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Kenya airways Right Issue
alotoftalk
#741 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 12:29:10 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/27/2015
Posts: 138
Location: Harare
Kenya Airways is a poster child of bankruptcy case studies.

A reading of the circular ( https://goo.gl/2tErjt ) shows some very interesting facts.

1. I hope Mike Maina Kamau who owns 64,398,940 (4.30%) was also invited to the negotiation table. He has alot of skin in the game.

From the past annual reports looks like the chap has been accumulating through-out. A great strategy if you are buying secured bonds of a company in bankruptcy and have a seat at the table. Will it work for Mr. Kamau? Does he now own a small piece of an elephant instead of a larger piece of a rat?

2. Shareholders can buy up to Kshs 1.5 billion of new ordinary shares. This is while the transaction advisers are getting an equivalent amount ($14.4 Million).

Goes to show it's always great being a broker by any name.

Investment philosophy development in progress...
VituVingiSana
#742 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 1:01:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,053
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/KQ-recovery-plan-faces-banks-challenge/539546-4019160-g0ihvm/index.html

Some commercial banks that national carrier Kenya Airways owes billions of shillings are holding out against the just-released rescue plan, putting the deal that offers the lenders a substantial stake in the airline at the risk of collapse.

They weren't smart to lend to KQ in the first place [but we all make mistakes. Even I bought KQ while it crashed until I sold out when the Rights Issue came out] but at least not daft enough to take an equity stake in KQ or lend it even more money!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#743 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 1:04:38 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,053
Location: Nairobi
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/KQ-recovery-plan-faces-banks-challenge/539546-4019160-g0ihvm/index.html

Some commercial banks that national carrier Kenya Airways owes billions of shillings are holding out against the just-released rescue plan, putting the deal that offers the lenders a substantial stake in the airline at the risk of collapse.

Fake news. This thing is signed sealed delivered


New-York based White & Case (KQ’s international counsel) and Coulson Harney (their local lawyers) will also pocket a large portion of the Sh1 billion set aside for legal advisory work.
This bill includes the amount each company invoiced as well as the incidental costs incurred when the legal and transaction advisers were negotiating with the airline’s lessors, the government and the Kenyan banks, all of which KQ is footing.


Everybody but the shareholders make money off KQ.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
obiero
#744 Posted : Tuesday, July 18, 2017 6:57:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
maka wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/KQ-recovery-plan-faces-banks-challenge/539546-4019160-g0ihvm/index.html

Some commercial banks that national carrier Kenya Airways owes billions of shillings are holding out against the just-released rescue plan, putting the deal that offers the lenders a substantial stake in the airline at the risk of collapse.

Fake news. This thing is signed sealed delivered


New-York based White & Case (KQ’s international counsel) and Coulson Harney (their local lawyers) will also pocket a large portion of the Sh1 billion set aside for legal advisory work.
This bill includes the amount each company invoiced as well as the incidental costs incurred when the legal and transaction advisers were negotiating with the airline’s lessors, the government and the Kenyan banks, all of which KQ is footing.


Everybody but the shareholders make money off KQ.

@vvs its you who did not make money due to wrong timing.. Its a fact that the same KQ share once rose from KES 3 to KES 126..

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
obiero
#745 Posted : Tuesday, November 13, 2018 10:49:38 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
obiero wrote:
Kausha wrote:
I keep wondering, where these new planes will fly to? Most of the routes in Africa are covered and in any case they need to cull some of the African routes and replace them with a few new good ones

It can't be rise in price of fuel that is making KQ make losses. Some of the extra fuel bill is as a result of expensive hedges taken haphazardly, as well as more miles flown from extra capacity. KQ added an old fuel guzzling 747-400 freighter and 3 embraers in 2012. Furthermore we all get hit with the fuel surcharge once in a while when fuel prices run out of hand.


Airline business is too volatile, competitive and margins are always under pressure. The 200B debt will most likely disorganize the airline. If KQ was run efficiently like a business with lofty ambitions and willing to back it's mouth with solid cash it should by now have accumulated 100B in equity reserves and come for some equity by way of rights before proceeding to borrow the 200B.

However this is not the case and the business has been poorly run since 2007. It hasn't generated a competitive return to give investors a sense of comfort that it can take debt to fund an ambitious expansion. Since 2007 it's reserves have remained in the lower 20B levels. Management is doing too much dreaming without necessarily backing the dreams with rigorous thought process. For me a debt of 200B for KQ to fund expansion with current management is suicidal. This will only lead to a bail out by government in the long run - (Future finance minister please create a contingency for this).

@kausha has some profetic genes..

Remembering one of the many wazua prophets

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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