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KCB 2018 and Beyond
obiero
#101 Posted : Wednesday, November 14, 2018 10:25:15 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,501
Location: nairobi
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Muthawamunene wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB Q3 2018;
Profit before tax at ksh.25.6bn 14% growth compared to previous year
Profit After Tax at ksh.18.04bn;20% growth compared to previous year

The Group’s balance sheet improved by 6% to Sh684.2B from Sh643.8B in 2017, with deposits growing by a similar margin to Sh526.8B from Sh496.3Bn.
Net loans and advances were up 4% to Sh435.3B from Sh419.5B while long term funding stood at Sh20.7B from the previous period’s Sh14.4B.

Investment in Government and other securities grew to ksh.119.7bn compared to 103.6bn in a similar period last year

Great news @ericsson



Subjective profit here. Subjective in that it is derived from the subjective assessment of loan loss provision.

If one was to compare with equity, it would have to be done on the basis of interest income and not profit.


Otherwise, we cross fingers for a good dividend this year and pray that the provision will not be subjectively revised upwards in the future.

IFRS 9 used as the measure in provision determination.. If massive recoveries have been effected through auctions, why would simba not reduce its provisions


Apples to apples KCB LLP in H1 = 18.2B
Equity= 5.9B


I am yet to see KCBs Q3 but one of the reasons I sold EQTY was their profit increased as the NET NPL exposure from H2 to Q3 increased from 267m to 2.4B. I felt this was just to spruce up the numbers.

Also annualized EPS KCB 7.9 vs 5.3 for EQTY yet EQUITY trades at a higher price.

Simba is going strong! Solid numbers these are

Exactly. Also apples to apples is the total asset book for KCB vs EQTY and the composition of the respective books. Plus IBL is about to be absorbed

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Horton
#102 Posted : Wednesday, November 14, 2018 10:37:23 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Muthawamunene wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB Q3 2018;
Profit before tax at ksh.25.6bn 14% growth compared to previous year
Profit After Tax at ksh.18.04bn;20% growth compared to previous year

The Group’s balance sheet improved by 6% to Sh684.2B from Sh643.8B in 2017, with deposits growing by a similar margin to Sh526.8B from Sh496.3Bn.
Net loans and advances were up 4% to Sh435.3B from Sh419.5B while long term funding stood at Sh20.7B from the previous period’s Sh14.4B.

Investment in Government and other securities grew to ksh.119.7bn compared to 103.6bn in a similar period last year

Great news @ericsson



Subjective profit here. Subjective in that it is derived from the subjective assessment of loan loss provision.

If one was to compare with equity, it would have to be done on the basis of interest income and not profit.


Otherwise, we cross fingers for a good dividend this year and pray that the provision will not be subjectively revised upwards in the future.

IFRS 9 used as the measure in provision determination.. If massive recoveries have been effected through auctions, why would simba not reduce its provisions


Apples to apples KCB LLP in H1 = 18.2B
Equity= 5.9B


I am yet to see KCBs Q3 but one of the reasons I sold EQTY was their profit increased as the NET NPL exposure from H2 to Q3 increased from 267m to 2.4B. I felt this was just to spruce up the numbers.

Also annualized EPS KCB 7.9 vs 5.3 for EQTY yet EQUITY trades at a higher price.

Simba is going strong! Solid numbers these are

Exactly. Also apples to apples is the total asset book for KCB vs EQTY and the composition of the respective books. Plus IBL is about to be absorbed


True that!

Funny how EPS here 7.9 and price=38/-
EABL EPS=7 & change and price is 170/- I know industry and blah blah but just making an observation
mulla
#103 Posted : Thursday, November 15, 2018 6:57:50 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/15/2013
Posts: 301
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Muthawamunene wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB Q3 2018;
Profit before tax at ksh.25.6bn 14% growth compared to previous year
Profit After Tax at ksh.18.04bn;20% growth compared to previous year

The Group’s balance sheet improved by 6% to Sh684.2B from Sh643.8B in 2017, with deposits growing by a similar margin to Sh526.8B from Sh496.3Bn.
Net loans and advances were up 4% to Sh435.3B from Sh419.5B while long term funding stood at Sh20.7B from the previous period’s Sh14.4B.

Investment in Government and other securities grew to ksh.119.7bn compared to 103.6bn in a similar period last year

Great news @ericsson



Subjective profit here. Subjective in that it is derived from the subjective assessment of loan loss provision.

