Kenya Kwanza takes over an economy that is battered by internal and external forces. The country was still struggling to recover from Covid19 slowdown then war broke out in Europe. Locally, the public debt is at historic high. A huge chunk of the tax collections go into servicing debt. Inflation is artificially suppressed. Were it not for government subsidies, fuel would be over KShs 200 per litre and unga over KShs 250 per 2 kg packet.

The big question is whether the bottom up "Hustlenomics" approach, which is tellingly silent on the management of the national level economy (macro-economics) will save Kenya.

Contemporary developmental economists like Amartya Sen advocate for high public investment in democratic and social institutions. Such is not possible without fiscal discipline and eradication of corruption.

The next 10 years will be interesting.

From where I stand the issue was who got the urban vote and who got the rural vote. I see that Az got the progressive urban vote, the middle class vote, the old money and govt technocrats essentially the deep state. What he does with that constituency is up to him. I'm sure they will squander it. These are also status quo people who might not like too much push and will place all manner of obstacles on KK transformation.

KK got the rural vote and the innovative, hungry for success vote with which they can create their own deep state. They has the time, the demographic and focus to do that. The only problem is that the KK leaders will spend the next 5 years trying to rub it in. It's a bit shocking that DP elect is still talking about siasa za mlima and seeking validation from the outgoing.

The next 10 years will be interesting. As someone quipped on twitter if there were celebrations in your area you need to work really hard.

The perplexing question is how Azimio lost, with State machinery behind them, and Uhuru being the Chairman of the Azimio Council.