then realise that the share price may not act in the way you think....
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
muganda
#5 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 12:23:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
@guru267, pray elaborate.

I see growth but also see pressure on the unsustainable margin. And I also see tapering of the rate of growth from prior years. And a milestone around the business in the name of IT.

EBITDA grew by 10% and cash generated from operations only 7% up. But the pricing multiple still reflects exuberance of past years.

Did shareholders finally receive past year dividend? And has dividend now declined from 0.40 to 0.30 per share?
guru267
#6 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 12:38:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
@muganda how is it possible to forsee tapered growth with all their investments in the data space???

please post the link to the financial results if it is legal...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
muganda
#7 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 12:44:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,907
guru267 wrote:
please post the link to the financial results if it is legal...


smile http://www.nse.co.ke/new...0FOR%202010%20FINAL.pdf

I say tapered growth because this year revenue grew 26%, prior year it grew 75%, year before that it grew 75% (with consolidation)
VituVingiSana
#8 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 1:20:03 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
AK faces immense competition from safcom...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
2012
#9 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 1:27:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
I think Access need to rethink their strategy especially pricing. Their products are still expensive while there's competition offering the same for much less. In the area I live everyone is on ZUKU. KDN have already laid their cable too not forgetting Safaricom. There's this argument that safaricom is unreliable and as true as that is, it always seems to work in safcom's favour, don't know how but it does. Access watch out for Safaricom Business.

BBI will solve it
:)
stock.enigma
#10 Posted : Monday, March 22, 2010 1:38:49 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/14/2009
Posts: 244
Depreciation expense went up by 114%. This explains to some extent the drop in net profit. this appears to be a clever way to reduce tax burdern.
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