Jaluo wrote:
I see you clearly dont rate him at all.
In which
debe do you see the other 98% of the vote going?
OK, my quick estimates...
RAO - 35-40%
Martha Karua >15-20%
Peter Kenneth >12-15%
(contender lying in wait) - 15%
Raphael Tuju - 2.5%
Musalia - 3.5%
Guka (aka Njung'e)

- 3% (without actively campaigning)
Kalonzo - 1.75%
Other barnyard fowl combined <5%
Lets remember UK/Ruto are both relatively "young" and could be persuaded NOT to run and instead play second fiddle to a main contender. Then they can "re-emerge" again in 2017/18. Let's not assume its a given that they will run - bad assumption. There are elders who will lean on them I think...
Lets also remember that, unlike in other countries, where opinion polls actually MEASURE public opinion, in Kenya they are used to SHAPE public opinion - so if any one is about to regurgitate something a research house stated under the guise of research - pls keep it...That is a staple I am not eating, thank you very much!