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Investors Lounge
lochaz-index
#5261 Posted : Tuesday, April 03, 2018 8:00:42 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 892
wukan wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
Quote:
Mozambique said it was unlikely to begin repaying debts that were plunged into default by its $2bn hidden-loans scandal until well into the next decade, as the impoverished southern African nation pushed back hopes for a natural-gas bonanza.

Quote:
Mozambique only expects to receive significant tax revenues from natural-gas projects in the late 2020s to help pay off its debts, much later than previously forecast, Mr Maleiane said on Tuesday.

Tuesday’s offer would see Mozambique only begin to repay the majority of its bonds after 2028. Investors said that the proposal amounts to an effective haircut of about 50 per cent on the debt.

Sovereign debt crisis is well and truly on. Investors will rue yield chasing that was the hallmark of international debt markets for the past decade.


Interesting times lay ahead for African sovereigns. Questions is are investors chasing yield? After QE, stocks are bought for yields and bonds for capital gains.

Not necessarily. The EM/FM play is purely yield chasing as a reaction to QE in AMs. Pre 2016, capital gains were almost a guarantee in any market. Since then the tide has turned and capital gains can only be obtained by being extremely choosy (symptoms of a frothy market) and EM/FMs continue to provide superior yields to say stocks in the Dow or Dax with both giving better capital gains in the same time frame. Once the yields start to reflect default risk that will be very interesting.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
Mukiri
#5262 Posted : Saturday, April 14, 2018 8:56:29 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,178
Effect of air strikes on the market?

Proverbs 19:21
wukan
#5263 Posted : Sunday, April 15, 2018 10:04:28 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 835
Mukiri wrote:
Effect of air strikes on the market?


This was more of american dinner time entertainment so no serious effect
Mukiri
#5264 Posted : Sunday, April 15, 2018 7:33:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,178
wukan wrote:
Mukiri wrote:
Effect of air strikes on the market?


This was more of american dinner time entertainment so no serious effect

Is it? History has it, that where war was declared, (US) markets have soared.

Proverbs 19:21
iris
#5265 Posted : Monday, April 16, 2018 11:02:34 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/11/2014
Posts: 203
Location: Nairobi
No war has been declared. More like a Trump thing to detract from his mounting woes..
alutacontinua
#5266 Posted : Monday, April 23, 2018 7:43:08 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
https://www.cnbc.com/201...ions-on-the-agenda.html

US 10yr right around the 3% level(highest level since Jan 2014) has dollar bears in a tight squeeze. Going to be an interesting couple of days to see how the stock market reacts to a break and hold above this key level...
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
mnandii
#5267 Posted : Thursday, May 10, 2018 8:45:24 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,732


DJIA. Expect a STRONG down move in the DOW soon targeting circa 21,000 and below. The RED line at 24862 is our Stop Loss.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#5268 Posted : Monday, May 14, 2018 9:54:38 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,732


DJIA. Ready for the drop that will take it to below >>23,000.

The current rise should not go significantly beyond 25,000 level.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ericsson
#5269 Posted : Monday, May 14, 2018 10:49:45 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 5,511
Location: NAIROBI
mnandii
#5270 Posted : Tuesday, May 15, 2018 9:18:45 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,732
mnandii wrote:


DJIA. Ready for the drop that will take it to below >>23,000.

The current rise should not go significantly beyond 25,000 level.


The top is likely in place at 25,000. A move to be;ow 24,000 will be good confirmation of this new line in the sand. Be short
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Ericsson
#5271 Posted : Tuesday, May 15, 2018 9:27:37 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 5,511
Location: NAIROBI
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:


DJIA. Ready for the drop that will take it to below >>23,000.

The current rise should not go significantly beyond 25,000 level.


The top is likely in place at 25,000. A move to be;ow 24,000 will be good confirmation of this new line in the sand. Be short


Is this topic about Dow Jones in USA or NSE in Kenya
Niko confused.
Jimmy Boy
#5272 Posted : Tuesday, May 15, 2018 3:58:52 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 7/17/2014
Posts: 15
Location: Geneva
Why get confused? have you ever heard about DJIA in Kenya???
Regards,
Jimmy Boy
Angelica _ann
#5273 Posted : Tuesday, May 15, 2018 4:12:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 9,378
Jimmy Boy wrote:
Why get confused? have you ever heard about DJIA in Kenya???


Dow Jones Industrial Average smile
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
murchr
#5274 Posted : Tuesday, May 15, 2018 4:20:10 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 13,489
Today in history

"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
alutacontinua
#5275 Posted : Tuesday, May 15, 2018 8:31:14 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:


DJIA. Ready for the drop that will take it to below >>23,000.

The current rise should not go significantly beyond 25,000 level.


The top is likely in place at 25,000. A move to be;ow 24,000 will be good confirmation of this new line in the sand. Be short


Bold call @mnandii...today's PA indicating a distribution phase add to that 10yr UST spiking to 3.08% def has sellers interested.
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
mnandii
#5276 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2018 9:13:03 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,732
alutacontinua wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:


DJIA. Ready for the drop that will take it to below >>23,000.

The current rise should not go significantly beyond 25,000 level.


The top is likely in place at 25,000. A move to be;ow 24,000 will be good confirmation of this new line in the sand. Be short


Bold call @mnandii...today's PA indicating a distribution phase add to that 10yr UST spiking to 3.08% def has sellers interested.




More evidence of the topping. The RED line should not be broken upward. Expect lower lows from now.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
mnandii
#5277 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2018 9:16:06 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,732
Ericsson wrote:
mnandii wrote:
mnandii wrote:


DJIA. Ready for the drop that will take it to below >>23,000.

The current rise should not go significantly beyond 25,000 level.


The top is likely in place at 25,000. A move to be;ow 24,000 will be good confirmation of this new line in the sand. Be short


Is this topic about Dow Jones in USA or NSE in Kenya
Niko confused.


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly smile

An Elder!

Wazuans are looking globally now more than ever.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
murchr
#5278 Posted : Wednesday, May 23, 2018 4:43:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 13,489
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mnandii
#5279 Posted : Wednesday, May 30, 2018 8:36:35 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 1,732


DJIA is off its highs of 25000 as we had anticipated. Expect bigger drops to below 20000. This is a third wave of a third wave down, the strongest and broadest movements occur in third waves of third waves.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
Cornelius Vanderbiltt
#5280 Posted : Saturday, June 16, 2018 2:10:46 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 6/8/2018
Posts: 35
a curated list of tweets of whats affecting the financial markets

www.bit.ly/2JSKFjV
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