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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,823 Location: Nairobi
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Bigchick wrote:As you chekaa sense of taste and smell amerudi? Ama wewe ni inclusive kwa hiyo 2.6M?  All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Rank: Member Joined: 12/21/2009 Posts: 602
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mpobiz wrote:T-Bag wrote:26.06.2020
Infections 5,384 Deaths 132
Herd Immunity 60% infected
Kenya population 47,564,296.00
Therefore 60% Infections 28,538,577.60
Deaths 699,682.81
This is pure nonesense. The prevalence of this thing is so high in this country. A week ago I talked of a friend who has lost his sence of small and taste. He has been teling me of some head aches and some unusual sensations in his throat and nose. I don't know if I have been infected too. I am now trying very hard to keep my safe distance from people for the next 2 weeks. I have even explained it to my wife and she has given me two weeks off away from my house .though I am only suspecting myself but Have we been counted? Kumbe Mpo and his buddy Maghufuli (who isolated after his son was diagnosed) are the Warubukus our parents warned us about..… Warubuku and his friend Waruhiti got together and decided they would each go home and twanga their wives (so the wives know who is boss  ) Warubuku went home and beat his drums and made music..Waruhiti beat his wife… Anyway glad you are protecting Bae.. We will talk about your poor side-Bae another day...
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Rank: Member Joined: 12/21/2009 Posts: 602
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Not @Makales, but that Star story is trash... The Standard story is more measured.. Only 2535 blood donor samples were tested for antibodies. The 2.6 million is an extrapolation from those samples. Statisticians will tell you that this method is often useless as it usually has bias (in this case, people who donate blood do not represent the Kenyan population). The article in the standard points this out: Standard excerpt: "The report indicates, however, that the ideal way of estimating exposure to Covid-19 in the Kenyan population would be visiting randomly selected homesteads to collect and then test blood samples, but this has not been practical under current restrictions."
That said, it is almost a certainty that there are more infected Kenyans than the numbers MOH so breathlessly loves to report every evening… .knowing very well that our testing levels are subpar.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/10/2010 Posts: 2,264
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Bigchick wrote:mpobiz wrote:We have shared nyama several times as you remember I have not pointed to him that we discuss about him here in this forum. Yesterday he informed me that his taste is back but smell bado. Wacha nicheke tu As you chekaa sense of taste and smell amerudi? Ama wewe ni inclusive kwa hiyo 2.6M? We have shared nyama several times . Yesterday he informed me that his taste is back but smell bado. @dahatre I said it before that what I did was purely out of immotions and not logic.this is because no matter what I do they will still be infected. I also needed some time out with my number 2. Politics is just things to keep the people divided and foolish and put your trust in men and none of them can do nothing for you...
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,823 Location: Nairobi
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Dahatre wrote:Not @Makales, but that Star story is trash... The Standard story is more measured.. Only 2535 blood donor samples were tested for antibodies. The 2.6 million is an extrapolation from those samples. Statisticians will tell you that this method is often useless as it usually has bias (in this case, people who donate blood do not represent the Kenyan population). The article in the standard points this out: Standard excerpt: "The report indicates, however, that the ideal way of estimating exposure to Covid-19 in the Kenyan population would be visiting randomly selected homesteads to collect and then test blood samples, but this has not been practical under current restrictions."
That said, it is almost a certainty that there are more infected Kenyans than the numbers MOH so breathlessly loves to report every evening… .knowing very well that our testing levels are subpar. The reported cases are not useless but as the disease moves on they become less correct as cases sprout all over. On the extrapolation- it’s true... the stats are wrong but they are a fair indicator of what’s wrong. I stopped looking at the number but I concentrate on the hit rate... it’s a good indicator of the active cases around. On the KEMRI report - Consider a situation where 6 people in a county give blood and in there are 3 brothers from same family. If those 3 have antibodies the extrapolation will state that 50% of the county has the disease. Which was indeed just 1 family. Having said that- this is the closest methodical way we have assessed the spread of Covid in the country. Science is corrected by better science so let’s get some other type of estimation. All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/2/2009 Posts: 26,331 Location: Masada
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This thing is complex. Portfolio: Sold
You know you've made it when you get a parking space for your yatcht.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,823 Location: Nairobi
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The real world is! The physical world does not even know we have this thing called “science” we are using to interrogate it. The virus has no awareness that it’s in Matayos or Ainabkoi. Heck the virus does not know it’s a virus or it’s causing illnesses. All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/10/2010 Posts: 2,264
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masukuma wrote:Dahatre wrote:Not @Makales, but that Star story is trash... The Standard story is more measured.. Only 2535 blood donor samples were tested for antibodies. The 2.6 million is an extrapolation from those samples. Statisticians will tell you that this method is often useless as it usually has bias (in this case, people who donate blood do not represent the Kenyan population). The article in the standard points this out: Standard excerpt: "The report indicates, however, that the ideal way of estimating exposure to Covid-19 in the Kenyan population would be visiting randomly selected homesteads to collect and then test blood samples, but this has not been practical under current restrictions."
