I agree. If it's a race he's ahead of the pack. By like 6months - 1year. I don't know Whether the race is a sprint or a Marathon. If it's the latter, then nobody should start celebrating yet.

When it comes to the top prize,you should temper your ambitions since enemies and obstacles only increase with time.
I can't wait to see the implosion in Jubiri...casualties will be many and widespread.

Best strategy in Kenya history has been to fake interest by (in-action and lies/words)..then unleash your arsenal just b4 the eleventh hour. The current frontrunner is only able to fake by words not actions coz everyone knows whatvtheyvdo behind closed doors at night, that's his only disadvantage. The dilemma for the others is to what extent you can keep quiet when your opponent is running full steam. By the way this is what led to 07'PEV. As Rao and team run the show in the runup to election, kibaki kept quiet all through - the weapon he knew best. since these other guys were so loud and all over the media, their supporters believed they were destined to win. When their expectations were not met the result was violence. We must avoid possiblity of this scenario in '22, tough balancing act

I'm in agreement with @guka here...

hogwash.

I second. And not from a point of emotion or ignorance. If you know you know.

It's becoming clear that the oligarchy doesn't want WSR near state house, and he knows it. He probably knows that he can't win against them irrespective of how big his financial war-chest will be in 2022.

My hypothesis;
If he is the sleek politician he appears to be, he knows his best case lies in him maintaining power rather than trying to go against the oligarchy. Mainly due to two points:

1) historically, the Odingas have messed themselves trying to go against them with little to show for it (compare with man Jim).
2) The economy will most likely go belly-up before 2022. You don't want to be the leader pulling the country back on track after, as you will be remembered as the leader who caused much suffering to the people. Remember this will not be like the economic mess of the late 90's when they were mostly eating tax money. This time round it's loans on the table, most of which mature 2020-2023....

My hyppthesis is that he can maintain power post 2022 by playing his cards as a candidate till last minute, thereby getting a sizable political war-chest. Then bulldozing his way in to the next government as a king-maker. Maybe even get the Deputy PM post. This way he gets to maintain his wealth and build up more political acceptance going 2027/32.

P.S. I'm seeing highest probability as Rao/Uhunye in 2022. Prezo/PM....the two idealists.

Kingpins have no place in the future we're trying to create. They belong to the past. As for 22', I suspect mt Kenya will not (and need not) vote as a block this time round. If Kenyatta family wants to remain at the table let them bring someone else from the family. Otherwise no pork will entertain the previous one to be anywhere near power after their term is over. It would actually be a national security risk

My hypothesis too. I see this handshake leading to:

Prezo: Rao (Nyanza)
DP: Ukambani (Eastern)
+
PM: Uhunye (Central)
DPM1: RV
DPM2: Central or North Eastern
DPM3: Joho (Coast)
DPM4: MDVD (Western)

I see these are only important areas to fill the winning basket.

NB: Not that I support this dynasty plan. Just looking at how things are going.

Kremlin style.
Power is sweet.