If one was to compare with equity, it would have to be done on the basis of interest income and not profit.


Otherwise, we cross fingers for a good dividend this year and pray that the provision will not be subjectively revised upwards in the future.

IFRS 9 used as the measure in provision determination.. If massive recoveries have been effected through auctions, why would simba not reduce its provisions


Apples to apples KCB LLP in H1 = 18.2B
Equity= 5.9B


I am yet to see KCBs Q3 but one of the reasons I sold EQTY was their profit increased as the NET NPL exposure from H2 to Q3 increased from 267m to 2.4B. I felt this was just to spruce up the numbers.

Also annualized EPS KCB 7.9 vs 5.3 for EQTY yet EQUITY trades at a higher price.

Simba is going strong! Solid numbers these are

Exactly. Also apples to apples is the total asset book for KCB vs EQTY and the composition of the respective books. Plus IBL is about to be absorbed


True that!

Funny how EPS here 7.9 and price=38/-
EABL EPS=7 & change and price is 170/- I know industry and blah blah but just making an observation

KCB has about 3Bn issued shares. EABL around 0.7Bn issued shares. These numbers are one of the factors that affect share price hence the difference you have noted.
obiero
#104 Posted : Thursday, November 15, 2018 7:34:59 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,501
Location: nairobi
mulla wrote:
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Muthawamunene wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB Q3 2018;
Profit before tax at ksh.25.6bn 14% growth compared to previous year
Profit After Tax at ksh.18.04bn;20% growth compared to previous year

The Group’s balance sheet improved by 6% to Sh684.2B from Sh643.8B in 2017, with deposits growing by a similar margin to Sh526.8B from Sh496.3Bn.
Net loans and advances were up 4% to Sh435.3B from Sh419.5B while long term funding stood at Sh20.7B from the previous period’s Sh14.4B.

Investment in Government and other securities grew to ksh.119.7bn compared to 103.6bn in a similar period last year

Great news @ericsson



Subjective profit here. Subjective in that it is derived from the subjective assessment of loan loss provision.

If one was to compare with equity, it would have to be done on the basis of interest income and not profit.


Otherwise, we cross fingers for a good dividend this year and pray that the provision will not be subjectively revised upwards in the future.

IFRS 9 used as the measure in provision determination.. If massive recoveries have been effected through auctions, why would simba not reduce its provisions


Apples to apples KCB LLP in H1 = 18.2B
Equity= 5.9B


I am yet to see KCBs Q3 but one of the reasons I sold EQTY was their profit increased as the NET NPL exposure from H2 to Q3 increased from 267m to 2.4B. I felt this was just to spruce up the numbers.

Also annualized EPS KCB 7.9 vs 5.3 for EQTY yet EQUITY trades at a higher price.

Simba is going strong! Solid numbers these are

Exactly. Also apples to apples is the total asset book for KCB vs EQTY and the composition of the respective books. Plus IBL is about to be absorbed


True that!

Funny how EPS here 7.9 and price=38/-
EABL EPS=7 & change and price is 170/- I know industry and blah blah but just making an observation

KCB has about 3Bn issued shares. EABL around 0.7Bn issued shares. These numbers are one of the factors that affect share price hence the difference you have noted.

True. It's the shares issued that primarily drives the pricing in that comparative example

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
lochaz-index
#105 Posted : Thursday, November 15, 2018 10:34:18 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Muthawamunene wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB Q3 2018;
Profit before tax at ksh.25.6bn 14% growth compared to previous year
Profit After Tax at ksh.18.04bn;20% growth compared to previous year

The Group’s balance sheet improved by 6% to Sh684.2B from Sh643.8B in 2017, with deposits growing by a similar margin to Sh526.8B from Sh496.3Bn.
Net loans and advances were up 4% to Sh435.3B from Sh419.5B while long term funding stood at Sh20.7B from the previous period’s Sh14.4B.

Investment in Government and other securities grew to ksh.119.7bn compared to 103.6bn in a similar period last year

Great news @ericsson



Subjective profit here. Subjective in that it is derived from the subjective assessment of loan loss provision.

If one was to compare with equity, it would have to be done on the basis of interest income and not profit.


Otherwise, we cross fingers for a good dividend this year and pray that the provision will not be subjectively revised upwards in the future.

