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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
obiero
#2281 Posted : Saturday, March 13, 2021 4:51:05 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:


DTB and Coop issued a profit warning hence their profit declines will be more than 25%.
KCB profit decline will be less than 25%



Stanbic have opened the floor
PBT Ksh.6.2bn

The big boys come on to the dance floor 16.03.2021

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2282 Posted : Wednesday, March 17, 2021 8:11:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#2283 Posted : Thursday, March 18, 2021 8:39:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Coop 16.96
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
obiero
#2284 Posted : Sunday, March 21, 2021 11:32:17 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
Horton wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q2 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 18.2
EQTY 14
COOP 10.2
I&M 6.9
ABSA 6.2
SCBK 6.1
DTB 5.8
NCBA 4.8
STANB 4.2
HFCK 0.042
@Obiero is usually on the ball so Q2 seems very similar to Q1 i.e. Q1 x 2 = Q2

This is the quarter with full effect of COVID-19.

Essential service sector, never closed even a single day.. Only reduced 1 working hour. Covid19 restructuring on corporate book total KES 712B means almost nil NPL impact.. Consumer loan book only slightly hit due to layoffs by some private firms, while GoK employees form bulk of bank check off facilities
3Q and 4Q will be better indicators. Real losses (vs ECL) will start crystalizing over the next 12 months.

Yes. Q3 will be the truth post 90 days unpaid arrears for consumer book


Plus those paying interim dividends will retain the norm.
KCB may hike to 1.25


If these estimates are as accurate as they usually are, we are looking at KCB/EQTY back to 40-45 levels


Based on falling prices in other sectors, market will be unmoved. Expect lower prices.

The third wave isn't helping matters

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#2285 Posted : Sunday, March 21, 2021 12:08:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8

Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Queen
#2286 Posted : Tuesday, March 23, 2021 9:38:01 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 561
Location: Britain
CBK should know that people are broke and in need of dividends to cushion them against the harsh effects of Covid-19.

https://www.businessdail...dividend-payouts-3332192
Ericsson
#2287 Posted : Tuesday, March 23, 2021 9:58:53 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
[quote=Queen]CBK should know that people are broke and in need of dividends to cushion them against the harsh effects of Covid-19.

https://www.businessdail...ividend-payouts-3332192[/quote]

Oliambiwa you are on your own
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Queen
#2288 Posted : Tuesday, March 23, 2021 10:04:08 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 561
Location: Britain
Ericsson wrote:
[quote=Queen]CBK should know that people are broke and in need of dividends to cushion them against the harsh effects of Covid-19.

https://www.businessdail...ividend-payouts-3332192[/quote]

Oliambiwa you are on your own


looks like this Upus Dei chap is really mean with matters money.

Meanwhile the loans repayment holiday is over amid Covid-19 third wave. We are clearly on our own.

https://www.kenyans.co.k...s-kenyans-given-deadline
Ericsson
#2289 Posted : Tuesday, March 23, 2021 8:36:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8


ABSA 5.098
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Angelica _ann
#2290 Posted : Tuesday, March 23, 2021 8:40:17 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8


ABSA 5.098


Absa Kenya withholds dividend after 44pc profit drop
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#2291 Posted : Thursday, March 25, 2021 9:32:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8


ABSA 5.098


SCBK 7.396
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#2292 Posted : Thursday, March 25, 2021 6:35:39 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8


ABSA 5.098


SCBK 7.396


DTB 4.668
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#2293 Posted : Monday, March 29, 2021 9:12:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8


ABSA 5.098


SCBK 7.396


DTB 4.668


Equity 22.2bn a 30% decline
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#2294 Posted : Monday, March 29, 2021 9:23:41 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8


ABSA 5.098


SCBK 7.396


DTB 4.668


Equity 22.2bn a 30% decline



NCBA 4.98bn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#2295 Posted : Monday, March 29, 2021 3:31:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Point to Note
At the Kenyan Level Co-op bank has overtaken Equity to occupy the second position of most profitable bank.
KCB bank Kenya---Kes.23.58
Co-op bank---Kes.16.96
Equity bank--Kes.14.2
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mlennyma
#2296 Posted : Monday, March 29, 2021 8:16:42 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,175
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
Point to Note
At the Kenyan Level Co-op bank has overtaken Equity to occupy the second position of most profitable bank.
KCB bank Kenya---Kes.23.58
Co-op bank---Kes.16.96
Equity bank--Kes.14.2

Overtaken while not paying dividend when others are paying
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Queen
#2297 Posted : Tuesday, March 30, 2021 11:34:02 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/21/2018
Posts: 561
Location: Britain
mlennyma wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Point to Note
At the Kenyan Level Co-op bank has overtaken Equity to occupy the second position of most profitable bank.
KCB bank Kenya---Kes.23.58
Co-op bank---Kes.16.96
Equity bank--Kes.14.2

Overtaken while not paying dividend when others are paying


Not paying dividends plus borrowing money left, right and centre all in the name of "intending to lend" the same to SMEs. Does not inspire confidence at all.
obiero
#2298 Posted : Tuesday, March 30, 2021 10:22:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
EQTY 22.2
COOP 14.8
STBC 6.2
SCBK 7.3
ABSA 5.0
NCBA 4.9
DTB 4.6

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
obiero
#2299 Posted : Tuesday, March 30, 2021 10:27:17 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Queen wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Point to Note
At the Kenyan Level Co-op bank has overtaken Equity to occupy the second position of most profitable bank.
KCB bank Kenya---Kes.23.58
Co-op bank---Kes.16.96
Equity bank--Kes.14.2

Overtaken while not paying dividend when others are paying


Not paying dividends plus borrowing money left, right and centre all in the name of "intending to lend" the same to SMEs. Does not inspire confidence at all.

Drops were expected, and this year is not looking good as rebounds are unlikely for many businesses.. The two men have finished us

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#2300 Posted : Wednesday, March 31, 2021 7:53:39 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
obiero wrote:


KCB 25.7
STBC 6.2

Correction Coop 14.8


ABSA 5.098


SCBK 7.396


DTB 4.668


Equity 22.2bn a 30% decline



NCBA 4.98bn


I&M 10.95bn
HFCK Loss of 1.77bn
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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