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NSE ASI all the way to 3200
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bartum
#1 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 2:09:32 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
ladies and gentlemaen.
I hereby give out a free advice to those who have eyes and hears. The market will blunge to sub 3200 betw now and may next year be prepared to take blue chips.
I may be pessimist be the truth though lies ahead.
I addition leads not bid too high in CIC shares dont exceed 35. I still have to fill my target
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mlennyma
#2 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 2:33:45 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Yes,and towards august 2800 and this are some prices you will see...kcb..17 mumias...5 safcom...2.80 KK...7 Kengen....10 kre...8 kplc.,.16 equity 15 and the list will be endless.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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2012
#3 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 3:04:51 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
Yes,and towards august 2800 and this are some prices you will see...kcb..17 mumias...5 safcom...2.80 KK...7 Kengen....10 kre...8 kplc.,.16 equity 15 and the list will be endless.


I think you've been too kind to some counters, all the same I think there will be a short lived bull run around May.

BBI will solve it :)
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  | | Edit by user: Monday, March 28, 2011 3:18 PM | Reason: Not specified
Muthawamunene
#4 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 3:23:09 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/3/2011
Posts: 264
Location: Nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
Yes,and towards august 2800 and this are some prices you will see...kcb..17 mumias...5 safcom...2.80 KK...7 Kengen....10 kre...8 kplc.,.16 equity 15 and the list will be endless.


Though very pessimistic, i hope your prediction comes true. But i doubt we will get past 3500 points. And if it does, the agriculturals will be the main cause and not the counters you've listed above.

Am all for low prices till jan 2013, if there is no pick pick up by then, sijui kutaendaje.
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mwanahisa
#5 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 4:08:38 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
It's possible for the market to fall to the level you have cited but I think it is unlikely.

All the same a good strategy would be to have plenty of cash and/or other assets that one can bring into the market if the NSE does indeed plunge to the levels you are anticipating.

It is also advisable to be holding stocks that investors generally have faith in. These stocks tend to be mostly held by institutions and are good dividend payers e.g. BAT, EABL, BBK, NMG and KCB.

However, I will be liquidating these should the the market really PLUNGE and switch to those shares that investors tend to dump whenever there is panic in the market. These include MSC and KQ as when the market recovers this is where MOST money will be made. The last bear cycle saw MSC move from below 3 all the way UP to 15 and KQ from 16 to OVER 65 by way of example.
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mwanahisa
#6 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 4:25:37 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Muthawamunene wrote:
Though very pessimistic, i hope your prediction comes true. But i doubt we will get past 3500 points. And if it does, the agriculturals will be the main cause and not the counters you've listed above.


@MwM, Agriculturals are a very small proportion of the NSE. They can fall to zero and it would not worry too many investors. I guess, I am one of the few with a relatively huge portion of my portfolio there and it is only about 10% although I am striving to get it to 20%.
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Muthawamunene
#7 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 4:35:41 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/3/2011
Posts: 264
Location: Nairobi
mwanahisa wrote:
It's possible for the market to fall to the level you have cited but I think it is unlikely.

All the same a good strategy would be to have plenty of cash and/or other assets that one can bring into the market if the NSE does indeed plunge to the levels you are anticipating.

It is also advisable to be holding stocks that investors generally have faith in. These stocks tend to be mostly held by institutions and are good dividend payers e.g. BAT, EABL, BBK, NMG and KCB.

However, I will be liquidating these should the the market really PLUNGE and switch to those shares that investors tend to dump whenever there is panic in the market. These include MSC and KQ as when the market recovers this is where MOST money will be made. The last bear cycle saw MSC move from below 3 all the way UP to 15 and KQ from 16 to OVER 65 by way of example.


This i like.
@mwanahisa Thank you for the clarification.
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mwanahisa
#8 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 4:39:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Muthawamunene wrote:
This i like.
@mwanahisa Thank you for the clarification.


You are welcome.
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Cde Monomotapa
#9 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 7:10:41 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Experiencd 2,500 points in 08.yawn...
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the deal
#10 Posted : Monday, March 28, 2011 7:22:57 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Experiencd 2,500 points in 08.yawn...

Cde 08 was PEV, the Credit crunch...i dont expect 2012 to be the same...!smile smile
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