IFRS 9 used as the measure in provision determination.. If massive recoveries have been effected through auctions, why would simba not reduce its provisions


Apples to apples KCB LLP in H1 = 18.2B
Equity= 5.9B


I am yet to see KCBs Q3 but one of the reasons I sold EQTY was their profit increased as the NET NPL exposure from H2 to Q3 increased from 267m to 2.4B. I felt this was just to spruce up the numbers.

Also annualized EPS KCB 7.9 vs 5.3 for EQTY yet EQUITY trades at a higher price.

Simba is going strong! Solid numbers these are

What explanation did they give for the increase in NNPL? I haven't had the time to pore through those numbers.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Horton
#106 Posted : Thursday, November 15, 2018 10:48:20 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
lochaz-index wrote:
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Muthawamunene wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB Q3 2018;
Profit before tax at ksh.25.6bn 14% growth compared to previous year
Profit After Tax at ksh.18.04bn;20% growth compared to previous year

The Group’s balance sheet improved by 6% to Sh684.2B from Sh643.8B in 2017, with deposits growing by a similar margin to Sh526.8B from Sh496.3Bn.
Net loans and advances were up 4% to Sh435.3B from Sh419.5B while long term funding stood at Sh20.7B from the previous period’s Sh14.4B.

Investment in Government and other securities grew to ksh.119.7bn compared to 103.6bn in a similar period last year

Great news @ericsson



Subjective profit here. Subjective in that it is derived from the subjective assessment of loan loss provision.

If one was to compare with equity, it would have to be done on the basis of interest income and not profit.


Otherwise, we cross fingers for a good dividend this year and pray that the provision will not be subjectively revised upwards in the future.

IFRS 9 used as the measure in provision determination.. If massive recoveries have been effected through auctions, why would simba not reduce its provisions


Apples to apples KCB LLP in H1 = 18.2B
Equity= 5.9B


I am yet to see KCBs Q3 but one of the reasons I sold EQTY was their profit increased as the NET NPL exposure from H2 to Q3 increased from 267m to 2.4B. I felt this was just to spruce up the numbers.

Also annualized EPS KCB 7.9 vs 5.3 for EQTY yet EQUITY trades at a higher price.

Simba is going strong! Solid numbers these are

What explanation did they give for the increase in NNPL? I haven't had the time to pore through those numbers.


Equity? They didn’t say
lochaz-index
#107 Posted : Thursday, November 15, 2018 3:02:52 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
Horton wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
Muthawamunene wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KCB Q3 2018;
Profit before tax at ksh.25.6bn 14% growth compared to previous year
Profit After Tax at ksh.18.04bn;20% growth compared to previous year

The Group’s balance sheet improved by 6% to Sh684.2B from Sh643.8B in 2017, with deposits growing by a similar margin to Sh526.8B from Sh496.3Bn.
Net loans and advances were up 4% to Sh435.3B from Sh419.5B while long term funding stood at Sh20.7B from the previous period’s Sh14.4B.

Investment in Government and other securities grew to ksh.119.7bn compared to 103.6bn in a similar period last year

Great news @ericsson



Subjective profit here. Subjective in that it is derived from the subjective assessment of loan loss provision.

If one was to compare with equity, it would have to be done on the basis of interest income and not profit.


Otherwise, we cross fingers for a good dividend this year and pray that the provision will not be subjectively revised upwards in the future.

IFRS 9 used as the measure in provision determination.. If massive recoveries have been effected through auctions, why would simba not reduce its provisions


Apples to apples KCB LLP in H1 = 18.2B
Equity= 5.9B


I am yet to see KCBs Q3 but one of the reasons I sold EQTY was their profit increased as the NET NPL exposure from H2 to Q3 increased from 267m to 2.4B. I felt this was just to spruce up the numbers.

Also annualized EPS KCB 7.9 vs 5.3 for EQTY yet EQUITY trades at a higher price.

Simba is going strong! Solid numbers these are

What explanation did they give for the increase in NNPL? I haven't had the time to pore through those numbers.


