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The Final Conflict...JP Vs Nasa Reloaded
segemia
#1 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 1:38:07 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/20/2009
Posts: 658
After the supreme court demonic decision, the Jubilee Party and the supporters felt that they have been hit with a bucket full of s**t. Nasa on the other hand felt that they have carried the day and that they have been right all along.

However, instead of sitting back and lamenting the decision and celebrating the same decision, it is time to whip some grass and hit some dust.

We are back on the presidential campaigns trail yet again. But, this time round, it will be different as the electorate demographic voting pattern was drawn after the August 8th 2017 elections...

As for Jubilee Party the vote basket is already in place (8.2 Million and above) while Nasa's basket contains just about 6.8 votes. For Nasa to close a gap worth 1.4 million it is an uphill task, but like we always say s**t happens.

Below is the starting point:



Red is still popular and the same voting minds will prevail. I predict the turn out this time in the red areas to be crazy with Rift valley and Mt Kenya regions averaging 90-95% as opposed to an average of about 82% in the same regions in August 2017 elections. This may give Kenyatta another additional 1.3 million votes excluding the swing regions, placing him at above 10 million point. In summary Kenyatta will still win with a bigger margin (more than 2 million).

That is my stand. What is yours?
Njung'e
#2 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 1:42:50 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
It will be the easiest win for Uhuruto.
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
Baratang
#3 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 1:51:59 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/6/2009
Posts: 587
segemia wrote:
After the supreme court demonic decision, the Jubilee Party and the supporters felt that they have been hit with a bucket full of s**t. Nasa on the other hand felt that they have carried the day and that they have been right all along.

However, instead of sitting back and lamenting the decision and celebrating the same decision, it is time to whip some grass and hit some dust.

We are back on the presidential campaigns trail yet again. But, this time round, it will be different as the electorate demographic voting pattern was drawn after the August 8th 2017 elections...

As for Jubilee Party the vote basket is already in place (8.2 Million and above) while Nasa's basket contains just about 6.8 votes. For Nasa to close a gap worth 1.4 million it is an uphill task, but like we always say s**t happens.

Below is the starting point:



Red is still popular and the same voting minds will prevail. I predict the turn out this time in the red areas to be crazy with Rift valley and Mt Kenya regions averaging 90-95% as opposed to an average of about 82% in the same regions in August 2017 elections. This may give Kenyatta another additional 1.3 million votes excluding the swing regions, placing him at above 10 million point. In summary Kenyatta will still win with a bigger margin (more than 2 million).

That is my stand. What is yours?


The blue regions were simply suppressed. I doubt Nasa will be able to make any more meaningful votes addition in these regions.
Jangwa la Jangili
#4 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 2:03:03 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/9/2009
Posts: 311
voter apathy will affect both sides juu kuna watu wamechoka na hii endless upuzi. there will be lower voter turnout than in the august polls. uhuru will still win though.
Katika Jangwa la Jangili ndipo Pwagu hupata Pwaguzi.
Baratang
#5 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 2:12:47 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/6/2009
Posts: 587
Jangwa la Jangili wrote:
voter apathy will affect both sides juu kuna watu wamechoka na hii endless upuzi. there will be lower voter turnout than in the august polls. uhuru will still win though.


Not in Rift Valley and Mt Kenya regions. Remember in these two areas you will be dealing with very angry voters.

You see in Blue areas the opposition fellows have never given their voters time off from politics and that is why the turn out was very poor.
masukuma
#6 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 2:27:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/4/2006
Posts: 13,823
Location: Nairobi
Baratang wrote:
Jangwa la Jangili wrote:
voter apathy will affect both sides juu kuna watu wamechoka na hii endless upuzi. there will be lower voter turnout than in the august polls. uhuru will still win though.


Not in Rift Valley and Mt Kenya regions. Remember in these two areas you will be dealing with very angry voters.

You see in Blue areas the opposition fellows have never given their voters time off from politics and that is why the turn out was very poor.

I suspect so... they will come out like angry bees!!
All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
madollar
#7 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 2:28:01 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/17/2009
Posts: 2,040
Location: GA
Jangwa la Jangili wrote:
voter apathy will affect both sides juu kuna watu wamechoka na hii endless upuzi. there will be lower voter turnout than in the august polls. uhuru will still win though.

At the back of the minds of jubilee leadership and supporters is we may campaign with much vigour and turnout in large numbers but maraga and co will still be around.
Gathige
#8 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 2:32:20 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/29/2011
Posts: 2,242
masukuma wrote:
Baratang wrote:
Jangwa la Jangili wrote:
voter apathy will affect both sides juu kuna watu wamechoka na hii endless upuzi. there will be lower voter turnout than in the august polls. uhuru will still win though.


Not in Rift Valley and Mt Kenya regions. Remember in these two areas you will be dealing with very angry voters.

You see in Blue areas the opposition fellows have never given their voters time off from politics and that is why the turn out was very poor.

I suspect so... they will come out like angry bees!!


@masukuma, take care this may be used as aground for a petition. You have threatened voters that they will be stung by bees and they may therefore not come out to vote and exercise their democratic right!


"Things that matter most must never be at the mercy of things that matter least." Goethe
Kusadikika
#9 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 3:56:31 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/22/2008
Posts: 2,723
There are no local candidates. The MCAs, MPs, Governors already have their seats and have spent all their money why go fight for somebody else.

If you were a loser with some followers in a NASA stronghold you now have an opportunity to deliver some votes for a promise of an ambassadorial or Athi River development chairmanship.

Western will most likely go even higher for Uhuru. Even after winning he did not forget Lusaka.

From the tone of the president this campaign will be a campaign against
the supreme court.
Njung'e
#10 Posted : Friday, September 01, 2017 4:27:34 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/7/2007
Posts: 11,935
Location: Nairobi
Kusadikika wrote:
There are no local candidates. The MCAs, MPs, Governors already have their seats and have spent all their money why go fight for somebody else.

If you were a loser with some followers in a NASA stronghold you now have an opportunity to deliver some votes for a promise of an ambassadorial or Athi River development chairmanship.

Western will most likely go even higher for Uhuru. Even after winning he did not forget Lusaka.

From the tone of the president this campaign will be a campaign against
the supreme court.


The campaign theme for Jubilee will be simple. "We have the majority senators, women rep,MCAs,mpigs and governors". NASA just postponed the painsmile
Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm.
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