@sparkly - Manufacturing in Kenya suffered in 2019 and is still suffering. At best, I expect modest results from FTG for FY19. Nothing to write home about.
Except for "sin" manufacturing eg EABL and BAT, I don't think the other manufacturing firms (BOC, Bamburi, EAC, etc) did well in 2019.
Even the once unassailable Bamburi has been hurting.
On the other hand, at sub-2 (vs 7 at one point), perhaps FTG is well priced.
FTG's level of receivables and debt is higher than I would like but if FTG can grow the business without increasing receivables and debt then it looks more attractive.
I bought Centum at 28-35 given it looks very attractive compared to the NAV.
Kenya Re at 3/- given the low P/B and high PER.
Finally, not that it's a guarantee of success (see ARM) but the CEO owns 80%+ which is a lot of skin in the game.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett