mufasa wrote:KENGEN
Action: BUY
Target Price: KES 21.50
Time Horizon: 12-18 Months
Entry Range: KES 9.00 – KES 9.30.
Position Sizing: Moderate to Large position sizing is appropriate due to the company's strategic importance, state backing, and consistent dividend yield, which provide a high margin of safety against operational failure.
Risk Management (Stop-Loss/Re-evaluation): A technical stop-loss should be positioned below the major support level at KES 7.50. A sustained price break below KES 7.50 would indicate that the fundamental stabilization thesis has failed, requiring a prompt re-evaluation of the position.
Kengen accidentally published their Fy25 financial report.The NSE described the release as unauthorized, and KenGen disowned the draft as unverified, stating that its audited results were still under review and scheduled for official release on October 30, 2025.
Key Leaked Financial Results (Unaudited Draft for FY2025)
The circulating draft reportedly highlighted strong performance, though KenGen emphasized these figures are not official and subject to audit. Based on reports of the leak:
MetricFY2025 (Leaked) PAT 10.48 billion+54%
FY2024 (Official)Profit After Tax KSh 6.81 billion
Change(KSh 3.67 billion increase)
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