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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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A bear market is always ripe for scandals.  https://twitter.com/ahme...tus/1066555281793003521
scandals galore Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Expect more scandals and violence Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,229 Location: nairobi
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mnandii wrote:Expect more scandals and violence The worst is behind us in Jesus name
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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obiero wrote:mnandii wrote:Expect more scandals and violence The worst is behind us in Jesus name I would be cautious. The worst is yet to come. The NSE 20 share index is yet to find a bottom. And now you get news of the re-emergence of violent gangs e.g mungiki and the clashes starting in Likoni.  There's also a possibility of terrorist attacks Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Kingi wants law changed to allow castration of defilerslinkThis and Death Penalty likely to find themselves in your legislation as the bear market rages. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Posted September 8, 2016: linkmnandii wrote:mnandii wrote: Pp 164 Quote:...
Monopoly priviledges stifle innovation, so when monopoly power is removed, an industry is allowed to develop. In contrast, upon every single antitrust action against successful non-monopoly corporations (read Safaricom), innovation did (does) not
immediately burst forth. The reason is that each of these successful companies, in a climate of free competition, was precisely the one responsible for the immense innovation (e.g. Mpesa, introduction of High Speed Mobile internet) that had already occurred. These disparate results confirm the difference between the two types of entities.
We can now see that the principle behind the government's actions with respect to these disparate entities is the same: At tops, the government initiates force to stifle free competition and success ( attacks on Safaricom on alleged dominance); at bottoms, it removes force that has stifled free competition and success. This latter impetus takes two forms: withdrawing antitrust actions against successful non-monopoly companies and dissolving actual monopolies. With this knowledge, we again have the ability to do some limited probabilistic forecasting both in terms of predicting actions against monopolies and predicting major social mood changes when those actions occur Thus, if Safaricom survives the bear market, we should expect governmental attacks against it to reduce as social mood once again turns positive (i.e when the NSE 20 Share Index bottoms and starts the leg up, and if by then it will not have been broken up as intended by the gov., then the impetus to break it up will dissolve). On the other hand as the bear market probes a bottom, we should expect monopolies such as Posta and Kenya Power to be broken up and new entrants to compete directly with them. Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 11/13/2015 Posts: 1,654
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Posted Sept 21, 2018 wukan wrote:bartum wrote:wukan wrote:bartum wrote:NSE 20 now at 3333,where are headed, will kcb come below 40 Largely depends on the outcome of the cat fight between treasury and the CBK. From what I see in the longer NSE 20 chart 2500 is a possibility to complete the double bottom I pray day and night we get 2500 @mnandii, thanks for your analysis. I was more of the view of a double bottom at 2500 but it looks like that will be a temporary stop. Sub 2K will really be nasty especially for a generation that grew up in Kibaki boom years. Kibaki era kids going through some painful re-adjustment...na bado sub2K Quote:Two ugly incidents by high school leavers have shocked the nation in the past few days. The first was an online video of evidently intoxicated students of Ambira High School in Siaya County, who publicly declared they had cheated in the ongoing Kenya Certificate of Secondary Education examination and insulted public officers with the foulest of language that depicted a lot of uncouth and insolent youngsters. Second was an incident in Bomet, where a group of high school leavers were caught preparing for a sex orgy. On the surface, these two explicitly demonstrate the level of indiscipline and rot in our schools. It is such perverted thinking that explains the runaway cases of strikes; where students resort to violence and chaos to show defiance to organised society. https://www.nation.co.ke...68582-rhu3gj/index.html
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Kendall & Hochberg: Interest Rates Win Again as Fed Follows MarketQuote:Most economists and financial analysts believe that central banks set interest rates. For more than two decades, Elliott Wave International has tracked the relationship between interest rates set by the marketplace and interest rates set by the U.S. Federal Reserve and found that it’s actually the other way around—the market leads, and the Fed follows. The latest Federal Reserve rate decision on December 19 brought the usual breathless anticipation. Confusion reigned as the U.S. president as well as a former Fed board member publicly urged the U.S. central bank not to raise rates and many wondered if the Fed would “rescue” investors with a surprise decision to leave them unchanged. The Fed, however, did what it almost always does: it brought its rate in line with market rates.The Fed increased its federal funds rate a quarter-point from 2.25% to 2.50%. As shown by the dashed line in Figure 1, the Fed’s move followed a rise in the six-month U.S. Treasury bill yield from 2.36% to 2.56% and an increase in the three-month U.S. Treasury bill yield from 2.18% to 2.42% since the prior Fed rate hike on September 26. So, market rates remain nearly undefeated when it comes to predicting what the Fed’s actions will be.  Figure 2, a longer term version of the same relationship, is from The Socionomic Theory of Finance by Robert Prechter. It shows the federal funds rate as set by the Fed and the market-set three-month U.S. Treasury bill yield back to early 2000. This history shows that the T-bill market moves first and the Fed’s interest-rate changes follow. As a result, no one monitoring the Fed’s decisions can predict when T-bill rates will change, but anyone monitoring the T-bill rate can predict when the Fed’s rates will change. We demonstrated this ability in August 2007 by predicting that the Fed was on the cusp of lowering its federal funds rate dramatically. Figure 2 shows the timing and its aftermath.  Page LinkRead Newsmax: Interest Rates Win as The Fed Follows the Market, AGAIN! | Newsmax.com Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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wukan wrote:Posted Sept 21, 2018 wukan wrote:bartum wrote:wukan wrote:bartum wrote:NSE 20 now at 3333,where are headed, will kcb come below 40 Largely depends on the outcome of the cat fight between treasury and the CBK. From what I see in the longer NSE 20 chart 2500 is a possibility to complete the double bottom I pray day and night we get 2500 @mnandii, thanks for your analysis. I was more of the view of a double bottom at 2500 but it looks like that will be a temporary stop. Sub 2K will really be nasty especially for a generation that grew up in Kibaki boom years. Kibaki era kids going through some painful re-adjustment...na bado sub2K Quote:Two ugly incidents by high school leavers have shocked the nation in the past few days. The first was an online video of evidently intoxicated students of Ambira High School in Siaya County, who publicly declared they had cheated in the ongoing Kenya Certificate of Secondary Education examination and insulted public officers with the foulest of language that depicted a lot of uncouth and insolent youngsters. Second was an incident in Bomet, where a group of high school leavers were caught preparing for a sex orgy. On the surface, these two explicitly demonstrate the level of indiscipline and rot in our schools. It is such perverted thinking that explains the runaway cases of strikes; where students resort to violence and chaos to show defiance to organised society. https://www.nation.co.ke...68582-rhu3gj/index.html
Mambo mbaya. Our next president will be an extremist! Ruto in Kenya and Malema in South Africa! Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,304
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Posted on Nov. 26, 2018 mnandii wrote:obiero wrote:mnandii wrote:Expect more scandals and violence The worst is behind us in Jesus name I would be cautious. The worst is yet to come. The NSE 20 share index is yet to find a bottom. And now you get news of the re-emergence of violent gangs e.g mungiki and the clashes starting in Likoni. There's also a possibility of terrorist attacks linkConventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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