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Foreign investors headed for the EXITS!
mv_ufanisi
#1 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 9:37:43 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/15/2010
Posts: 625
Foreign investors seem to be exiting quickly. The stock market seems ready to take a beating. This is the disadvantage of having too much foreign investor influence in the stock market. Given the collapsing equities in Europe and North America, a massive sell off might start right here in the NSE with disastrous results;
- huge devaluation of stock prices
- devaluation of the shilling as foreigners try to convert their money to USD
- devaluation of the shilling brings about trouble for companies servicing foreign debt

Remember, when foreign markets sneeze, we catch a cold.




KulaRaha
#2 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 9:47:17 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
Wow, todays facts:

as at now,

Foreign purchases: 338m
Foreign sales: 421m
net foreign outflow: 83m

Doesnt look like a wholesale exit to me...thats about $1m only...small change.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
mv_ufanisi
#3 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 9:54:18 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/15/2010
Posts: 625
[quote=KulaRaha]Wow, todays facts:

as at now,

Foreign purchases: 338m
Foreign sales: 421m
net foreign outflow: 83m

Doesnt look like a wholesale exit to me...thats about $1m only...small change.[/qoute

@kularaha
I hope this doesn't happen. I just see ominous signs that things might go this way. There's probably no cause for worry but there is a real danger of this happening and as an investor it's important to be ready.
KulaRaha
#4 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 10:05:13 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
I wouldnt worry, given offshore interest rates at 0.25%...theyll stay here as the yiled is better
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
Much Know
#5 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 10:07:07 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,579
Am praying for wanjiku to check in big time, she could hold the market through
Ras Kienyeji Man
mv_ufanisi
#6 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 10:09:04 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 1/15/2010
Posts: 625
KulaRaha wrote:
I wouldnt worry, given offshore interest rates at 0.25%...theyll stay here as the yiled is better


In 2009 they didn't stay here. Plus given a weakening shilling, they are facing currency exchange losses. In the end their money is better off here but I don't understand how they think, given that in 2009 they left the market in droves.
KulaRaha
#7 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 10:18:32 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/26/2007
Posts: 6,514
In 2009 there was net foreign outflow from all markets given major cashflow issues at home. Plus there was shareholder pressure to exit from "high risk" assets, given recent losses on derivatives.

I think risk profiles have changed this year. Plus most offshore banks/funds etc are in the green so not so much pressure.
Business opportunities are like buses,there's always another one coming
sky5
#8 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 10:28:18 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/7/2010
Posts: 282
Location: Nairobi
The foreign investors in NSE are catching the cold of the eurozone crisis. The panic in foreign market is fast. Just pray though that NSE be spared.
Much Know
#9 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 10:57:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/6/2008
Posts: 3,579
Believe me nse will not be spared, its kobil, banks and scom etc have been proping it, how long? In times like these you use dividends to survive.
Ras Kienyeji Man
VituVingiSana
#10 Posted : Wednesday, May 26, 2010 2:09:51 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,349
Location: Nairobi
@muchknow - This exit shud make you happy... ati "Wakoloni watarudi through shares"

Personally, I wud happily sell my Kenya Oil or Kenya Airways or Kenya Comm Bank as long as I get a good price for the shares!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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