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Yes 57% No 20% and 19% undecided
McReggae
#1 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 11:06:11 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Game on, the battle for the undecided, this constitution is goind through!!!!Applause Applause
If after all the lies being peddled by the Rutos and Mois YES still have such a commanding lead, KATIBA ni sasa!!!!!Applause Applause Applause

4% will not vote!!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Jaguar
#2 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 11:17:32 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/7/2007
Posts: 263
Location: humu humu
McReggae wrote:
!!!!

i have noted all your posts end with !!!!!!!!!!!
McReggae
#3 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 11:27:47 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
Jaguar, good observatation, lol!!!!

Signature!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Ray
#4 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 11:29:41 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/9/2007
Posts: 219
Reggae Man
Kutangulia sio Kufika.
centerbolt
#5 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 11:56:39 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/26/2010
Posts: 108
Location: Jabini
Ray wrote:
Reggae Man
Kutangulia sio Kufika.

hapo @Ray umenena sawa sawa
sky5
#6 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 12:12:21 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/7/2010
Posts: 282
Location: Nairobi
Mwenda pole pia ufika.

The tortoise once overtook the hare in a race!!!
gathinga
#7 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 1:04:52 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/30/2006
Posts: 635
sky5 wrote:
Mwenda pole pia ufika.

The tortoise once overtook the hare in a race!!!


it was only ONCE
McReggae
#8 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 1:12:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
....and the early bird catches the worm....everyday!!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Ray
#9 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 1:37:35 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/9/2007
Posts: 219
He who laughs last, laughs best.(Ride bene chi ride l'ultimo)
B.Timer
#10 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 2:26:28 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/31/2008
Posts: 1,076
I am alarmed.
The news item on Nation starts thus; Support for new law drops to 57%.

Now that's walking on thin ice.

http://www.nation.co.ke/...92/-/nsb63w/-/index.html
Dunia ni msongamano..
McReggae
#11 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 2:40:09 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/17/2008
Posts: 23,365
Location: Nairobi
B. Timer,
Naysayers after the recent happenings beleived they were ahead!!!!!
..."Wewe ni mtu mdogo sana....na mwenye amekuandika pia ni mtu mdogo sana!".
Obi 1 Kanobi
#12 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 3:06:04 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/23/2008
Posts: 3,017
No amount of persuation will shift the yes to no or vise versa. Smart campaigns should now concentrate on the swing vote.

I think the reds are staring defeat in the face.

Enter new dawn.
"The purpose of bureaucracy is to compensate for incompetence and lack of discipline." James Collins
kadonye
#13 Posted : Friday, June 04, 2010 6:24:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/30/2009
Posts: 1,390
The reds will need a 60pc lead in opinion polls for them to win in the plebiscite.Don't forget the guys who made it hard for Kivuitu and Kriegler to tell us who won are now dining together, plotting for a green future
What a wicked man I am!The things I want to do,I don't do.The things I don't want to do I find myself doing
sparkly
#14 Posted : Sunday, June 06, 2010 11:05:22 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Jumping the gun bro. Campaigns begin officially in july!!!!!! The painters are still testing their brushes!!!!!!!
Life is short. Live passionately.
kyukkamba
#15 Posted : Sunday, June 06, 2010 11:59:28 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 5/28/2010
Posts: 151
If you can't beat them...what do you do?????





Ni Uhuru wa Mbesha...Niguo kana tiguo?
African
#16 Posted : Monday, June 07, 2010 2:04:52 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/16/2010
Posts: 22
Location: US
kyukkamba wrote:
If you can't beat them...what do you do?????




You poison them with something they really like.
sparkly
#17 Posted : Monday, June 07, 2010 6:00:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
kyukkamba wrote:
If you can't beat them...what do you do?????


Share power...
Life is short. Live passionately.
Fundaah
#18 Posted : Monday, June 07, 2010 7:29:56 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/19/2008
Posts: 1,267
Civic education is surely necessary ...I had a chance of going to the countryside over the weekend....some people I met have not read the constitution but they said there are in the 'No' side ..why? ...they said because the grassroot leaders are saying so....including the area priest....who says the constitution authorises them to abort(and does not talk of the circumstances under which abortion is allowed)....by the way they are not even aware of the Kadhis court issue because there is no mosques / muslim within the proximity....

I managed to convert afew to green...smile ..and I believe they will educate few more....
Isaiah 65:17-Look! I am creating new heavens and a new earth, and no one will even think about the old ones anymore
Moongazer
#19 Posted : Monday, June 07, 2010 8:21:45 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 7
Location: Nairobi
Puzzling …….

Sample a few extracts from the opinion polls.

1. Synovate poll: How would you vote in the referendum?

Results: May 2010: Yes = 57%; No = 20%;

April 2010: Yes = 64%; No = 17%;

These Synovate numbers clearly show a drop in support. Yet, Synovate (Waititu), without flinching tells Kenyans on National TV that the more Kenyans familiarize themselves with the draft the more they are likely to vote Yes. Is he then implying that Kenyans have become LESS familiar with the draft since April even with the civic education and distribution of copies that has been going on since?

2. The two polls though conducted during the same period (Synovate poll 22-28 May and Infotrack Harris poll taken 24-27 may) contradict each other through and through. Sample the following:

(a) Synovate : Yes = 57%; No = 20%
Infotrack : Yes = 63%; No = 21%

(b)Yes vote by province
Synovate Infotrack
Nairobi 61% 70%
Central 58% 63%
Nyanza 76% 81%
Western 65% 73%
Coast 54% 67%
Eastern 41% 41%
Rift V. 39% 59%
N.East. 88% 86%


(c )Familiarity with draft (% familiar with draft).

Male Female Urban Rural Total

Synovate:43% 28% 41% 33% 35%

Infotrack: 70% 62% 70% 58% 66%

By province Synovate Infotrack
Nairobi 45% 70%
Central 34% 66%
Nyanza 39% 79%
Western 38% 77%
Coast 31% 64%
Eastern 36% 55%
Rift V. 33% 63%
N.East. 21% 78%

It will be recalled that Infotrack also used their above date which indicate high familiarity levels in Nyanza and, of all places, the remote North Eastern to declare that more people will go Green on account of civic education.

3. Even within the same poll the numbers don’t quite add up. For example, distilling the latest Synovate data on support for the draft based on familiarity yields 54% Yes; while if one adds up the support numbers by province the Yes works out to 55%.


Do you smell a rat, a stinking rat??
Fundaah
#20 Posted : Monday, June 07, 2010 8:38:49 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/19/2008
Posts: 1,267
Moongazer wrote:

(b)Yes vote by province
Synovate Infotrack
Nairobi 61% 70%
Central 58% 63%
Nyanza 76% 81%
Western 65% 73%
Coast 54% 67%
Eastern 41% 41%
Rift V. 39% 59%
N.East. 88% 86%




Moongazer give credit where its due.... the figures above are not significantly different....are they ?
And besides the purpose of scientific opinion poll is to give the general mood .... not the exact position .... they are prone to sampling errors unlike a full census or the actual referendum....
Isaiah 65:17-Look! I am creating new heavens and a new earth, and no one will even think about the old ones anymore
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