[quote=Queen][quote=FRM2011]
In centoro, WSR will take the majority vote.


How big the majority will be is hard to tell. My guess is 60-70 %. Coupled with a low turnout, it makes his winning an impossibility.

On a positive note, his supporters can only cause trouble in the north rift. But this time around, they can't touch kyuks because they desperately need their votes. In short, 2022 will be the most peaceful election. [/quote]

Elections are always relatively peaceful. However, after the votes have been cast and and the expected results turns out negative, then the centre is never able to hold.[/quote]

I think you meant voting is usually peaceful.
The electoral process starts with nominations and ends when succesful candidates are declared and gazetted.

[quote=madollar][quote=FRM2011]
In centoro, WSR will take the majority vote.


How big the majority will be is hard to tell. My guess is 60-70 %. Coupled with a low turnout, it makes his winning an impossibility.

On a positive note, his supporters can only cause trouble in the north rift. But this time around, they can't touch kyuks because they desperately need their votes. In short, 2022 will be the most peaceful election. [/quote]

It will be 2017 reloaded he will/may not reach the 50&+1 vote but ndio ataongoza then runoff alafu wembe ni ule ule
[/quote]

Actually it's 60+1 first round.
@FRM I see the ODM fraternity is slowly acknowledging our future muthamaki. You are very much welcomed. But don't come with the likes of atwoli and murathe. Both of them are a disgrace to the elders of this country.

[quote=kaka2za][quote=mpobiz][quote=madollar][quote=FRM2011]
In centoro, WSR will take the majority vote.


How big the majority will be is hard to tell. My guess is 60-70 %. Coupled with a low turnout, it makes his winning an impossibility.

On a positive note, his supporters can only cause trouble in the north rift. But this time around, they can't touch kyuks because they desperately need their votes. In short, 2022 will be the most peaceful election. [/quote]

It will be 2017 reloaded he will/may not reach the 50&+1 vote but ndio ataongoza then runoff alafu wembe ni ule ule
[/quote]

Actually it's 60+1 first round.
@FRM I see the ODM fraternity is slowly acknowledging our future muthamaki. You are very much welcomed. But don't come with the likes of atwoli and murathe. Both of them are a disgrace to the elders of this country.[/quote]


Centoro will vote for WSR but the turnout will most likely be circa 55%.
Mark this post.[/quote]

If they won by a slim margin after kumira kumira-ring >90%, then iko chida with 55% turnout.

[quote=sqft][quote=kaka2za][quote=mpobiz][quote=madollar][quote=FRM2011]
In centoro, WSR will take the majority vote.


How big the majority will be is hard to tell. My guess is 60-70 %. Coupled with a low turnout, it makes his winning an impossibility.

On a positive note, his supporters can only cause trouble in the north rift. But this time around, they can't touch kyuks because they desperately need their votes. In short, 2022 will be the most peaceful election. [/quote]

It will be 2017 reloaded he will/may not reach the 50&+1 vote but ndio ataongoza then runoff alafu wembe ni ule ule
[/quote]

Actually it's 60+1 first round.
@FRM I see the ODM fraternity is slowly acknowledging our future muthamaki. You are very much welcomed. But don't come with the likes of atwoli and murathe. Both of them are a disgrace to the elders of this country.[/quote]


Centoro will vote for WSR but the turnout will most likely be circa 55%.
Mark this post.[/quote]

If they won by a slim margin after kumira kumira-ring >90%, then iko chida with 55% turnout.
[/quote]

Why not predict vote apathy for the whole country?
Nyanza 20% if raila won't be on the ballot.
Centro 70% if raila won't be on the ballot. If he dares to be on the ballot . 99% thuraku kumira kumira.
Ukambani 40% whoever will be in the ballot.
Western 40% whoever will be on the ballot.
Kaleo land 100% if the new muthamaki will be on the ballot 10% if he won't.
Maasai land 60% whoever will be on the ballot.
Coast 50% whomever will be on the ballot.
Wariah land 60% whomever will be on the ballot.

I should also remind you that local politics also play a big role in mobilizing voters. For example in maasai land clannism play a big role in determining the turnout levels.
In most parts of the country the excitement driven by the other ellective positions is what is going to drive most people to the voting booths.we are just lucky that's how ellections are held in this country. Unlike in other coutries where elections are held in difrent days for difrent seats.
That said you can disregard my first paragraph.

[quote=kaka2za][quote=mpobiz][quote=sqft][quote=kaka2za][quote=mpobiz][quote=madollar][quote=FRM2011]
In centoro, WSR will take the majority vote.


How big the majority will be is hard to tell. My guess is 60-70 %. Coupled with a low turnout, it makes his winning an impossibility.

On a positive note, his supporters can only cause trouble in the north rift. But this time around, they can't touch kyuks because they desperately need their votes. In short, 2022 will be the most peaceful election. [/quote]

It will be 2017 reloaded he will/may not reach the 50&+1 vote but ndio ataongoza then runoff alafu wembe ni ule ule
[/quote]

Actually it's 60+1 first round.
@FRM I see the ODM fraternity is slowly acknowledging our future muthamaki. You are very much welcomed. But don't come with the likes of atwoli and murathe. Both of them are a disgrace to the elders of this country.[/quote]


Centoro will vote for WSR but the turnout will most likely be circa 55%.
Mark this post.[/quote]

If they won by a slim margin after kumira kumira-ring >90%, then iko chida with 55% turnout.
[/quote]

Why not predict vote apathy for the whole country?
Nyanza 20% if raila won't be on the ballot.
Centro 70% if raila won't be on the ballot. If he dares to be on the ballot . 99% thuraku kumira kumira.
Ukambani 40% whoever will be in the ballot.
Western 40% whoever will be on the ballot.
Kaleo land 100% if the new muthamaki will be on the ballot 10% if he won't.
Maasai land 60% whoever will be on the ballot.
Coast 50% whomever will be on the ballot.
Wariah land 60% whomever will be on the ballot.

I should also remind you that local politics also play a big role in mobilizing voters. For example in maasai land clannism play a big role in determining the turnout levels.
In most parts of the country the excitement driven by the other ellective positions is what is going to drive most people to the voting booths.we are just lucky that's how ellections are held in this country. Unlike in other coutries where elections are held in difrent days for difrent seats.
That said you can disregard my first paragraph. [/quote]

You see people are not unhappy with the presidency only. Last time, many MPs ,MCAs and even governors were voted out and voters expected the new leaders to bring change. It actually got worse. So don't expect Kiambu people for example to come out in large numbers to vote for a governor like they did for Waititi.
Anyway let us wait and see. In 1997, JJ Kamotho was certain to be elected as Mathioya MP. His son did something silly at dawn of the voting day and the rest is history.
[/quote]

Whoever UMK will be supporting will lose in Central. The geneneral apathy towards UMK is just too much.