Equity? They didn’t say

I'm definitely not a fan of the latest round of slashing provisions to boost the bottom line contrary to macro winds. That said, I still favour Equity over Kcb as it has a more amenable balance sheet is defensive (liquidity preference) for the time being but can easily be flipped to pro-risk as and when such is necessitated by the market.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Horton
#108 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 1:57:05 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Hmmm am I reading this right? According to Q3 unaudited result, there was a 1/- dividend declared? https://kcbgroup.com/wp-...ancials_Publication.pdf

I haven’t heard them declare it. Was this a typo?
Ericsson
#109 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 7:17:01 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,678
Location: NAIROBI
Horton wrote:
Hmmm am I reading this right? According to Q3 unaudited result, there was a 1/- dividend declared? https://kcbgroup.com/wp-...ancials_Publication.pdf

I haven’t heard them declare it. Was this a typo?


@elder Obiero
Saidia hapa.What is the message from exchange bar on the ksh.1 dividend declared
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mwekez@ji
#110 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 8:37:15 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Horton wrote:
Hmmm am I reading this right? According to Q3 unaudited result, there was a 1/- dividend declared? https://kcbgroup.com/wp-...ancials_Publication.pdf

I haven’t heard them declare it. Was this a typo?

Thats the interim dividend declared at half year. Last year (Q3 2017) I was also as confused with this presentation
Ericsson
#111 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 9:15:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,678
Location: NAIROBI
mwekez@ji wrote:
Horton wrote:
Hmmm am I reading this right? According to Q3 unaudited result, there was a 1/- dividend declared? https://kcbgroup.com/wp-...ancials_Publication.pdf

I haven’t heard them declare it. Was this a typo?

Thats the interim dividend declared at half year. Last year (Q3 2017) I was also as confused with this presentation


yes yes
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
ombaalbt
#112 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 9:28:15 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/19/2014
Posts: 68
Location: Migori
Can someone please explain to me like a two year old the difference between "Bank" "Company" and "Group" as outlined in the KCB structure.
Learning to sit on my hands
Ericsson
#113 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 9:36:26 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,678
Location: NAIROBI
ombaalbt wrote:
Can someone please explain to me like a two year old the difference between "Bank" "Company" and "Group" as outlined in the KCB structure.


Group includes other entities that are non-banking like the insurance arm and stockbroking division.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mwekez@ji
#114 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 10:10:05 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Genghis Capital - 3Q18 Earnings Note. Recommendation; BUY

https://gallery.mailchimp.com/87...p_3Q18_Earnings_Note.pdf
Thiong'o
#115 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 10:11:19 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/14/2011
Posts: 661
Ericsson wrote:
ombaalbt wrote:
Can someone please explain to me like a two year old the difference between "Bank" "Company" and "Group" as outlined in the KCB structure.


Group includes other entities that are non-banking like the insurance arm and stockbroking division.

and all entities whether banking or non-banking are corporate companies
obiero
#116 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 10:31:59 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,501
Location: nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
Genghis Capital - 3Q18 Earnings Note. Recommendation; BUY

https://gallery.mailchimp.com/87...p_3Q18_Earnings_Note.pdf

Why did Cytonn sell remains my only question. Any price below KES 48 for KCB is a 'fraud'.. Added more today

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 23,800 ABP 6.45
Horton
#117 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 11:07:43 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
obiero wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Genghis Capital - 3Q18 Earnings Note. Recommendation; BUY

https://gallery.mailchimp.com/87...p_3Q18_Earnings_Note.pdf

Why did Cytonn sell remains my only question. Any price below KES 48 for KCB is a 'fraud'.. Added more today



They bought. Didn’t sell should reflect on their next report
Horton
#118 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 11:12:22 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Horton wrote:
obiero wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Genghis Capital - 3Q18 Earnings Note. Recommendation; BUY

https://gallery.mailchimp.com/87...p_3Q18_Earnings_Note.pdf

Why did Cytonn sell remains my only question. Any price below KES 48 for KCB is a 'fraud'.. Added more today



They bought. They sold NIC and bought KCB and should reflect on their next report



Horton
#119 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 11:19:36 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Horton wrote:
Hmmm am I reading this right? According to Q3 unaudited result, there was a 1/- dividend declared? https://kcbgroup.com/wp-...ancials_Publication.pdf

I haven’t heard them declare it. Was this a typo?

Thats the interim dividend declared at half year. Last year (Q3 2017) I was also as confused with this presentation


yes yes


Ok got it looks like it’s cumulative for the year
Horton
#120 Posted : Friday, November 16, 2018 12:12:47 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
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