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Safaricom 2019/2020
Ericsson
#161 Posted : Friday, November 01, 2019 5:01:30 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,819
Location: NAIROBI
Kenya's Safaricom plans Ethiopia expansion after profit jump

Kenya’s Safaricom plans to bid for one of two Ethiopian telecoms licences next year in partnership with South Africa’s Vodacom, it said after posting a jump in first-half profit on Friday.

East Africa’s most profitable company hopes to replicate its Kenyan success in neighbouring Ethiopia, acting CEO Michael Joseph said.

“It is the biggest prize left in Africa from a telecommunications point of view,” he told an investor briefing, referring to Ethiopia’s huge protected market and population of more than 100 million.

Officials plan to award two telecoms licences to multinational mobile companies by April 2020, the Ethiopian communications regulator said last month, as it opens up its market to foreign investors.

Ethio Telecom, the state monopoly, has also taken steps towards offering a minority stake to a strategic investor.

Safaricom is considering all the options, Joseph said. Companies that want to secure the licences have to come with deep pockets, he added.

“You have to bid for the spectrum. There is talk about it and it is in the billion-dollar range, just for the licence,” he told Reuters.

Other challenges include a nascent democracy initiated by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, foreign exchange shortages and delayed new regulations for the telecoms sector, he added.

Safaricom has signed an agreement with an unidentified Ethiopian firm to introduce its M-Pesa mobile financial service in the country, said the interim CEO.

PROFIT JUMP

Safaricom, partly owned by Vodacom and Britain’s Vodafone , stuck to its full-year guidance after reporting a 12.7% jump in first-half core earnings, helped by M-Pesa.

Revenue from M-Pesa, which allows users to send cash, save, borrow and pay for goods and services, soared 18.2% in the six months to Sept. 30.

Safaricom’s Service revenue grew at 5.3%, down from 7.7% a year earlier, as the company cut tariffs in response to increased competition and pressure on consumer incomes.

“For a period in which they have cut rates, the revenue growth is acceptable,” said Standard Investment Bank analyst Lisa Kimathi.

Safaricom shares were up 1.5% at 30.20 shillings by 1110 GMT.

https://af.reuters.com/a.../kenyaNews/idAFL8N27H0OW
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#162 Posted : Sunday, November 03, 2019 7:59:00 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,819
Location: NAIROBI
watesh wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Safaricom is considering buying a stake in Ethiopia state owned Ethio telecom, which has announced the sale of shares through a privatization plan or setting shop in Ethiopia from scratch.

Finally some light at the end of the tunnel in terms of expansion outside the country


Safaricom is not keen on participating in the privatization of Ethio Telecom, it’s more keen on a greenfield operation,Michael Joseph told investors earlier during Half year results.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#163 Posted : Sunday, November 03, 2019 8:01:13 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,819
Location: NAIROBI
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
watesh wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Safaricom is considering buying a stake in Ethiopia state owned Ethio telecom, which has announced the sale of shares through a privatization plan or setting shop in Ethiopia from scratch.

Finally some light at the end of the tunnel in terms of expansion outside the country


Ethio telecom 2018/2019 Financial results
Revenue - - - $1.2bn
Net income---$198mn

Let's say Company is valued at sh.200bn using a price to earnings ratio of 10
If the Ethiopian government sells a 20% stake, safaricom may have to folk out $400mn or ksh.40bn
Easy for Saf which paid 75bn+ in dividends last year.

Let's wait and see what % stake will up for sale
I was using your numbers. Even 50% at 100bn ($1bn) is do-able by Saf given it has the ability to borrow based on its regular and substantial cash inflow and debt-free balance sheet.


Safaricom to partner with Vodacom in establishing greenfield operation in Ethiopia
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#164 Posted : Sunday, November 03, 2019 8:04:15 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,819
Location: NAIROBI
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
watesh wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Safaricom is considering buying a stake in Ethiopia state owned Ethio telecom, which has announced the sale of shares through a privatization plan or setting shop in Ethiopia from scratch.

Finally some light at the end of the tunnel in terms of expansion outside the country


Ethio telecom 2018/2019 Financial results
Revenue - - - $1.2bn
Net income---$198mn

Let's say Company is valued at sh.200bn using a price to earnings ratio of 10
If the Ethiopian government sells a 20% stake, safaricom may have to folk out $400mn or ksh.40bn
Easy for Saf which paid 75bn+ in dividends last year.

