Those are all non-starters plus parties belong to tribes, just like Ford Kenya will always be a luhya party, ODM must remain a Luo party or lose out. Mdvd and Kalooser could have easily consolidated into ODM instead of forming NASA but they know the implication of how they will be seen by their tribes. So Nanok and Joho should just forget.

I still believe Raila has one national elections in him.....but not for the presidency. One way to keep the NASA coalition together is to engage in a national political activity, and the best bet for that is a referendum in 24-36 months time ...A sort of midterm elections.

A referendum that has one theme: Pesa Mashinani. It was one of their key pillars in the just ended elections and a push to have 45-50% of all government funds devolved would get nationwide appeal (its hard to see which governor would not want three times the allocation they currently get). That issue being dear to most Kenyans would find widespread support in most regions of Kenya. However, it would make matters very complex for Jubilee to balance the budget with the huge loans that they took during the 1st term while possibly giving NASA an electoral win that would bind the principals together and a feel good factor for their supporters going into 2022.

Time will tell but don't be surprised if the next push by NASA after losing the presidential petition is not far from what I have documented here.......a deepening of federalism that started with devolution.

Happy hunting.

Weta says.....

http://www.the-star.co.k...ers-in-petition_c1619807

Wetangula ni kelele tu but eventually anaweza tosheka if he's offered kiti ya Deputy President. The problem will be getting either Mudavadi or Kalonzo to step down for the other.

There will be no ODM after Raila. Raila is ODM and ODM is Raila!