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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
wukan
#5656 Posted : Saturday, June 29, 2024 8:37:56 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652
wukan wrote:
The NSE 20 index is making a convincing run to break above 1800. The upside after that looks quite good.

I am now more focused on the NSE 10 it reflects the market better.

Kaende!


We really had a good chance here to break higher then Gen z protests happened. The mido crass is saying they is tired but me thinks they missed a chance to either consolidate higher or finish the job.

Markets are forward looking and here is what I think they are saying
1. T-Bills-last auction came at 32% performance. Pause and reflect and demand higher rates now that GoK is running on fumes. If interest rates go higher then a good chance we go into deep recession. Not good but political class will take it to punish the mido

2. NSE 20 index- double top at 1750-1780 range. Neckline break and maybe the 1550 range holds if it doesn't all the way to the Aug 2002 levels

Happy trading...Kaende!
wukan
#5657 Posted : Wednesday, July 17, 2024 7:34:48 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652
NSE 20 index at 1710 rallying in a triple top(bearish reversal) pattern. Watch the 1750-1765 level

Happy trading...kaende!
Queen
#5658 Posted : Friday, July 19, 2024 11:01:32 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 564
Location: Britain
wukan wrote:
NSE 20 index at 1710 rallying in a triple top(bearish reversal) pattern. Watch the 1750-1765 level

Happy trading...kaende!


Gone back to sub 1700.
wukan
#5659 Posted : Saturday, August 03, 2024 9:11:15 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652
Queen wrote:
wukan wrote:
NSE 20 index at 1710 rallying in a triple top(bearish reversal) pattern. Watch the 1750-1765 level

Happy trading...kaende!


Gone back to sub 1700.


Yes, looks we are not leaving the hood anytime soon.

Taken profits from banking stocks and now squeezing GoK for yield on treasuries

With the yen carry trades being blown open, next few months to Nov will be thrilling...volatility is your friendsmile

Kaende!
wukan
#5660 Posted : Wednesday, September 18, 2024 4:59:16 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652
NSE the gift that keeps giving Applause

With DXY sitting at 100 and looking to break lower, NSE 20 at 1755 with current momentum we break 1800 barrier.

Kaende!
wukan
#5661 Posted : Wednesday, October 09, 2024 4:39:29 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652

Finally NSE 20 has punched through 1800 to close at 1804

If we push through 1826 then the road to 3,000 opens smile

Kaende!
Ericsson
#5662 Posted : Thursday, October 10, 2024 7:46:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,804
Location: NAIROBI
wukan wrote:

Finally NSE 20 has punched through 1800 to close at 1804

If we push through 1826 then the road to 3,000 opens smile

Kaende!


First target 2000 then 2500 then is when you think about 3000
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
wukan
#5663 Posted : Thursday, October 10, 2024 6:45:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652
Ericsson wrote:
wukan wrote:

Finally NSE 20 has punched through 1800 to close at 1804

If we push through 1826 then the road to 3,000 opens smile

Kaende!


First target 2000 then 2500 then is when you think about 3000


Have you lately gone through the "Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20"?

We survived death by a thousand cuts...a decade lost. Need to make up for lost time.

3138 is the target for NSE 20 smile Kaende!
wukan
#5664 Posted : Thursday, October 17, 2024 11:05:42 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652


Politics aside (trust deficiency) as a pure macro trade signal, low inflation is good for equities.

On interest rates I hold the view it's a lagging indicator in this market. There is a lot of dumb money which is not efficiently allocated. I'm not sure there is a good plan to convince the market to lower rates because there is no threat of high inflation. I guess we wait and see how the dumb money responds.

NSE-20 has increased 22% beating the best bonds on offer this year.smile
My 2 cents
#5665 Posted : Thursday, October 17, 2024 7:26:52 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,089
The bear is over and this is passing unnoticed.
littledove
#5666 Posted : Thursday, October 24, 2024 12:00:35 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 927
Location: sky
My 2 cents wrote:
The bear is over and this is passing unnoticed.

does the volume support the bull?
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
My 2 cents
#5667 Posted : Thursday, October 24, 2024 4:38:55 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/2/2010
Posts: 1,089
littledove wrote:
My 2 cents wrote:
The bear is over and this is passing unnoticed.

does the volume support the bull?

Not yet. But will likely pick up. It does not go from zero to full throttle in an instant.
wukan
#5668 Posted : Tuesday, December 31, 2024 4:38:31 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652
amorphous wrote:
wukan wrote:
amorphous wrote:
wukan wrote:
I told wazuans to be like George Soros during black Wednesday if the currency falls then equities rally and you need to hedge your bet on the currency by buying equites. Most rushed to buy bonds instead of doubling down on equities.

Most wazuans will not relate to the parabolic rally in 1993 to 1994 when Kshs was devalued....kaende kaende



Wororo. Blathee Wukan, you mean you are still here marking time on Wazoo dispensing mawaidha pingli pangla East and West after all these yearsLaughing out loudly. Maanchap.

Good advice tho...smile


Bro we are in a battle with kina BlackRock...we must be seen





Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Fair enough.
Lakini on a serious note, nobody can stop BlackRock. It is what it is


Blathee amorphous mawaidha pingli pangla has paid off


Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#5669 Posted : Tuesday, December 31, 2024 6:45:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
NSE20 finally crosses the 2000 mark for the first time since October 2021, yes, 3 years ago.
Opened 2024 at 1500 and closed at 2010. Up 33% for the year.



Happy 2025!
@SufficientlyP
wukan
#5670 Posted : Sunday, July 06, 2025 12:42:00 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,652
wukan wrote:

Finally NSE 20 has punched through 1800 to close at 1804

If we push through 1826 then the road to 3,000 opens smile

Kaende!


NSE 20 punched through the 2500 marker to close 2504

Keep your eyes on the roadsmile

Kaende! kaende!
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