Let's wait and see what % stake will up for sale
I was using your numbers. Even 50% at 100bn ($1bn) is do-able by Saf given it has the ability to borrow based on its regular and substantial cash inflow and debt-free balance sheet.


Borrowing means it may go with a foreign bank or do a syndicated loan with local banks.
Ethiopian government has given itself a timeline to complete by March 2020 and announce the winners.
Easy for Safaricom to line up $1bn in financing within 3 months after the "award" given its strong cashflow, balance sheet and parent.


Spectrum fee license estimated at $1bn for establishing operation in Ethiopia
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
cyruskulei
#165 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2019 9:15:55 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/9/2010
Posts: 320
Location: kenya
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
watesh wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
Safaricom is considering buying a stake in Ethiopia state owned Ethio telecom, which has announced the sale of shares through a privatization plan or setting shop in Ethiopia from scratch.

Finally some light at the end of the tunnel in terms of expansion outside the country


Ethio telecom 2018/2019 Financial results
Revenue - - - $1.2bn
Net income---$198mn

Let's say Company is valued at sh.200bn using a price to earnings ratio of 10
If the Ethiopian government sells a 20% stake, safaricom may have to folk out $400mn or ksh.40bn
Easy for Saf which paid 75bn+ in dividends last year.

Let's wait and see what % stake will up for sale
I was using your numbers. Even 50% at 100bn ($1bn) is do-able by Saf given it has the ability to borrow based on its regular and substantial cash inflow and debt-free balance sheet.


Borrowing means it may go with a foreign bank or do a syndicated loan with local banks.
Ethiopian government has given itself a timeline to complete by March 2020 and announce the winners.
Easy for Safaricom to line up $1bn in financing within 3 months after the "award" given its strong cashflow, balance sheet and parent.


Spectrum fee license estimated at $1bn for establishing operation in Ethiopia


1 Billion dollars??? That translates to 100B KSH. Too high.
Work hard at your job and you can make a living. Work hard on yourself and you can make a fortune.

FUNKY
#166 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2019 11:07:56 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
Extraterrestrial
#167 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2019 12:33:42 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/17/2018
Posts: 173
Location: Mars
FUNKY wrote:
https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/Safaricom-considers-lowering-M-Shwari/539546-5335872-view-asAMP-a22frr/index.html?__twitter_impression=true


WHAT is it with Michael Joseph and reducing prices? He seems to be obsessed with the same! Reminiscing the old days of the price wars that made Safaricom shares tank?
Ericsson
#168 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2019 4:05:24 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,819
Location: NAIROBI
Extraterrestrial wrote:
FUNKY wrote:
https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/Safaricom-considers-lowering-M-Shwari/539546-5335872-view-asAMP-a22frr/index.html?__twitter_impression=true


WHAT is it with Michael Joseph and reducing prices? He seems to be obsessed with the same! Reminiscing the old days of the price wars that made Safaricom shares tank?


Customer benefits when prices are reduced.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Wakanyugi
#169 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2019 9:02:30 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 7/3/2007
Posts: 1,635
Extraterrestrial wrote:
FUNKY wrote:
https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/Safaricom-considers-lowering-M-Shwari/539546-5335872-view-asAMP-a22frr/index.html?__twitter_impression=true


WHAT is it with Michael Joseph and reducing prices? He seems to be obsessed with the same! Reminiscing the old days of the price wars that made Safaricom shares tank?


It is a fight for market share. While Safaricoms customers are indeed sticky to Mpesa, the same can not be said of data and voice. To me, however, it seems like the perennial innovation well is running dry. Maybe Ndegwa will help.
"The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth." (Niels Bohr)
tandich
#170 Posted : Monday, November 04, 2019 9:23:49 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/6/2008
Posts: 199
Once extravagant, Safaricom now tightens its fist



Good for Shareholders:
- Cost optimisation
- Sweating assets more
- Customer service improvement

Bad:
- Altruistic reduction in cost of financial services. Only makes sense if demand is waning, which doesn't seem to be happening
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