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Elliott Wave Analysis Of The NSE 20
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mufasa
#2761 Posted : Wednesday, November 29, 2017 8:48:35 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/15/2008
Posts: 190
KenGen has a woman Boss. It's stagnated for a while. No dividends. Despite several actions that should have boosted the stock price.
Do it today! Tomorrow is promise to no-one.
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obiero
#2762 Posted : Wednesday, November 29, 2017 9:08:23 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,475
Location: nairobi
mufasa wrote:
KenGen has a woman Boss. It's stagnated for a while. No dividends. Despite several actions that should have boosted the stock price.

Lol @mufasa umeamka na ubaya

HF 30,000 ABP 3.49; KQ 414,100 ABP 7.92; MTN 15,750 ABP 6.45
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lochaz-index
#2763 Posted : Thursday, November 30, 2017 8:35:53 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
mnandii wrote:


The NSE 20 Share Index is completing an Elliott Zigzag. Targets for wave 'C' are 3880-3900. Afterwards expect the Index to fall back below 3540.

Seconded. Anything below 3450 will be nasty for the bulls...they won't survive the siege and that would put an end to the NSE bounce for a while to come.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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mnandii
#2764 Posted : Thursday, November 30, 2017 1:02:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


Can you guys see an ELLIOTT IMPULSE WAVE (fully with an extended third wave)? smile

Five waves UP. Time for the debts to deflate. Debts deflate via:

1) Being paid up.
2) Being defaulted upon.
3) Being forfeited (forgiven).

Which scenario will apply to Kenya?
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2765 Posted : Thursday, November 30, 2017 1:18:48 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304


With an Extended wave (3).
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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wukan
#2766 Posted : Thursday, November 30, 2017 2:27:06 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,569
mnandii wrote:


Can you guys see an ELLIOTT IMPULSE WAVE (fully with an extended third wave)? smile

Five waves UP. Time for the debts to deflate. Debts deflate via:

1) Being paid up.
2) Being defaulted upon.
3) Being forfeited (forgiven).

Which scenario will apply to Kenya?


Scenario 3 especially for the SGR portion of the debt is likely in exchange for settling part of the china population here. The Brits did before with the lunatic express
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iris
#2767 Posted : Thursday, November 30, 2017 3:15:49 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/11/2014
Posts: 228
Location: Nairobi
wukan wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Can you guys see an ELLIOTT IMPULSE WAVE (fully with an extended third wave)? smile

Five waves UP. Time for the debts to deflate. Debts deflate via:

1) Being paid up.
2) Being defaulted upon.
3) Being forfeited (forgiven).

Which scenario will apply to Kenya?


Scenario 3 especially for the SGR portion of the debt is likely in exchange for settling part of the china population here. The Brits did before with the lunatic express



Waa Sad .
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lochaz-index
#2768 Posted : Thursday, November 30, 2017 11:02:24 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
mnandii wrote:


Can you guys see an ELLIOTT IMPULSE WAVE (fully with an extended third wave)? smile

Five waves UP. Time for the debts to deflate. Debts deflate via:

1) Being paid up.
2) Being defaulted upon.
3) Being forfeited (forgiven).

Which scenario will apply to Kenya?

This one aligns perfectly with fundies. Rate caps helped slow down the fiscal crisis from boiling over in 2017 but KE can't play rope-a-dope forever...the chickens were bound to come home to roost at some point. 2018 should be extremely interesting on that front. If international interest rates are spooked, it will be one hell of an unwinnable fight for KE. A mixture of defaults (soft and hard) seems the only way out...heck KE won't be the only one in bad books with its creditors when all is said and done.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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wukan
#2769 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 3:52:56 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/13/2015
Posts: 1,569
lochaz-index wrote:
mnandii wrote:


The NSE 20 Share Index is completing an Elliott Zigzag. Targets for wave 'C' are 3880-3900. Afterwards expect the Index to fall back below 3540.

Seconded. Anything below 3450 will be nasty for the bulls...they won't survive the siege and that would put an end to the NSE bounce for a while to come.


Pigs getting slaughtered at the NSE today
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hisah
#2770 Posted : Wednesday, December 13, 2017 4:25:09 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
wukan wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
mnandii wrote:


The NSE 20 Share Index is completing an Elliott Zigzag. Targets for wave 'C' are 3880-3900. Afterwards expect the Index to fall back below 3540.

Seconded. Anything below 3450 will be nasty for the bulls...they won't survive the siege and that would put an end to the NSE bounce for a while to come.


Pigs getting slaughtered at the NSE today

KE equity indices both local and FTSE have been unable to run above the August top on the latest rebound. Bulls are running out of time!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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lochaz-index
#2771 Posted : Thursday, December 14, 2017 7:29:03 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/18/2014
Posts: 1,127
hisah wrote:
wukan wrote:
lochaz-index wrote:
mnandii wrote:


The NSE 20 Share Index is completing an Elliott Zigzag. Targets for wave 'C' are 3880-3900. Afterwards expect the Index to fall back below 3540.

Seconded. Anything below 3450 will be nasty for the bulls...they won't survive the siege and that would put an end to the NSE bounce for a while to come.


