My 2 cents wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:young wrote:Updated Banking Sector Fy22 Dividend Projection.
COOP.....1.35
KCB......1 & 2.5
SCBK.....10 & 12
SBIC.....1.8 & 8.2
NCBA..,...2.0 & 2.5
ABSA .....0.20 & 1.00
In agreement,
KCB I raise the projection to 2.75 or 3 as final dividend.
Stanchart interim dividend ksh.6
Where do we find the results?
SOURCE:- AIB SECURITIES NBO, KENYA
*Standard Chartered Q3’22 Results*
Net earnings increased 37.11% y/y to KES 8.71Bn
Total Interest Income: +4.11% y/y to KES 18.23Bn
-Interest Income from Govt securities: +9.46% y/y to KES 7.56Bn
-Interest Income from loans: -4.10% y/y to KES 9.14Bn
Total Interest Expense: -12.61% y/y to KES 2.44Bn
Net Interest Income: +7.29% y/y to KES 15.78Bn
Total Non- Interest Income: +16.11% y/y to KES 8.78Bn
Foreign trading income: +65.96% y/y to KES 4.20Bn
Total operating income: +10.28% y/y to KES 24.56Bn
Loan Loss Provision: -76.84% y/y to KES 0.62Bn
Total Operating expenses: -8.29% y/y to KES 12.27Bn
PBT: +38.20% y/y to KES 12.29Bn
PAT: +37.11% y/y to KES 8.71Bn
Gross NPL: +4.42% y/y (5.65% q/q) to KES 24.03Bn
Loans and Advances: +3.28% y/y to KES 136.07Bn
Customer Deposits: +10.72% y/y to KES 286.07Bn
FV change as a % total of government securities: -1.05% Q3’22 vs -0.03% Q3’21
EPS: +37.11% y/y to KES 22.61 from KES 16.49
DPS: Interim dividend of KES 6.00
*Our View*
Stanchart’s bottom line growth was driven by an increase in non-interest income and net interest income. Additionally, there was a significant increase in foreign trading income which translated into increased revenue. Notably NPL’s increased mainly driven by the prevailing declining macro factors and the difficult operating environment. We are also concerned with the declining loan book compared to peers who have recorded double digit growths.
Furthermore, the ROA stands at 3.27%, ROE at 21.01% and the div yield at 4.46%. Stanchart is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 6.05x against an industry median of 3.6x and a P/TB multiple of 1.03x.
We expect the lender to report stronger FY’22 given the increased non-interest income and the significant growth in foreign trading income. The interim dividend is likely to cause an excitement among investors leading to an upside above KES 145 levels.
The counter closed yesterday at KES 139.50 which was a 0.36% upside from the previous trading session.
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