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Kenya Economy Watch
Ericsson
#1521 Posted : Sunday, December 03, 2017 2:28:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
http://www.businessdaily...2326-lop58az/index.html

The Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) has poked holes in the tax agreement which Kenya signed with Beijing in September cushioning Chinese firms from paying tax on interest they earn.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#1522 Posted : Monday, December 04, 2017 4:33:37 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
http://www.theeastafrica...13514-vfm73p/index.html

Economists say the government will be forced to reduce spending on key infrastructure projects to repay the loans.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#1523 Posted : Monday, December 04, 2017 4:38:32 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
http://www.theeastafrica...14026-5sujkt/index.html

Kenya paid Ksh4.6 billion ($46 million) more in interest on loans than it had budgeted for in the first three months of the current financial year. This came as its revenue collections lagged, underscoring concerns over the country’s rising public debt.

The country paid out Ksh67.1 billion ($671 million) as interest against a target of Ksh62.5 billion ($625 million) for its total loans, which currently stand at 54 per cent of the GDP at Ksh4.4 trillion ($44 billion).

Revenue collections totalled Ksh345 billion ($3.45 billion), against a target of Ksh388 billion ($3.88 billion). The taxman collected Ksh320 billion ($3.2 billion) against a target of Ksh350 billion ($3.5 billion).
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mamilli
#1524 Posted : Tuesday, December 05, 2017 9:27:27 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/6/2015
Posts: 249
Location: Nairobi
Embracing productionism.Question is,does the dynamic duo have the will and fortitude to see this through?

http://www.businessdaily...14716-144u3k2/index.html
Never lose your position in a bull market,BTFD.
KulaRaha
#1525 Posted : Tuesday, December 05, 2017 11:02:17 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
[quote=mamilli]Embracing productionism.Question is,does the dynamic duo have the will and fortitude to see this through?

http://www.businessdaily...4716-144u3k2/index.html[/quote]

More than 30% will be eaten, its so sad.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Ericsson
#1526 Posted : Tuesday, December 05, 2017 12:52:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
KulaRaha wrote:
[quote=mamilli]Embracing productionism.Question is,does the dynamic duo have the will and fortitude to see this through?

http://www.businessdaily...4716-144u3k2/index.html[/quote]

More than 30% will be eaten, its so sad.


Watakula and watapike mbele yetu
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Ericsson
#1527 Posted : Thursday, December 14, 2017 12:27:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
http://www.businessdaily...7822-oakuhqz/index.html

Eastern and Southern Africa Trade and Development Bank (TDB) — formerly PTA Bank — is the issuer of the loan that is one of the most expensive foreign debts Kenya has taken in recent history.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
Monk
#1528 Posted : Sunday, January 28, 2018 1:47:36 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/1/2009
Posts: 246
lochaz-index wrote:
wukan wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
mamilli wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
obiero wrote:
Angelica _ann wrote:
Swenani wrote:
Venezuela likely to go bankrupt tomorrow

With all the oil reserves they have, how now? That is serious mismanagement!!!

We are in a similar predicament.. The two men will finish us

and especially when the careless borrowing to service interest fails


Add to ratings downgrade and interest rates rising in EU and America which makes it expensive for kenya to borrow internationally


If the downgrade happens with the invariable consequence of expensive foreign debt,then we can as well forget the repeal/ammendment of the rate cap law in the medium term.


Repeal will be done asap because the next saviour will be IMF bailout who will give conditions and one of them will be repeal interest rates cap.


The structural damage is already done. Repealing the cap won't have much of an effect. Only a structural adjustment program will do

Quote:
Default in personal loan though jumped 42.4 per cent in 2016, compared to the previous year, as uptake of credit by individuals slowed – only growing 6.1 per cent – in the period....

“Contrary to common belief that low rates support NPL reduction, the correlation between lending rates and NPL ratio from FY03 – 2Q17, has been negative (-0.4),”

http://www.businessdaily...4288-6ucjohz/index.html

Agreed. Repealing/ammending the rate cap is the easy part. The problem is much bigger than that. With treasury seemingly at sea and unwilling/unable to do damage limitation, it will be very interesting to watch how KE sails in the next one year or so.


