Many people seem unaware that this 25% rule only applies to the first round. The constitution requires just a simple majority in the second round.
Although logically, this rule will probably be naturally fulfilled, it does not automatically follow. Especially given the distorted population distribution in the 47 counties.
For instance, Nairobi with 3M+ is one county while some counties have less than 100,000 pax. It is mathematically possible for the person with 50%+1 not to garner 25% in 24 counties.
In fact, like 2007, hii inaweza kuwa shida ingine in 2012 where the loser will e.g. claim to have won the vote in 30 counties.
nostoppingthis wrote:@Kusadikika, as much as that may be a good move for Kenya, Abdikadir hawesmek it! (read tribal segregation)and as @Guka says, SKM is a hard sell to the population. Would he garner 25% votes in 24 counties?
What about the "fear" that elections may not happen in 2012?
All my friends are heathens, take it slow. Wait for them to ask you who you know. Please don't make any sudden moves.