1) It reads like ARM wants to replace Stanbic and AFC debt with cheaper debt from IFC & CDC. There are multiple lenders (in the Annual Report) and interest rates range from 10.5% to 17.5% depending on the lender and currency.
2) If ARM can replace these $140mn loans with cheaper debt (but increase the currency risk) it may emerge from this debacle stronger.
3) I do not think the Paunrana stake will be diluted if just the loans are replaced BUT I do not understand why CDC hasn't put its own people into executive roles.
4) Yes, ARM needs a strategic investor but who would want ARM's assets at a "fair" price? And who, except Bamburi, has the cash to buy them? [Bamburi might not be allowed to do so given its #1 position in Kenya/EAC]
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett