Bigchick wrote:From COVID-19 Tracker Worldometer,yesturday we had 3500 new confirmed cases and 142 new deaths.
Is it safe/ok to conclude the worst is over and that we are now getting to a new phase that will have less casualties.
#Extremistinoptimism.
#Weshallovercome.
I see it as a mixed bag. Some countries are peaking while others are rising, for example, we might soon be talking of Russia a lot. At that time we may have higher figures than you've mentioned.
Here's the thing: that we have a new virus with us is a forgone conclusion. It is no longer a matter of never getting this virus because even a vaccine is a version of it.
We have no vaccine at the moment, and some countries may develop it in a year or two. The question is, what do we do?
I believe that if we start answering this question in a positive, and intelligent manner we have reason to be optimistic. I know the numbers are shocking, I know we fear death, and I also know that it is necessary for us to be calm and to think critically about what's happening.
I believe we now have a scientific understanding of Covid that may be different from the understanding that was in Feb. 2020. Have we adjusted? For example: Leung et all, 2020, have shown that there is viral shedding during exhalation. If we consider this kind of action and implication on how for example, a patient progresses in a room, then we find that it is very likely that he/she will inhale more and more virions, till pneumonia.
Consider the situation: if this is the case, then what should we do to prevent deterioration of the patient?
I believe that genuine optimism is one that meets life with such an approach. Our hope is not in numbers, but in our ability to reason intelligently and change realities.