Kajiado County has removed all business signboards between Isinya and Kajiado town, a 20km stretch. Businesses on land touching the tarmac are still be able to advertise from behind their walls, but others on second row and further back have no means of directing clients to their locations. I foresee these businesses getting further depressed, contributing to loan default rates, with or without repeal of the rate cap law. This is an example of GOK actions that hamper rather than help the economy.
Ericsson
#1529 Posted : Monday, January 29, 2018 12:01:18 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
https://www.businessdail...282150-73a1q9/index.html
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
wukan
#1530 Posted : Wednesday, February 14, 2018 11:29:35 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,568
Quote:
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today downgraded the issuer rating of the Government of Kenya to B2 from B1 and assigned a stable outlook. This concludes the review for downgrade that commenced on October 2, 2017.

The drivers of the downgrade relate to an erosion of fiscal metrics and rising liquidity risks that point to overall credit metrics consistent with a B2 rating. The fiscal outlook is weakening with a rise in debt levels and deterioration in debt affordability that Moody's expects to continue. In turn, large gross financing needs and reliance on commercial external debt will maintain government liquidity pressures. While the government aims to improve the efficiency of spending and revenues, such measures are unlikely to be effective enough to stem a weakening in fiscal trends.


Quote:
Moody's forecasts government debt to increase to 61% of GDP in fiscal year 2018/19 (the year ending in June 2019), from 56% of GDP in FY 2016/17 and 41% of GDP in FY 2011/12. Large infrastructure-related development spending needs combined with subdued revenue collection and a rising cost of debt will result in large fiscal deficits and keep government debt on an upward trend.


Quote:
Debt affordability is deteriorating as reflected by the increase in government interest payments as a share of revenue to 19% in FY2017/18, from 13.7% in FY2012/13. We expect a further rise to 20% in 2018. Kenya's government external debt, which stood at 31.6% of GDP as of June 2017, continues to shift away from concessional debt toward commercial and semi-concessional debt, leading to higher financing costs. Between June 2013 and June 2017, the share of commercial external debt increased from 7% to 31% of total external debt.


FYI....as useful as the cartoon section of the newspapersmile smile
lochaz-index
#1531 Posted : Wednesday, February 14, 2018 1:10:57 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
wukan wrote:
Quote:
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today downgraded the issuer rating of the Government of Kenya to B2 from B1 and assigned a stable outlook. This concludes the review for downgrade that commenced on October 2, 2017.

The drivers of the downgrade relate to an erosion of fiscal metrics and rising liquidity risks that point to overall credit metrics consistent with a B2 rating. The fiscal outlook is weakening with a rise in debt levels and deterioration in debt affordability that Moody's expects to continue. In turn, large gross financing needs and reliance on commercial external debt will maintain government liquidity pressures. While the government aims to improve the efficiency of spending and revenues, such measures are unlikely to be effective enough to stem a weakening in fiscal trends.


Quote:
Moody's forecasts government debt to increase to 61% of GDP in fiscal year 2018/19 (the year ending in June 2019), from 56% of GDP in FY 2016/17 and 41% of GDP in FY 2011/12. Large infrastructure-related development spending needs combined with subdued revenue collection and a rising cost of debt will result in large fiscal deficits and keep government debt on an upward trend.


Quote:
Debt affordability is deteriorating as reflected by the increase in government interest payments as a share of revenue to 19% in FY2017/18, from 13.7% in FY2012/13. We expect a further rise to 20% in 2018. Kenya's government external debt, which stood at 31.6% of GDP as of June 2017, continues to shift away from concessional debt toward commercial and semi-concessional debt, leading to higher financing costs. Between June 2013 and June 2017, the share of commercial external debt increased from 7% to 31% of total external debt.


FYI....as useful as the cartoon section of the newspapersmile smile

Moody's is grossly understating the projected interest payments as a % of government revenue. I do not think it will be a gradual progression when every risk factor is baked into a meaningful forecast. If it were a gradual progression as they seem to suggest very few sovereigns would end up defaulting on their obligations.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
KulaRaha
#1532 Posted : Wednesday, February 14, 2018 1:48:52 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Extend and pretend....the Kenyan philosophy

Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Ericsson
#1533 Posted : Wednesday, February 14, 2018 2:13:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
https://www.the-star.co....support-budget_c1714129

Kenya has put up for sale two Sh40 billion treasury bonds for budgetary support. This comes as the government looks for funds to service its bloated Cabinet.

