Liv wrote:Ngalaka wrote:If Uhuru is to sidestep Ruto's candidacy as he seems inclined to, then his alternative plan must incorporate Raila to have any meaningful chances for victory.
Mudavadi-Gideon ticket doesnt sound like anything that Raila would go with.
My money is on Matiang'i.
Matiang'i?....neverNobody will ever make another person President of Kenya... To become president you must have either or both of the two things- a lot of money and a substantial political following (huge personal brand recognition from grassroots). Substantial political following does not come in 2 or 3 years.... It takes at least a decade of being in the limelight and being in political positions where you lead and grew.
In 2022.... It's either Raila or Ruto who will become president. If your name doesn't start with R .... Forget it for now. I hear you.
However, lets consider some variables here;
- Uhuru & Raila are now working together.
- Chances are that they'll work together through 2022.
- What are the odds that Uhuru will support Raila for President?
- If Raila were to become president would Uhuru be sitting pretty! ICC still exits however defanged.
- In a contest purely between Raila and Ruto things could swing either way, too unpredictable from Uhurus point of view.
- What if Ruto won without Uhuru's support!
- Uhuru and Raila have been talking about legacy, that Kenyans should never fight due to politics, that their working together is about Kenya not their own 'stomachs'- well depending on how much you are willing to believe the politicians.
- Uhuru intimated that he wants to clean up on the widely held notion that the mountaineers votes are their own.
- Uhuru and Raila can jointly sponsor a neutral candidate and support him to easy victory.
- If that candidate be Matiang'i, he is sellable.
- Since he has no political base currently, he is likely to 'cooperate' fully.
- If Uhuru and Uhuru fail to work together they could both end up losing.
- Ruto presidency isnt something Raila or Uhuru (if he didn't support him) would be gung-ho about.
Isuni yilu yi maa me muyo - ni Mbisuu