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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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VituVingiSana
#5641 Posted : Monday, March 18, 2024 5:50:39 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,082
Location: Nairobi
mlennyma wrote:
Is it dividend season optimism or we are back to life? These forums were very vibrant, will we ever rise again? You could see a crowd of participants.. Are you still alive guys? πŸ˜„

Dividends have kept me going.
The best payers (DPR) are "foreign" firms eg BAT, SCBK, etc.
The worst are usually local firms with many paying nothing-little for years!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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littledove
#5642 Posted : Tuesday, March 19, 2024 8:33:13 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 7/1/2014
Posts: 902
Location: sky
mlennyma wrote:
Is it dividend season optimism or we are back to life? These forums were very vibrant, will we ever rise again? You could see a crowd of participants.. Are you still alive guys? πŸ˜„

I wish we are back to life, but the volume doesn't inspire that confidence, looks like normal earning season excitement
There are only two emotions in the stock market, fear and hope. The problem is, you hope when you should fear and fear when you should hope
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VituVingiSana
#5643 Posted : Tuesday, March 19, 2024 7:57:58 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,082
Location: Nairobi
littledove wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Is it dividend season optimism or we are back to life? These forums were very vibrant, will we ever rise again? You could see a crowd of participants.. Are you still alive guys? πŸ˜„

I wish we are back to life, but the volume doesn't inspire that confidence, looks like normal earning season excitement
Foreign Banks paying nice dividends. Will local banks step up?
Stanbic 50% DPR
ABSA 50% DPR
SCBK 80% DPR Applause
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Ericsson
#5644 Posted : Saturday, March 23, 2024 8:02:32 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,663
Location: NAIROBI
VituVingiSana wrote:
littledove wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Is it dividend season optimism or we are back to life? These forums were very vibrant, will we ever rise again? You could see a crowd of participants.. Are you still alive guys? πŸ˜„

I wish we are back to life, but the volume doesn't inspire that confidence, looks like normal earning season excitement
Foreign Banks paying nice dividends. Will local banks step up?
Stanbic 50% DPR
ABSA 50% DPR
SCBK 80% DPR Applause


None
Coop bank is 38% DPR.
NCBA is a possibility but looks unlikely to do that
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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VituVingiSana
#5645 Posted : Monday, March 25, 2024 6:46:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,082
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
littledove wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Is it dividend season optimism or we are back to life? These forums were very vibrant, will we ever rise again? You could see a crowd of participants.. Are you still alive guys? πŸ˜„

I wish we are back to life, but the volume doesn't inspire that confidence, looks like normal earning season excitement
Foreign Banks paying nice dividends. Will local banks step up?
Stanbic 50% DPR
ABSA 50% DPR
SCBK 80% DPR Applause


None
Coop bank is 38% DPR.
NCBA is a possibility but looks unlikely to do that

Local banks have stories za jaba tu.

KCB 0% but they are consolidating. I do not have any though.

I&M RoE 15% and DPR of 33%. It should pay its shareholders better dividends so we can buy IFBs instead!

I will be pleasantly surprised if DTB pays more than 33% and the RoE is above 15%.

NCBA may go for 33-40% since its major shareholders may want cash.

HF is irrelevant given its size but I hope it comes through for @Obiero.

Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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ngapat
#5646 Posted : Tuesday, March 26, 2024 10:33:21 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 884
when you hear blackrock is back investing at Nairobi bourse, then you know the bull is back
β€œInvest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
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wukan
#5647 Posted : Tuesday, March 26, 2024 11:17:05 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
I told wazuans to be like George Soros during black Wednesday if the currency falls then equities rally and you need to hedge your bet on the currency by buying equites. Most rushed to buy bonds instead of doubling down on equities.

Most wazuans will not relate to the parabolic rally in 1993 to 1994 when Kshs was devalued....kaende kaende
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amorphous
#5648 Posted : Sunday, April 07, 2024 8:13:26 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/15/2019
Posts: 677
Location: planet earth
wukan wrote:
I told wazuans to be like George Soros during black Wednesday if the currency falls then equities rally and you need to hedge your bet on the currency by buying equites. Most rushed to buy bonds instead of doubling down on equities.

Most wazuans will not relate to the parabolic rally in 1993 to 1994 when Kshs was devalued....kaende kaende



Wororo. Blathee Wukan, you mean you are still here marking time on Wazoo dispensing mawaidha pingli pangla East and West after all these yearsLaughing out loudly. Maanchap.

Good advice tho...smile
Age and family mellows us all over time
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wukan
#5649 Posted : Thursday, April 11, 2024 9:26:47 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
amorphous wrote:
wukan wrote:
I told wazuans to be like George Soros during black Wednesday if the currency falls then equities rally and you need to hedge your bet on the currency by buying equites. Most rushed to buy bonds instead of doubling down on equities.