The President added a new post of Chief Administrative Secretary to the Cabinet. With CSs and PSs on the payroll as well, taxpayers will part with Sh1.2 billion per year in salaries alone.

The two bonds, which went up for sale this week until Tuesday, will later be listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange’s secondary market from February 27. “The Central Bank, acting as a fiscal agent for the Republic of Kenya, is offering the investing public an opportunity to invest in two 15-year fixed coupon Treasury bonds for budgetary support,” said the bank in a prospectus yesterday.

The government is offering 10.25 and 12 per cent interest on the two bonds expected to mature on March 10, 2025 and April 10, 2028 respectively. Investors have until February 21 to place bids for the bonds starting from Sh50,000 to Sh20 million. Payments above Sh1 million must be made by Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGs) while those below Sh1 million may be made by cash, banker’s cheque to reach CBK not later than March 26.

This is the second bond the government is floating this year, after issuing a 15-year infrastructure bond worth Sh40 billion in mid-January, exerting more pressure on the ballooning public debt that is likely to break the Sh5 trillion ceiling by the end of the financial year. Although it was indicated the bond is to offer budgetary support, speculation is rife on the exact purpose of the new bond, coming at the time Kenya is marketing its Eurobond of up to $3 billion (Sh300 billion) in the US.

While some think the bond is to support the soaring wage bill bloated by recent Cabinet appointments, others think it is meant to settle two foreign debts due in March and April.

The wage bill has been on the rise, moving from Sh341 billion last financial year to Sh409.2 billion. Although the Treasury in its draft budget policy statement had planned to cut it to Sh401 billion, the expanded Cabinet is likely to push it further. Last year, the IMF raised the red flag on Kenya’s growing wage bill.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
obiero
#1534 Posted : Monday, February 19, 2018 7:25:51 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,472
Location: nairobi
Now they do this to the Hilton investor https://www.businessdail...309844-kbcavs/index.html

HF 428,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
obiero
#1535 Posted : Tuesday, February 20, 2018 12:16:57 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,472
Location: nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
[quote=mamilli]Embracing productionism.Question is,does the dynamic duo have the will and fortitude to see this through?

http://www.businessdaily...4716-144u3k2/index.html[/quote]

More than 30% will be eaten, its so sad.


Watakula and watapike mbele yetu

Let me leave this here https://www.businessdail...312142-cpa93h/index.html

HF 428,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
Angelica _ann
#1536 Posted : Tuesday, February 20, 2018 8:13:34 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/7/2012
Posts: 11,901
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
[quote=KulaRaha][quote=mamilli]Embracing productionism.Question is,does the dynamic duo have the will and fortitude to see this through?

http://www.businessdaily...4716-144u3k2/index.html[/quote]

More than 30% will be eaten, its so sad.


Watakula and watapike mbele yetu

Let me leave this here https://www.businessdail...12142-cpa93h/index.html[/quote]

Now this

https://www.businessdail...2744-10splinz/index.html
In the business world, everyone is paid in two coins - cash and experience. Take the experience first; the cash will come later - H Geneen
obiero
#1537 Posted : Wednesday, February 21, 2018 7:01:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,472
Location: nairobi
Angelica _ann wrote:
obiero wrote:
Ericsson wrote:
KulaRaha wrote:
[quote=mamilli]Embracing productionism.Question is,does the dynamic duo have the will and fortitude to see this through?

http://www.businessdaily...4716-144u3k2/index.html[/quote]

More than 30% will be eaten, its so sad.


Watakula and watapike mbele yetu

Let me leave this here https://www.businessdail...12142-cpa93h/index.html


Now this

https://www.businessdail...744-10splinz/index.html

Watch the dollar action

HF 428,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
KulaRaha
#1538 Posted : Wednesday, February 21, 2018 7:45:31 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Ericsson
#1539 Posted : Wednesday, February 21, 2018 8:09:25 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,636
Location: NAIROBI
https://www.businessdail...2954-fw8nsbz/index.html

And finally this. In 1970 kenya was ahead of singapore
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mnandii
#1540 Posted : Wednesday, February 21, 2018 9:59:01 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Ericsson wrote:
https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/world/Singapore-pays-bonus-to-citizens-as-economy-grows/4259366-4312954-fw8nsbz/index.html

And finally this. In 1970 kenya was ahead of singapore

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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