That said, it is almost a certainty that there are more infected Kenyans than the numbers MOH so breathlessly loves to report every evening… .knowing very well that our testing levels are subpar. The reported cases are not useless but as the disease moves on they become less correct as cases sprout all over. On the extrapolation- it’s true... the stats are wrong but they are a fair indicator of what’s wrong. I stopped looking at the number but I concentrate on the hit rate... it’s a good indicator of the active cases around. On the KEMRI report - Consider a situation where 6 people in a county give blood and in there are 3 brothers from same family. If those 3 have antibodies the extrapolation will state that 50% of the county has the disease. Which was indeed just 1 family. Having said that- this is the closest methodical way we have assessed the spread of Covid in the country. Science is corrected by better science so let’s get some other type of estimation. Where do you get the number to determine the hit rate? Politics is just things to keep the people divided and foolish and put your trust in men and none of them can do nothing for you...
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/4/2006 Posts: 13,823 Location: Nairobi
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mpobiz wrote:masukuma wrote:Dahatre wrote:Not @Makales, but that Star story is trash... The Standard story is more measured.. Only 2535 blood donor samples were tested for antibodies. The 2.6 million is an extrapolation from those samples. Statisticians will tell you that this method is often useless as it usually has bias (in this case, people who donate blood do not represent the Kenyan population). The article in the standard points this out: Standard excerpt: "The report indicates, however, that the ideal way of estimating exposure to Covid-19 in the Kenyan population would be visiting randomly selected homesteads to collect and then test blood samples, but this has not been practical under current restrictions."
That said, it is almost a certainty that there are more infected Kenyans than the numbers MOH so breathlessly loves to report every evening… .knowing very well that our testing levels are subpar. The reported cases are not useless but as the disease moves on they become less correct as cases sprout all over. On the extrapolation- it’s true... the stats are wrong but they are a fair indicator of what’s wrong. I stopped looking at the number but I concentrate on the hit rate... it’s a good indicator of the active cases around. On the KEMRI report - Consider a situation where 6 people in a county give blood and in there are 3 brothers from same family. If those 3 have antibodies the extrapolation will state that 50% of the county has the disease. Which was indeed just 1 family. Having said that- this is the closest methodical way we have assessed the spread of Covid in the country. Science is corrected by better science so let’s get some other type of estimation. Where do you get the number to determine the hit rate? from the positive samples divided by the total number of samples. when we begun and you guys were talking about some "bad homa" that took place in December, January etc. the "test-positivity rate" was never above 2%... yesterday it was close to 10%, today it was 6%. we don't have such low hit rates as before. this means it's increasing in our midst - I use that to assess where we are in the curve. Peru at 39.00%, Brazil at 36.68%, Qatar at 22.71%, Mexico at 21.07% and Chile at 20.97 are the top 5 countries.All Mushrooms are edible! Some Mushroom are only edible ONCE!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 8/10/2010 Posts: 2,264
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masukuma wrote:mpobiz wrote:masukuma wrote:Dahatre wrote:Not @Makales, but that Star story is trash... The Standard story is more measured.. Only 2535 blood donor samples were tested for antibodies. The 2.6 million is an extrapolation from those samples. Statisticians will tell you that this method is often useless as it usually has bias (in this case, people who donate blood do not represent the Kenyan population). The article in the standard points this out: Standard excerpt: "The report indicates, however, that the ideal way of estimating exposure to Covid-19 in the Kenyan population would be visiting randomly selected homesteads to collect and then test blood samples, but this has not been practical under current restrictions."
That said, it is almost a certainty that there are more infected Kenyans than the numbers MOH so breathlessly loves to report every evening… .knowing very well that our testing levels are subpar. The reported cases are not useless but as the disease moves on they become less correct as cases sprout all over. On the extrapolation- it’s true... the stats are wrong but they are a fair indicator of what’s wrong. I stopped looking at the number but I concentrate on the hit rate... it’s a good indicator of the active cases around. On the KEMRI report - Consider a situation where 6 people in a county give blood and in there are 3 brothers from same family. If those 3 have antibodies the extrapolation will state that 50% of the county has the disease. Which was indeed just 1 family. Having said that- this is the closest methodical way we have assessed the spread of Covid in the country. Science is corrected by better science so let’s get some other type of estimation. Where do you get the number to determine the hit rate? from the positive samples divided by the total number of samples. when we begun and you guys were talking about some "bad homa" that took place in December, January etc. the "test-positivity rate" was never above 2%... yesterday it was close to 10%, today it was 6%. we don't have such low hit rates as before. this means it's increasing in our midst - I use that to assess where we are in the curve. Peru at 39.00%, Brazil at 36.68%, Qatar at 22.71%, Mexico at 21.07% and Chile at 20.97 are the top 5 countries. Our testing capabilities are too low to get the right hit rate. I hope we could achieve 100k tests daily like what you are seeing in Brazil and other western countries. That's why KEMRI come up with their own estimates. Those estimates might include the time that has already lapsed with this pandemic and the patterns in other countries. I wish I could post photos here. Yesterday i was in a packed club in parklands. Now as I write this I am somewhere in mombasa road and the atmosphere is just great. My friend who lost his smell and taste sences will be joining us shortly. The hit rate is very high.. but people are not getting sick.. Politics is just things to keep the people divided and foolish and put your trust in men and none of them can do nothing for you...
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