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Kenya Commercial Bank offers rights issue at Ksh 17......Is this a fair Price ?
young
#1 Posted : Tuesday, June 15, 2010 7:53:27 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,074
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Kenya Commercial Bank offers rights issue at
Sh17
BY MICHAEL KARANJA
Updated 3 hours 39 minutes ago


NAIROBI, Kenya Jun 15 – The Kenya Commercial Bank has announced it will sell its Rights Issue to shareholders at Sh17 marking a 21 percent discount on the current share price.

Over the last six months, the banks shares have been trading at an average price of Sh21.50.

The bank will be seeking to raise a total of Sh15 billion through the 887.1 million shares being offered in the issue.

Making the announcement on Tuesday KCB Group Chairman Peter Muthoka said the bank’s rapid expansion into the region was putting pressure on the bank and that the injection of additional funding would help boost the banks capital base.

“The purpose of this rights issue is to raise additional capital to improve key bank ratios, fund business growth and consolidation across the markets and increase our capacity to provide long term finance,” Mr Muthoka said.

The offer will open at the Nairobi Stock Exchange on July 1 and closing on July 23. Allotment and announcement of the offer results will be made on August 5 and the shares is expected to begin trading at the NSE on August 19.

The Rights Issue will also be available to KCB shareholders in Uganda, Tanzania and Rwanda where the bank is cross-listed on the local bourses.

Shareholders will receive two (2) additional shares for every five (5) shares held.

The Rights Issue will increase the bank’s paid up capital to Sh3.1 billion shares of Sh1 each from Sh2.2 billion shares.

KCB is the largest bank by assets which currently stand at Sh195 billion. It is also the region’s largest commercial bank with 212 branches with operations in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda and Southern Sudan.

As of first quarter results, the bank had managed to grow its balance sheet to Sh220 billion.

This will be the third Rights Issue by the bank and the largest in Kenya’s history (at Sh15 billion) after successful issues in 2004 (Sh2.45 billion) and 2008 (Sh5.5 billion).

KCB Chief Executive Martin Oduor-Otieno said the move is timely, as the bank had reached its cap in its ability to continue lending to customers.

“The growth in banks is determined by how strong you are from a capital base. You can only take so much deposits and write so much loans and advances if you have so much capital and today we have hit that level where any new growth has to come from new capital,” Mr Oduor-Otieno said.





Read more: http://www.capitalfm.co....4307.html#ixzz0qw8KF8Ym
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VituVingiSana
#2 Posted : Tuesday, June 15, 2010 8:02:15 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
Question is... what EPS to expect going forward... AFTER the Rights...

KES 15bn is a lot of moolah to raise...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
thambupm
#3 Posted : Tuesday, June 15, 2010 8:39:49 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 12/12/2009
Posts: 6
Location: Nairobi
Good question there @VituVingiSana... what EPS to expect going forward.

However, we can analise what the Rights issue mean. Based on the 1st Qtr 2010 results and the current price of 21, KCB has a forward PE of about 8.74. At the price of 17 for the 2 for 5 Rights offer, if you bought the share today at 21, then, if you take up your Rights, you will be finally holding shares at an average price of 19.85. Assuming the EPS in the short run remains unchanged at the current 2.4, after the dilution, the new EPS would be 1.72. At your average price of 19.85, the share would have a PE of 11.57. Given Equity Bank has a forward PE of about 16, it means KCB post-Rights needs to rise to 27.45 to reach Equty Bank's PE. My bet then is that there is value in offer.

I think the price of KCB has been subdued as investors wished for the best deal on the Rights price. Now that the price is set, it will be interesting to see how the share trades cum Rights. If it edges beyond 21, decisions to BUY earlier were good decisions. If it falls, I would consider it a VERY GOOD BUY.
Horton
#4 Posted : Wednesday, June 16, 2010 8:04:21 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
Thambpm.....this is jes basically mass dilution, after these shares hit the market, you are looking at 11-15bob, quite similar to the MSC deal!
guru267
#5 Posted : Wednesday, June 16, 2010 11:26:59 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Horton wrote:
Thambpm.....this is jes basically mass dilution, after these shares hit the market, you are looking at 11-15bob, quite similar to the MSC deal!


@Horton Get serious dude... even the simplest math done on the dilution and dividend yield cannot let the share fall below 19
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
2012
#6 Posted : Wednesday, June 16, 2010 11:47:21 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/9/2009
Posts: 6,592
Location: Nairobi
I think it's wiser to wait and buy @15/- after it starts trading post rights.smile

By the way gurus what happens when the counter goes below the rights within the issue period?

BBI will solve it
:)
mukiha
#7 Posted : Wednesday, June 16, 2010 11:54:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/27/2008
Posts: 4,114
VituVingiSana wrote:
Question is... what EPS to expect going forward... AFTER the Rights...

KES 15bn is a lot of moolah to raise...


Current issued shares = 2,218m
Rights offered = 887m

Therefore, total shares after rights = 3,105m

Current EPS = 2.05

Post rights EPS = 1.46

Nothing is real unless it can be named; nothing has value unless it can be sold; money is worthless unless you spend it.
Evolve
#8 Posted : Wednesday, June 16, 2010 12:18:24 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/25/2007
Posts: 96
I agree with guru267 as a quick arithmetic based on current market cap (assuming it will be retained) indicates that the shares would trade at Kshs 15. This does not factor in the new cash (Kshs 15bn)if brought into the analysis and assuming the cost of the IPO at 10% of the issue, shows that the minimum price would be Kshs 19.45 per share.
mufasa
#9 Posted : Wednesday, June 16, 2010 12:20:10 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 238
guru267 wrote:
Horton wrote:
Thambpm.....this is jes basically mass dilution, after these shares hit the market, you are looking at 11-15bob, quite similar to the MSC deal!


@Horton Get serious dude... even the simplest math done on the dilution and dividend yield cannot let the share fall below 19


hmmm, thot the last rights issue was at 25/= and I highly doubt if KCB has ever gone beyond that 25/=. maybe it hit 30/= in the heat of the moment but that was really temporary
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
nimimi
#10 Posted : Wednesday, June 16, 2010 12:44:21 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/10/2007
Posts: 28
With GoK not taking up its rights this will be a challenge to get full subscription.
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