Bigchick wrote:Lolest! wrote:Queen wrote:masukuma wrote:Bigchick wrote:When is the peak coming?
Amoth had told us by Sept we would be counting how many deaths per day?
I thank God this far we have come and am convinced it will not get worse than this.
Numbers will continue to grow because of more tests and deaths will be within the normal curve
I think we are there... the positivity hit rate (number of cases/sample size) has been dropping over the last 2 weeks. cautiously optimistic.
Am told the reason the numbers appear to be going down is largely because the bulk of the results we have been seeing lately are from civil servants' mass testing.
So yes, the results we are seeing are from the "wrong sample group" and are therefore misleading.
Likely to be true
One of the parastatals had mass testing after a few cases. Some lady family friend tested positive.
My questions is.....
Does this imply civil servants are not gerring it.Or COVID is for jus kali guys?
Look at the bigger picture mummy. If, say, you want to do a research on HIV/AIDS prevalence in Kenya, then you go out and target only one group of Kenyans, e.g prostitutes, will your sample group be said to be a representative of kenyans? Will your results be valid as a correct status of the pandemic?
A more representative sample can only be derived by targeting different demographics.
In other words, any tests that targets only one institution, in this case civil servants, can only give an indication of prevalence of Covid amongst civil servants not amongst ALL kenyans.
Statistics should never be analysed without taking a cursory look at the sample.