Pigs getting slaughtered at the NSE today

KE equity indices both local and FTSE have been unable to run above the August top on the latest rebound. Bulls are running out of time!

3850 has proven to be a formidable barrier which was expected considering the bulls really stretched the bounce in the 6 months relief rally...now there is not that much gas left in the tank. I'm a tad surprised they have held on at the current level for a lot longer that I thought.

Double digit % gain for the NSE20 by close of the year is a commendable feat - fundies considered - in what has been a a largely uneventful and bullish 2017 all round. However, the bullish window is about to slam shut most likely by end of Q1 2018 so if there is to be a last hooray I bet this is the time.
The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many people as possible.
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alutacontinua
#2772 Posted : Thursday, December 14, 2017 8:48:02 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/23/2011
Posts: 304
@lochaz-index and @hisah kindly send through email details...
You dont have to be great to START but you have to start to be GREAT!!!!!!!!
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sparkly
#2773 Posted : Saturday, December 16, 2017 7:57:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
Emerging markets stocks will remain depressed in the near term as investors and traders pump money in US in anticipation of lower taxes.

https://www.reuters.com/...-overhaul-idUSL1N1OF1SP

Quote:
NEW YORK, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Wall Street’s three major indexes scaled new heights on Friday, with all major sectors pushing higher as a long-awaited tax bill that would cut corporate tax rates looked like it would win support among lawmakers.

Life is short. Live passionately.
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mnandii
#2774 Posted : Tuesday, January 16, 2018 9:34:06 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
lochaz-index wrote:
mnandii wrote:


Can you guys see an ELLIOTT IMPULSE WAVE (fully with an extended third wave)? smile

Five waves UP. Time for the debts to deflate. Debts deflate via:

1) Being paid up.
2) Being defaulted upon.
3) Being forfeited (forgiven).

Which scenario will apply to Kenya?

This one aligns perfectly with fundies. Rate caps helped slow down the fiscal crisis from boiling over in 2017 but KE can't play rope-a-dope forever...the chickens were bound to come home to roost at some point. 2018 should be extremely interesting on that front. If international interest rates are spooked, it will be one hell of an unwinnable fight for KE. A mixture of defaults (soft and hard) seems the only way out...heck KE won't be the only one in bad books with its creditors when all is said and done.

Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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mnandii
#2775 Posted : Tuesday, January 16, 2018 9:36:35 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Finally; Govt gives NSE ago ahead to introduce short selling

Quote:
The Kenya Govt through the ministry of Treasury has finally allowed the Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE) to introduce short-selling, a long awaited move that is expected to boost liquidity and diversify the exchange’s services to in a bid to attract more investors.


link
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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shiznit
#2776 Posted : Tuesday, January 16, 2018 10:53:17 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 5/21/2013
Posts: 72
Location: KENYA
Unfortunately, reading through the regulations, there's still quite some way to go. Instead of giving substantive provisions on some things like in a schedule to the regulations or something, they just say that CMA shall prescribe... For example Regulation 4 "The Authority shall prescribe the criteria for the identification of securities that may be lent".

So now we have to wait for such details, as well as trading rules from the NSE.

But all the same, happy days, it's better than nothing and progress is coming.
“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes
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Horton
#2777 Posted : Tuesday, January 16, 2018 11:08:08 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 8/30/2007
Posts: 1,558
Location: Nairobi
this does look like a bull in the offing. very few in the red, cheap valuations of the stocks in general, should be a good year
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whiteowl
#2778 Posted : Tuesday, January 16, 2018 1:12:29 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/16/2014
Posts: 1,420
Location: Bohemian Grove
mnandii wrote:
Finally; Govt gives NSE ago ahead to introduce short selling

Quote:
The Kenya Govt through the ministry of Treasury has finally allowed the Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE) to introduce short-selling, a long awaited move that is expected to boost liquidity and diversify the exchange’s services to in a bid to attract more investors.


link


Wake me up when this happens.
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Fyatu
#2779 Posted : Tuesday, January 16, 2018 1:58:07 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/20/2011
Posts: 1,820
Location: Nakuru
Assuming a hypothetical situation where i @Fyatu holds 1 million KQ shares and has never sold for the past 10 years, will my broker call me and inform me that brother @Obiero wants to lend 100,000 shares of these for shorting??? In this our Kenya, how sure am i that i will not be shafted seriously??
Dumb money becomes dumb only when it listens to smart money
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Spikes
#2780 Posted : Tuesday, January 16, 2018 3:18:59 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/20/2015
Posts: 2,811
Location: Mombasa
Fyatu wrote:
Assuming a hypothetical situation where i @Fyatu holds 1 million KQ shares and has never sold for the past 10 years, will my broker call me and inform me that brother @Obiero wants to lend 100,000 shares of these for shorting??? In this our Kenya, how sure am i that i will not be shafted seriously??


Sheria zipo :Regulatory bodies will implement shorting to ensure legit provisions are adhered to --CMA,NSE and CDSC
John 5:17 But Jesus replied, “My Father is always working, and so am I.”
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