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Exchange Bar: Results forecast
Ericsson
#2161 Posted : Saturday, May 16, 2020 7:18:32 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP

heri
#2162 Posted : Saturday, May 16, 2020 10:48:16 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/14/2011
Posts: 744
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.
Ericsson
#2163 Posted : Saturday, May 16, 2020 4:13:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
heri wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.


Contribution from NBK
obiero
#2164 Posted : Sunday, May 17, 2020 6:55:52 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,698
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
heri wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.


Contribution from NBK

With 21 extra curfew days, Q2 just got decimated
www.winda.co.ke
Ericsson
#2165 Posted : Sunday, May 17, 2020 1:08:57 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
heri wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.


Contribution from NBK

With 21 extra curfew days, Q2 just got decimated

Restructuring of loans tuu
obiero
#2166 Posted : Sunday, May 17, 2020 4:45:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,698
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
heri wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.


Contribution from NBK

With 21 extra curfew days, Q2 just got decimated

Restructuring of loans tuu

Look at it deeper.. Some sectors will not rebound, even after curfew is lifted.. Banks will also be cautious in lending to MSME as we hurtle towards 2022.. Not looking too rosy for me
www.winda.co.ke
rwitre
#2167 Posted : Sunday, May 17, 2020 5:47:35 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/8/2018
Posts: 429
Location: Nairobi
Moody's cuts outlook for Kenya banks to negative on Treasury bond exposure

Quote:

Moody’s adds, the outlook for the lenders has changed from stable to negative due to the substantial government bond holdings — at between 1.3 and two times their shareholders’ equity — which links their creditworthiness to that of the government.

“The negative outlook reflects primarily the banks’ sizeable holding of sovereign debt securities at between 1.3-2.0 times their shareholders’ equity, which links their creditworthiness to that of the government,” said the update.

“All three banks’ local-currency deposit ratings of B2 are at the same rating level of the government, and a potential weakening in the government’s credit profile will lead to a weaker credit profile for the banks.”

Between January and December 2019, Equity raised its government securities holdings from Sh161 billion to Sh172.1 billion, KCB’s holdings went up from Sh109.9 billion to Sh153.9 billion while Co-operative Bank rose from Sh80.3 billion to Sh117.8 billion.

Ericsson
#2168 Posted : Sunday, May 17, 2020 7:09:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
heri wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.


Contribution from NBK

With 21 extra curfew days, Q2 just got decimated

Restructuring of loans tuu

Look at it deeper.. Some sectors will not rebound, even after curfew is lifted.. Banks will also be cautious in lending to MSME as we hurtle towards 2022.. Not looking too rosy for me


Tourism and hospitality industry.
Mombasa is pumping up the COVID-19 numbers
xxxxx
#2169 Posted : Tuesday, May 19, 2020 12:49:24 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/20/2008
Posts: 498
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
heri wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.


Contribution from NBK

With 21 extra curfew days, Q2 just got decimated

Restructuring of loans tuu

Look at it deeper.. Some sectors will not rebound, even after curfew is lifted.. Banks will also be cautious in lending to MSME as we hurtle towards 2022.. Not looking too rosy for me


Tourism and hospitality industry.
Mombasa is pumping up the COVID-19 numbers




Did some one say KCB was reporting 2020 Q1 today?
Ericsson
#2170 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2020 4:43:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
xxxxx wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
heri wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 9.1
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Equity, SCBK and Stanbic fairing worse off than the others.. HF should be bought out, preferably by COOP


So only KCB is forecasted to increase from 8.5 and equity is down from 8.8.


Contribution from NBK

With 21 extra curfew days, Q2 just got decimated

Restructuring of loans tuu

Look at it deeper.. Some sectors will not rebound, even after curfew is lifted.. Banks will also be cautious in lending to MSME as we hurtle towards 2022.. Not looking too rosy for me


Tourism and hospitality industry.
Mombasa is pumping up the COVID-19 numbers




Did some one say KCB was reporting 2020 Q1 today?

Q1 PBT Ksh.9.1bn
obiero
#2171 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2020 5:00:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,698
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 9.0
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
www.winda.co.ke
Ericsson
#2172 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2020 7:39:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 9.0
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1


Correction KCB its ksh.8.922bn
obiero
#2173 Posted : Wednesday, May 20, 2020 7:47:33 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,698
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 8.9
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1


Correction KCB its ksh.8.922bn

www.winda.co.ke
Horton
#2174 Posted : Thursday, May 21, 2020 6:13:19 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,520
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 9.0
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1



NCBA PBT 2.416B
Ericsson
#2175 Posted : Thursday, May 21, 2020 4:20:14 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 8.9
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2 Actual 5.1
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1



NCBA PBT 2.416B

CO-OP bank 5.1bn
obiero
#2176 Posted : Thursday, May 21, 2020 5:15:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,698
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 8.9
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2 Actual 5.1
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3 Actual 2.4
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
www.winda.co.ke
Ericsson
#2177 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2020 10:04:28 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 8.9
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2 Actual 5.1
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3 Actual 2.4
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8 Actual 2.953
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1


DTB 2.95bn
obiero
#2178 Posted : Friday, May 22, 2020 6:52:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 12,698
Location: nairobi
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 8.9
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2 Actual 5.1
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3 Actual 2.4
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0
DTB 2.8 Actual 2.9
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
www.winda.co.ke
Ericsson
#2179 Posted : Wednesday, May 27, 2020 11:25:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 8,402
Location: NAIROBI
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 8.9
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2 Actual 5.1
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3 Actual 2.4
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0 Actual 3.2
DTB 2.8 Actual 2.9
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034
Horton
#2180 Posted : Thursday, May 28, 2020 2:00:40 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,520
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
Exchange Bar Quarterly Forecast for Q1 2020, PBT figures in KES B:
KCB 9.2 Actual 8.9
EQTY 7.8
COOP 5.2 Actual 5.1
I&M 3.6
NCBA 3.3 Actual 2.4
SCBK 3.1
ABSA 3.0 Actual 2.9
DTB 2.8 Actual 2.9
STANB 1.9 Actual 2.1
HFCK -0.034



I’m guessing equity Q1 wasn’t so hot.
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