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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,097 Location: Nairobi
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obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9 HFCK 0.1 Well done. Most of your numbers have been within the ballpark. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,678 Location: NAIROBI
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Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317
ABSA 7.94bn DTB 4.88bn HFCK not making a profit anytime soon. Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317
ABSA 7.94bn DTB 4.88bn HFCK not making a profit anytime soon. The run rate suggests that it is not very rosy right now HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,678 Location: NAIROBI
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Ericsson wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 Actual 7.4 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9. Actual 5.87 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 NCBA 7.4bn I&M 5.87bn Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 4/22/2010 Posts: 11,522 Location: Nairobi
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obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317
ABSA 7.94bn DTB 4.88bn HFCK not making a profit anytime soon. The run rate suggests that it is not very rosy right now How badly off are they? possunt quia posse videntur
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,678 Location: NAIROBI
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maka wrote:obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317
ABSA 7.94bn DTB 4.88bn HFCK not making a profit anytime soon. The run rate suggests that it is not very rosy right now How badly off are they? Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,097 Location: Nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 Actual 7.4 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9. Actual 5.87 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 NCBA 7.4bn I&M 5.87bn @Obiero did you flip the estimates for I&M vs DTB? Or has I&M stolen a march over DTB in 2021? Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 Good predictions, can try betting as well "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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VituVingiSana wrote:Ericsson wrote:Ericsson wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 Actual 7.4 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9. Actual 5.87 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 NCBA 7.4bn I&M 5.87bn @Obiero did you flip the estimates for I&M vs DTB? Or has I&M stolen a march over DTB in 2021? Blame it on the al….. HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 Actual 7.4 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9. Actual 5.87 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,183 Location: nairobi
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obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 Actual 7.4 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9. Actual 5.87 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 only NCBA gave. 75cts interim "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,097 Location: Nairobi
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mlennyma wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 Actual 7.4 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9. Actual 5.87 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 only NCBA gave. 75cts interim Probably to make up for canceling the dividend in 2020. Didn't NCBA cancel the entire dividend in 2020 for FY2019? Didn't Stanbic announce an interim div for 2021? In 2020 SCBK paid 50% of what was declared. I&M and Stanbic paid. Equity canceled but bought BCDC. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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VituVingiSana wrote:mlennyma wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2021, PBT figures in KES B: EQTY 24.6 Actual 23.8 KCB 21.4. Actual 21.9 COOP 12.2 Actual 10.5 ABSA 8.1 Actual 7.94 NCBA 7.2 Actual 7.4 SCBK 6.9. Actual 6.8 DTB 5.9 Actual 4.88 STANB 5.8 Actual 4.82 I&M 4.9. Actual 5.87 HFCK 0.1 Actual-0.317 only NCBA gave. 75cts interim Probably to make up for canceling the dividend in 2020. Didn't NCBA cancel the entire dividend in 2020 for FY2019? Didn't Stanbic announce an interim div for 2021? In 2020 SCBK paid 50% of what was declared. I&M and Stanbic paid. Equity canceled but bought BCDC. What did COOP and KCB do? HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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Exchange Bar Q3 2021, PBT in KES B: EQTY 35.7 KCB 34.1 COOP 16.6 ABSA 12.4 NCBA 10.7 SCBK 10.1 I&M 8.7 STBC 7.8 DTB 7.6 HFCK -0.33 ABSA is reborn, DTB is dying, HF is about to move from ICU to HDU, big three combined PBT for the year to cross KES 100B this year for the first time since the beginning of time. Covid is over! I speak in code HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,678 Location: NAIROBI
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obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Q3 2021, PBT in KES B: EQTY 35.7 KCB 34.1 COOP 16.6 ABSA 12.4 NCBA 10.7 SCBK 10.1 I&M 8.7 STBC 7.8 DTB 7.6 HFCK -0.33
ABSA is reborn, DTB is dying, HF is about to move from ICU to HDU, big three combined PBT for the year to cross KES 100B this year for the first time since the beginning of time. Covid is over! I speak in code ABSA shares is a buy for me when it's share price falls The loss of HFCK will be wider than the figure you have quoted. HY2021 the loss was that figure you have quoted for Q3 Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Q3 2021, PBT in KES B: EQTY 35.7 KCB 34.1 COOP 16.6 ABSA 12.4 NCBA 10.7 SCBK 10.1 I&M 8.7 STBC 7.8 DTB 7.6 HFCK -0.33
ABSA is reborn, DTB is dying, HF is about to move from ICU to HDU, big three combined PBT for the year to cross KES 100B this year for the first time since the beginning of time. Covid is over! I speak in code ABSA shares is a buy for me when it's share price falls The loss of HFCK will be wider than the figure you have quoted. HY2021 the loss was that figure you have quoted for Q3 Reporting season is upon us HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,678 Location: NAIROBI
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obiero wrote:Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Q3 2021, PBT in KES B: EQTY 35.7 KCB 34.1 COOP 16.6 ABSA 12.4 NCBA 10.7 SCBK 10.1 I&M 8.7 STBC 7.8 DTB 7.6 HFCK -0.33
ABSA is reborn, DTB is dying, HF is about to move from ICU to HDU, big three combined PBT for the year to cross KES 100B this year for the first time since the beginning of time. Covid is over! I speak in code ABSA shares is a buy for me when it's share price falls The loss of HFCK will be wider than the figure you have quoted. HY2021 the loss was that figure you have quoted for Q3 Reporting season is upon us Starting next week Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,678 Location: NAIROBI
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obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Q3 2021, PBT in KES B: EQTY 35.7 Actual 36.6 KCB 34.1 COOP 16.6 ABSA 12.4 NCBA 10.7 SCBK 10.1 I&M 8.7 STBC 7.8 DTB 7.6 HFCK -0.33
ABSA is reborn, DTB is dying, HF is about to move from ICU to HDU, big three combined PBT for the year to cross KES 100B this year for the first time since the beginning of time. Covid is over! I speak in code Equity group ksh.36.6bn Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 13,501 Location: nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:obiero wrote:Exchange Bar Q3 2021, PBT in KES B: EQTY 35.7 Actual 36.6 KCB 34.1 COOP 16.6 ABSA 12.4 NCBA 10.7 SCBK 10.1 I&M 8.7 STBC 7.8 DTB 7.6 HFCK -0.33
ABSA is reborn, DTB is dying, HF is about to move from ICU to HDU, big three combined PBT for the year to cross KES 100B this year for the first time since the beginning of time. Covid is over! I speak in code Equity group ksh.36.6bn Covid is over HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
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