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ARM HY2017
Spikes
#581 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 1:24:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero

We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
Pirate
#582 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:15:55 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/4/2007
Posts: 91
Spikes wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero


We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly
Knowledge is power , but action gets things done ...
obiero
#583 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:20:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
Pirate wrote:
Spikes wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero


We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly

LOL. For a man your age @vvs, you surely remain creative.. Cracked me up

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
sparkly
#584 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:25:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Pirate wrote:
Spikes wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero


We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly



Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Is that from Evita?
Life is short. Live passionately.
sparkly
#585 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:27:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...


Which fundamentals?


NAV


First fundamental is profitability. If no profitability there is no fundamental.
Life is short. Live passionately.
obiero
#586 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:36:28 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...


Which fundamentals?


NAV


First fundamental is profitability. If no profitability there is no fundamental.

The fundamentals are fundamentally broken at ARM

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
sparkly
#587 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:43:27 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
obiero wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...


Which fundamentals?


NAV


First fundamental is profitability. If no profitability there is no fundamental.

The fundamentals are fundamentally broken at ARM


Advisable to trade the emotions i.e. cartoons.
Life is short. Live passionately.
VituVingiSana
#588 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:50:40 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,054
Location: Nairobi
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
Spikes wrote:
sparkly wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
All these minor ups and downs are irrelevant for me from a long-term perspective.

The 1H 2018 results (and commentary) vs 2H 2017 vs 1H 2017 will light the way.
The commentary will be important especially the discussion about the CDC/IFC loans.
ARM has 3 months to release the results and can ask for an extension so as to provide a comprehensive update.

2018: The (private) construction market in Kenya is suffering and once the current crop of buildings/projects are completed, there will be a pause/slowdown. The public sector may see slower construction as GoK struggles to pay for what's under construction.

Unless GoK's interest rates reduce to sub-10% the banks have little incentive to lend long-term to the private sector. Plus there's plenty of competition from other cement firms which are also expanding capacity.

Investing in ARM is not for the short-term nor the jumpy. Then there are other firms, not in a turnaround situation, whose share prices have tumbled in 2018 which means investors have choices.


Exercise caution. Fundamentals are poor for ARM and the nse is generally depressed. Take profits when you can.


Considering declining NAV of about kes 20 per share the stock is currently trading too low the fundamentals...


Which fundamentals?


NAV


First fundamental is profitability. If no profitability there is no fundamental.

@Sparkly - Umenitupa mbali!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#589 Posted : Friday, July 20, 2018 3:58:28 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,054
Location: Nairobi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KD_1Z8iUDho
If I had the time, I would try and pen the lyrics to match the rhythm ;-)

sparkly wrote:
Pirate wrote:
Spikes wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero


We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly



Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Is that from Evita?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
rwitre
#590 Posted : Monday, July 23, 2018 12:34:39 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/8/2018
Posts: 507
Location: Nairobi
Rebound easing off
Angelica _ann
#591 Posted : Monday, July 23, 2018 3:39:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
rwitre wrote:
Rebound easing off


Somebody needs to plant another story .... good/bad smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#592 Posted : Monday, July 23, 2018 3:59:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
VituVingiSana wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KD_1Z8iUDho
If I had the time, I would try and pen the lyrics to match the rhythm ;-)

sparkly wrote:
Pirate wrote:
Spikes wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero


We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly



Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Is that from Evita?

@vvs you better concentrate on your investment

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Ericsson
#593 Posted : Monday, July 23, 2018 4:48:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KD_1Z8iUDho
If I had the time, I would try and pen the lyrics to match the rhythm ;-)

sparkly wrote:
Pirate wrote:
Spikes wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero


We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly



Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Is that from Evita?

@vvs you better concentrate on your investment


ARM is in the same ICU as Uchumi
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
sparkly
#594 Posted : Thursday, July 26, 2018 6:59:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Ericsson wrote:
obiero wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KD_1Z8iUDho
If I had the time, I would try and pen the lyrics to match the rhythm ;-)

sparkly wrote:
Pirate wrote:
Spikes wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
Do not cry for us, @Obiero
We will not forget you
All these years
You have told us
That NAV doesn't matter
The Open Offer does
That promises can carry us through
Even after all the cooking
And the fingering
And the losses
And negative equity
And concerns as a going concern
As long as there is an Open Offer
Which will make us rich
Beyond our wildest dreams
With Naikuni and Mbugua
Then Ngunze and Mbugua
Now Joseph and Mikosz

So do not cry for us, @Obiero


We have Pradeep who betrayed us
Then the CDC came in
Now we await a IFC the savior
To find us a White Knight
on a Pozzolana horse
Who will save us

Do not cry for us, @Obiero


Wow! An emotional tribute to @Obiero's dying KQ.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly



Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Is that from Evita?

@vvs you better concentrate on your investment


ARM is in the same ICU as Uchumi


Uchumi is in the morgue
Life is short. Live passionately.
VituVingiSana
#595 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2018 6:12:34 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,054
Location: Nairobi
@PesaNane - You know what to do.

New CEO has been headhunted.
New Chairman - Linus Gitahi
New Director.
Deputy CEO is out.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Angelica _ann
#596 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2018 6:20:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
VituVingiSana wrote:
@PesaNane - You know what to do.

New CEO has been headhunted.
New Chairman - Linus Gitahi
New Director.
Deputy CEO is out.


d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! Going nowhere!!!! We shall revisitsmile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
Ericsson
#597 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2018 6:28:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,639
Location: NAIROBI
Angelica _ann wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
@PesaNane - You know what to do.

New CEO has been headhunted.
New Chairman - Linus Gitahi
New Director.
Deputy CEO is out.


d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! Going nowhere!!!! We shall revisitsmile


Good managers going to a bad business
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Pesa Nane
#598 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2018 6:32:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
VituVingiSana wrote:
@PesaNane - You know what to do.

New CEO has been headhunted.
New Chairman - Linus Gitahi
New Director.
Deputy CEO is out.



Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
Pesa Nane
#599 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2018 6:34:57 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
xxxxx
#600 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2018 7:07:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/20/2008
Posts: 503
Pesa Nane wrote:


But these chaps also. When we expect half year results, they start giving us this BS..eish

They think we'll exit prematurely?????Shame on you Shame on you
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