Most wazuans will not relate to the parabolic rally in 1993 to 1994 when Kshs was devalued....kaende kaende



Wororo. Blathee Wukan, you mean you are still here marking time on Wazoo dispensing mawaidha pingli pangla East and West after all these yearsLaughing out loudly. Maanchap.

Good advice tho...smile


Bro we are in a battle with kina BlackRock...we must be seen
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amorphous
#5650 Posted : Monday, April 15, 2024 9:10:06 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/15/2019
Posts: 677
Location: planet earth
wukan wrote:
amorphous wrote:
wukan wrote:
I told wazuans to be like George Soros during black Wednesday if the currency falls then equities rally and you need to hedge your bet on the currency by buying equites. Most rushed to buy bonds instead of doubling down on equities.

Most wazuans will not relate to the parabolic rally in 1993 to 1994 when Kshs was devalued....kaende kaende



Wororo. Blathee Wukan, you mean you are still here marking time on Wazoo dispensing mawaidha pingli pangla East and West after all these yearsLaughing out loudly. Maanchap.

Good advice tho...smile


Bro we are in a battle with kina BlackRock...we must be seen





Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Fair enough.
Lakini on a serious note, nobody can stop BlackRock. It is what it is
Age and family mellows us all over time
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wukan
#5651 Posted : Monday, May 20, 2024 12:43:47 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
The NSE 20 index is making a convincing run to break above 1800. The upside after that looks quite good.

I am now more focused on the NSE 10 it reflects the market better.

Kaende!
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Sir invest
#5652 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2024 10:20:10 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/19/2015
Posts: 125
Equity Bank share imekataa kushuka.
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jawgey
#5653 Posted : Wednesday, May 22, 2024 10:47:58 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/13/2014
Posts: 386
Location: Denmark
Sir invest wrote:
Equity Bank share imekataa kushuka.

Meli kwisha ng'oa nanga. Ngoja ex-dividend trading.
Seeing is believing
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wukan
#5654 Posted : Thursday, May 30, 2024 4:50:04 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
Equity turnover was 8.8 Billion courtesy of I&M Bank

It is not a child's play...
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Monk
#5655 Posted : Thursday, June 27, 2024 11:52:04 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/1/2009
Posts: 255
What's behind the huge BAT sale volume? Any guesses where it will bottom out?
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wukan
#5656 Posted : Saturday, June 29, 2024 8:37:56 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
wukan wrote:
The NSE 20 index is making a convincing run to break above 1800. The upside after that looks quite good.

I am now more focused on the NSE 10 it reflects the market better.

Kaende!


We really had a good chance here to break higher then Gen z protests happened. The mido crass is saying they is tired but me thinks they missed a chance to either consolidate higher or finish the job.

Markets are forward looking and here is what I think they are saying
1. T-Bills-last auction came at 32% performance. Pause and reflect and demand higher rates now that GoK is running on fumes. If interest rates go higher then a good chance we go into deep recession. Not good but political class will take it to punish the mido

2. NSE 20 index- double top at 1750-1780 range. Neckline break and maybe the 1550 range holds if it doesn't all the way to the Aug 2002 levels

Happy trading...Kaende!
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wukan
#5657 Posted : Wednesday, July 17, 2024 7:34:48 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
NSE 20 index at 1710 rallying in a triple top(bearish reversal) pattern. Watch the 1750-1765 level

Happy trading...kaende!
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Queen
#5658 Posted : Friday, July 19, 2024 11:01:32 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 564
Location: Britain
wukan wrote:
NSE 20 index at 1710 rallying in a triple top(bearish reversal) pattern. Watch the 1750-1765 level

Happy trading...kaende!


Gone back to sub 1700.
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wukan
#5659 Posted : Saturday, August 03, 2024 9:11:15 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
Queen wrote:
wukan wrote:
NSE 20 index at 1710 rallying in a triple top(bearish reversal) pattern. Watch the 1750-1765 level

Happy trading...kaende!


Gone back to sub 1700.


Yes, looks we are not leaving the hood anytime soon.

Taken profits from banking stocks and now squeezing GoK for yield on treasuries

With the yen carry trades being blown open, next few months to Nov will be thrilling...volatility is your friendsmile

Kaende!
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wukan
#5660 Posted : Wednesday, September 18, 2024 4:59:16 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,581
NSE the gift that keeps giving Applause

With DXY sitting at 100 and looking to break lower, NSE 20 at 1755 with current momentum we break 1800 barrier.

Kaende!
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