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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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@hardestwood, this is what Meteorological Dept are saying Quote:The MAM 2019 Long Rains updates
The Climate Outlook for the March-April-May (MAM) 2019 “Long Rains” season indicated that most of the country was likely to experience slightly above average rainfall except for parts of Eastern Kenya and the Coastal regions. The seasonal rainfall onset was also expected to be timely over several parts of the country.
However, a Tropical Cyclone known as “IDAI” located in the Mozambican Channel for several days (See Figure 1-Courtesy of Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)) has played a key role in delaying the northward movement of the rain-bearing Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The cyclone significantly reduced moisture influx into the country and this led to the continued sunny and dry weather conditions over the better part of the country.
There are possibilities of more TCs developing in the South-West Indian Ocean Basin and this may delay further the onset over the eastern sector of the country. Despite
the timely onset of the MAM 2019 seasonal rainfall over the western counties, prolonged dry spells are
likely due to the existence of the TCs.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/28/2015 Posts: 9,562 Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
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Lolest! wrote:@hardestwood, this is what Meteorological Dept are saying Quote:The MAM 2019 Long Rains updates
The Climate Outlook for the March-April-May (MAM) 2019 “Long Rains” season indicated that most of the country was likely to experience slightly above average rainfall except for parts of Eastern Kenya and the Coastal regions. The seasonal rainfall onset was also expected to be timely over several parts of the country.
However, a Tropical Cyclone known as “IDAI” located in the Mozambican Channel for several days (See Figure 1-Courtesy of Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)) has played a key role in delaying the northward movement of the rain-bearing Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The cyclone significantly reduced moisture influx into the country and this led to the continued sunny and dry weather conditions over the better part of the country.
There are possibilities of more TCs developing in the South-West Indian Ocean Basin and this may delay further the onset over the eastern sector of the country. Despite
the timely onset of the MAM 2019 seasonal rainfall over the western counties, prolonged dry spells are
likely due to the existence of the TCs. There is a new cyclone Joaninha sitting over mauritius sucking our rains. Then it seems our weather patterns are messed up. 
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 9/21/2011 Posts: 2,032
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Lolest! wrote:Back to class. Tropical cyclones Quote:The term "tropical" refers to both the geographic origin of these systems, which form almost exclusively in tropical regions of the globe, and their dependence on Maritime Tropical air masses for their formation.
Tropics ni kuku huku: Quote:The tropics are the region of the Earth surrounding the Equator. They are delimited in latitude by The Tropic of Cancer in the Northern Hemisphere at 23°26′12.5″ (or 23.43679°) N and the Tropic of Capricorn in the Southern Hemisphere at 23°26′12.5″ (or 23.43679°) S Yes, Tropics is the region between Tropic of Cancer & Capricon- so equator is included. However Cyclones don't form along equator belt within 5degrees of latitude.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/13/2015 Posts: 1,590
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It's official no rains this season. Climate change is real. Mjipange!!! Quote:It is official. There will be no rains this season, the weatherman has finally said, painting a grim picture of the long-awaited rainy season that is now drawing close to an end.
Acting Deputy Director of Kenya Meteorological Department Bernard Chanzu said Kenyans should not expect the March-April-May long rains. Impact of tropical cyclones Quote:“We’re experiencing a bad season. Historically, it is normal to experience variability of weather,” he said, adding “some years you get good weather, others you don’t. This is usually a possibility but the frequency with which these inconsistencies are happening is a hallmark of climate change.” https://www.businessdail...073986-3ykge3/index.html
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/18/2011 Posts: 12,069 Location: Kianjokoma
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Quote:Authorities in Tanzania have advised people in southern coastal regions to move to safer ground ahead of the expected arrival of a cyclone.
Cyclone Kenneth is predicted to also hit neighbouring northern Mozambique with winds of up to 200km/h (124 mph) and torrential rain.
Residents have been told to expect damage to their houses and farms. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-48039274
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Lolest! wrote:Quote:Authorities in Tanzania have advised people in southern coastal regions to move to safer ground ahead of the expected arrival of a cyclone.
Cyclone Kenneth is predicted to also hit neighbouring northern Mozambique with winds of up to 200km/h (124 mph) and torrential rain.
Residents have been told to expect damage to their houses and farms. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-48039274 Seems like Kenya will get some of the moisture not the cyclone tho which is good for us. #Kenneth     "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/13/2015 Posts: 1,590
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Lolest! wrote:Quote:Authorities in Tanzania have advised people in southern coastal regions to move to safer ground ahead of the expected arrival of a cyclone.
Cyclone Kenneth is predicted to also hit neighbouring northern Mozambique with winds of up to 200km/h (124 mph) and torrential rain.
Residents have been told to expect damage to their houses and farms. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-48039274 TC Kenneth is now stronger than TC Idai. Category 4 strength. 
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Has made landfall in Mozambique.  Comoros nearly obliterated.  "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/28/2015 Posts: 9,562 Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
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murchr wrote:Has made landfall in Mozambique. Comoros nearly obliterated. That is our rain that has been sucked by Cyclone Kenneth and deposited in Mozambique and TZ. We should expect below normal rains in .ke.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 3/19/2010 Posts: 3,504 Location: Uganda
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/28/2015 Posts: 9,562 Location: Rodi Kopany, Homa Bay
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Lolest! wrote:Quote:Authorities in Tanzania have advised people in southern coastal regions to move to safer ground ahead of the expected arrival of a cyclone.
Cyclone Kenneth is predicted to also hit neighbouring northern Mozambique with winds of up to 200km/h (124 mph) and torrential rain.
Residents have been told to expect damage to their houses and farms. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-48039274 TZ people adviced to go back home as cyclone fails to materialize. The "cyclone" has wind speeds of only 50kph, also the dark clouds have disappeared. https://www.nation.co.ke...088358-61ykj0/index.html
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/3/2008 Posts: 4,057 Location: Gwitu
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hardwood wrote:[quote=Lolest!] Quote:Authorities in Tanzania have advised people in southern coastal regions to move to safer ground ahead of the expected arrival of a cyclone.
Cyclone Kenneth is predicted to also hit neighbouring northern Mozambique with winds of up to 200km/h (124 mph) and torrential rain.
Residents have been told to expect damage to their houses and farms. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-48039274 TZ people adviced to go back home as cyclone fails to materialize. The "cyclone" has wind speeds of only 50kph, also the dark clouds have disappeared. https://www.nation.co.ke...88358-61ykj0/index.html[/quote] Babu wa Loliondo chased it away!  Truth forever on the scaffold
Wrong forever on the throne
(James Russell Rowell)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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hardwood wrote:Lolest! wrote:Quote:Authorities in Tanzania have advised people in southern coastal regions to move to safer ground ahead of the expected arrival of a cyclone.
Cyclone Kenneth is predicted to also hit neighbouring northern Mozambique with winds of up to 200km/h (124 mph) and torrential rain.
Residents have been told to expect damage to their houses and farms. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-48039274 TZ people adviced to go back home as cyclone fails to materialize. The "cyclone" has wind speeds of only 50kph, also the dark clouds have disappeared. https://www.nation.co.ke...88358-61ykj0/index.html
It materialized but the speeds were not as dangerous in Tanzania, the eye of the storm curved back to pemba moz. "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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